Duplex
519 S 1st St #517 · Fulton, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
2 properties on 1 parcel. 7 units investment property 517 South 1st St - 3 units (One 1br apartment, One 2br apartment, & One 3br apartment) 3 furnaces 519 South 1st St - 4 units (Two 1br apartment & Two 2br apartment) Boiler 517-519 South 1st Street, Fulton, NY Monthly Rent: 517 1st Floor (2 bedroom) - $1,100 517 2Rear (2 bedroom) - $750 517 2Front (1 bedroom) - $650 519 1L (1 bedroom) - $750 519 2L (2 bedroom) - $1,030 519 1R (1 bedroom) - vacant will be renovated 519 2R (2 bedroom) - property manager's unit Off street parking for 8+ cars Super on-site for turn key management Value add potential for new owner Also has 2 family next door for sale MLS# S1681681
Key facts
- Boiler
- Off street parking
- Value add potential
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-244 ($-3k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-122/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $307k (12.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $326k (6.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $307k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 6.9% in Fulton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#907 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Fulton City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #554 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.99%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $384,151
- List price
- $350,000
- Delta
- -8.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609-611 E Broadway #609 | 0.55mi | 8/3.0 | 3,144 (-4%) | 7mo | $158,000 | $50 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $101,524
- Equity at exit
- $236,751
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.14×
- Total profit
- $307,959
- Equity at exit
- $444,571
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13069
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 17.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,257 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$836 /mo · $10,030/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$684
- Net cashflow
- $-244
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | — | $3,256 |
| #1 | 4 | — | $1,628 |
| #2 | 4 | — | $1,628 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,257 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $350,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $350,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $350,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $350,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $350,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $350,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $350,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $375,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $375,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $375,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $375,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $375,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $375,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $375,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-12$375,000 Active 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
2 properties on 1 parcel. 7 units investment property 517 South 1st St - 3 units (One 1br apartment, One 2br apartment, & One 3br apartment) 3 furnaces 519 South 1st St - 4 units (Two 1br apartment & Two 2br apartment) Boiler 517-519 South 1st Street, Fulton, NY Monthly Rent: 517 1st Floor (2 bedroom) - $1,100 517 2Rear (2 bedroom) - $750 517 2Front (1 bedroom) - $650 519 1L (1 bedroom) - $750 519 2L (2 bedroom) - $1,030 519 1R (1 bedroom) - vacant will be renovated 519 2R (2 bedroom) - property manager's unit Off street parking for 8+ cars Super on-site for turn key management Value add potential for new owner Also has 2 family next door for sale MLS# S1681681
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2024-12-04price $399,000
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2024-10-14price $409,000
-
2024-10-03$459,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $10,030 · $836/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,030 · $836/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,084
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$10,030
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,127
- − Management
- −$3,127
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$8,737
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,097
- After-tax cash flow
- $-832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611700
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,337
- Composite
- 30.49/100
- National rank
- #6220
- State rank
- #554 of 590 in NY
Livability — Fulton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #907
- US rank
- #17723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fulton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,176
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.75%
- Current HPI
- 304.443
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-18.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $375,000 CNYIS
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $399,000 CNYIS
- 2024-10-14 Price Changed $409,000 CNYIS
- 2024-10-03 Listed $459,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $10,030 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…