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519 S 1st St #517 Duplex
D+ Composite 47.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$350,000

519 S 1st St #517 · Fulton, NY 13069
8 bd · 0.0 ba · 3,264 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1950 10,000 sqft lot $107/sqft · 78% above area Est $384k · 9% under ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

2 properties on 1 parcel. 7 units investment property 517 South 1st St - 3 units (One 1br apartment, One 2br apartment, & One 3br apartment) 3 furnaces 519 South 1st St - 4 units (Two 1br apartment & Two 2br apartment) Boiler 517-519 South 1st Street, Fulton, NY Monthly Rent: 517 1st Floor (2 bedroom) - $1,100 517 2Rear (2 bedroom) - $750 517 2Front (1 bedroom) - $650 519 1L (1 bedroom) - $750 519 2L (2 bedroom) - $1,030 519 1R (1 bedroom) - vacant will be renovated 519 2R (2 bedroom) - property manager's unit Off street parking for 8+ cars Super on-site for turn key management Value add potential for new owner Also has 2 family next door for sale MLS# S1681681

Key facts

  • Boiler
  • Off street parking
  • Value add potential

Tags

3 FURNACESBOILEROFF STREET PARKINGTURN KEY MANAGEMENTVALUE ADD POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-244 ($-3k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-122/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $307k (12.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $326k (6.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $307k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 6.9% in Fulton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#907 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Fulton City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #554 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
  • Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $306,881 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.99%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$384,151
List price
$350,000
Delta
-8.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
609-611 E Broadway #609 0.55mi 8/3.0 3,144 (-4%) 7mo $158,000 $50 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$101,524
Equity at exit
$236,751
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
4.14×
Total profit
$307,959
Equity at exit
$444,571

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13069

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
17.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,257 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$836 /mo · $10,030/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$684
Net cashflow
$-244

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,566
Max offer price $306,881
Occupancy floor

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,257

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $350,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $350,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $350,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $350,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $350,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $350,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $350,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $375,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $375,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $375,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $375,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $375,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $375,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $375,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $375,000 Active 706-char remark
    Show marketing remark (706 chars)

    2 properties on 1 parcel. 7 units investment property 517 South 1st St - 3 units (One 1br apartment, One 2br apartment, & One 3br apartment) 3 furnaces 519 South 1st St - 4 units (Two 1br apartment & Two 2br apartment) Boiler 517-519 South 1st Street, Fulton, NY Monthly Rent: 517 1st Floor (2 bedroom) - $1,100 517 2Rear (2 bedroom) - $750 517 2Front (1 bedroom) - $650 519 1L (1 bedroom) - $750 519 2L (2 bedroom) - $1,030 519 1R (1 bedroom) - vacant will be renovated 519 2R (2 bedroom) - property manager's unit Off street parking for 8+ cars Super on-site for turn key management Value add potential for new owner Also has 2 family next door for sale MLS# S1681681

  16. 2024-12-04
    price $399,000
  17. 2024-10-14
    price $409,000
  18. 2024-10-03
    listed $459,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$10,030 · $836/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,030 · $836/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,084
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$10,030
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,127
− Management
−$3,127
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$8,737
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,097
After-tax cash flow
$-832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton City School District
NCES district ID
3611700
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$43,337
Composite
30.49/100
National rank
#6220
State rank
#554 of 590 in NY

Livability — Fulton

Score
61/100
State rank
#907
US rank
#17723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fulton, NY
Population (ZIP)
23,176

Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,465 people
By 2030
109,968 · -3.9%
By 2040
99,205 · -13.3%
By 2050
87,979 · -23.1%
By 2075
65,100 · -43.1%
By 2100
47,117 · -58.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oswego

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.75%
Current HPI
304.443
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $375,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $399,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-10-14 Price Changed $409,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-10-03 Listed $459,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,030 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…