650 Warburton Ave Unit 7C · Yonkers, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Very large 1 bedroom and 1 bath that has plenty of natural light, as it has 2 exposures- also partial river view from some windows. All rooms are very good sized with a large entry area, leading to the living room. Off the living room is a separate eating area. Lots of closets. Unit is in good condition. Close to NYC. and less than 1 mile from the Greystone Train Station- which has free street parking. The very low MM of $802.51 does not include star. Enjoy the passive park area between buildings 650 & 678. Clean and large laundry room in the basement. Explore the nearby bike/running trail along the old Croton Aqueduct and discover attractions like the Hudson River Museum and Yonkers
Key facts
- Clean laundry room
- Large entry area
- Lots of closets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.3% in Yonkers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Yonkers City School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #413 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Yonkers Early Childhood Academy (327 students, 72% FRL); Yonkers Middle School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #587 of 729 statewide, top 81%, 601 students, 88% FRL); Yonkers High School (math 92% / reading 88%, grade A+, #238 of 1,100 statewide, top 23%, 1,060 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 64% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.92%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $17,436
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $80,232
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Yonkers
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+20
ZIP-level market 10701
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,198 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $631
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $742 | -5% $686 | +0% $631 | +5% $576 | +10% $521 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $458 | -5% $544 | +0% $631 | +5% $718 | +10% $805 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $712 | -0.5pp $672 | base $631 | +0.5pp $590 | +1.0pp $548 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 596 Warburton Ave Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,800 | $2.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 737 Warburton Ave Unit 1L Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 703 Palisade Ave Unit Third Floor Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 59 Glenwood Ave Unit 1FF Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,375 | $3.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 369 Warburton Ave Unit 2B Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $2,650 | $2.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 160 Amackassin Ter Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 150 Glenwood Ave Apt G1 Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,000 | $2.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 137 Lake Ave Unit 3W Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,700 | $2.62 | 20d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 237 Woodland Ave Unit 2 Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $2,600 | $2.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 703 Nepperhan Ave Unit 2 Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,450 | $2.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7 Corbalis Pl Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 55 Riverside Dr Yonkers, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 944 | $3,182 | $3.37 | 0d | 16 | 1.04mi |
| 250 N Broadway Unit 2E Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,400 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 154 Woodworth Ave Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,500 | $3.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 154 Woodworth Ave Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,350 | $3.62 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 103 Burhans Ave Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $2,000 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1133 Warburton Ave Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $3,400 | $4.10 | 0d | 4 | 1.15mi |
| 23 Colin St Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 79 Alexander St Yonkers, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 997 | $2,898 | $2.91 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 57 Alexander St Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 765 | $2,956 | $3.86 | 3d | 21 | 1.36mi |
| 23 Belknap Ave Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-12-17status Pending
-
2025-11-07$159,900 Active
-
2025-06-10status Pending
-
2025-06-10historical
-
2025-04-12price $154,900
-
2025-03-18$159,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,110
- − Management
- −$2,110
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $5,346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,283
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yonkers City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631920
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,042
- Composite
- 41.43/100
- National rank
- #3471
- State rank
- #413 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yonkers
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #9394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yonkers, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 212,407
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 70,676
- Household income
- $64,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6045.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 21% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Russian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -373.14%
- Current HPI
- 332.0999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.39%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-17 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-07 Listed $159,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-10 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-10 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-12 Price Changed $154,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-18 Listed $159,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…