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644 Nicimi Dr
B Composite 70.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

644 Nicimi Dr · Elkhart, KS 67950
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1960

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a home that is move in ready? This is the one! Homeowner is working hard to finish the remodel of this home getting it ready for the new owner. Be on the look out next week of pictures that will show off the new fresh look of the inside of this home.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Close to high school
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

SPACIOUS BACKYARDQUIET NEIGHBORHOODCLOSE TO HIGH SCHOOLCLOSE TO MIDDLE SCHOOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($929 rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#116 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Elkhart (rural): math 25% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #80 of 169 in KS (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Morton County population projected at -40% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $54k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.74%
Cash-on-cash
12.31%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$27,469
Equity at exit
$38,723
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
4.48×
Total profit
$73,069
Equity at exit
$63,897

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67950

Home prices YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $75,000 Active
  2. 2022-03-04
    soldstatus 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Looking for a home that is move in ready? This is the one! Homeowner is working hard to finish the remodel of this home getting it ready for the new owner. Be on the look out next week of pictures that will show off the new fresh look of the inside of this home.

  3. 2021-12-02
    listed $67,500 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Looking for a home that is move in ready? This is the one! Homeowner is working hard to finish the remodel of this home getting it ready for the new owner. Be on the look out next week of pictures that will show off the new fresh look of the inside of this home.

  4. 2006-08-01
    soldstatus $54,000
  5. 2006-08-01
    soldstatus $54,000
  6. 2003-09-01
    soldstatus $65,000
  7. 2003-09-01
    soldstatus $65,000
  8. 1995-06-01
    soldstatus $34,050
  9. 1995-06-01
    soldstatus $34,050

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,145
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$892
− Management
−$892
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$1,479
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$355
After-tax cash flow
$2,230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elkhart
NCES district ID
2005790
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$42,271
Composite
28.3/100
National rank
#6788
State rank
#80 of 169 in KS

Livability — Elkhart

Score
72/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#6297

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elkhart, KS
Population (ZIP)
1,786

Population outlook (Morton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576 people
By 2030
2,363 · -8.3%
By 2040
1,940 · -24.7%
By 2050
1,559 · -39.5%
By 2075
881 · -65.8%
By 2100
558 · -78.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% English 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morton

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.4) · D 12.4% · R 85.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.5pp toward R · 2008: -65.9pp · 2024: -73.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.4 2020: R+73.7 2016: R+71.1 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+65.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.16%
Current HPI
128.3365
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+120.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $75,000 FSBO.com
  • 2022-03-04 Sold (MLS) SWKSBOR
  • 2021-12-02 Listed $67,500 SWKSBOR
  • 2006-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1995-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,050 Public Records
  • 1995-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,050 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…