10 Johnson Park · Utica, NY 13501

$49,950

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market

Built 1910 1,995 sqft lot $49/sqft · 53% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Calling all investors! Bring your vision and hard work to bring this property back to life. Located in the heart of Johnson Park area in Utica, this property offers plenty of off street parking, a large spacious living area, enclosed front porch and a full basement! The property is in need of full rehab, but is priced accordingly. Sold as-is, cash only.

Key facts

• Off street parking
• Full basement
• Enclosed front porch

Tags

• OFF STREET PARKING
• LARGE SPACIOUS LIVING AREA
• ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH
• FULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Single-story property; Existing construction
• Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation
• Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Porch; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 57

Interior

• Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
• Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedrooms included) - specific bedroom locations not provided
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
• Interior features: Living/dining room; Enclosed porch; See remarks
• Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $989 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 30.1% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
• Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $49,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 30.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 84.88%
• DSCR: 4.78
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $105,217
• List price: $49,950
• Delta: -52.53%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1553 Neilson St	0.38mi	3/1.0	1,110 (+8%)	3mo	$62,500	$56	62
324-326 James St	0.46mi	3/1.5	924 (-10%)	3mo	$60,000	$65	58
1637 Taylor Ave	0.66mi	3/2.0	1,102 (+8%)	8mo	$130,000	$118	50
1609 Brinckerhoff Ave	0.56mi	3/1.0	936 (-9%)	10mo	$167,000	$178	47
1409 Conkling Ave	0.50mi	3/1.0	926 (-10%)	15mo	$124,000	$134	44
1237 Lincoln Ave	0.64mi	3/1.0	1,043 (+2%)	23mo	$35,000	$34	44
813 Mulberry St	0.74mi	3/1.0	1,025 (+0%)	22mo	$80,000	$78	43
407 Pleasant St	0.70mi	3/1.5	1,148 (+12%)	9mo	$190,000	$166	37
630 Rosemont Pl	0.74mi	3/1.0	1,125 (+10%)	18mo	$185,000	$164	30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 94.4%
• Equity multiple: 7.45×
• Total profit: $90,266
• Equity at exit: $44,999

10-year hold

• IRR: 89.4%
• Equity multiple: 16.47×
• Total profit: $216,369
• Equity at exit: $97,042

Cash invested: $13,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13501

• Home prices YoY: 5.6%
• Active inventory: 143
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,741 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$366
• Net cashflow: $989

Break-even live

Break-even rent $489

Max offer price $49,950

Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,488
• Closing costs: $1,498
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1124 Dudley Ave Unit 1 Utica, NY	3.0	1.0	1300	$1,400	$1.08	44d	1	0.40mi
11 Noyes St Unit 4 Utica, NY	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,125	$1.12	44d	1	0.53mi
239 Genesee St Utica, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1200	$2,700	$2.25	44d	15	0.59mi
221 Elizabeth St #2 Utica, NY	2.0	1.0	1100	$2,000	$1.82	44d	1	0.72mi
119 Hotel St Utica, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1053	$2,300	$2.18	44d	14	0.95mi
1224 Whitesboro St Unit 1 Utica, NY	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,125	$1.02	44d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-12
   listed $49,950 Active 355-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,238 · $103/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,238 · $103/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,890
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,798
• − Property taxes: −$1,238
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,671
• − Management: −$1,671
• − Depreciation: −$1,453
• Taxable income: $11,809
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,834
• After-tax cash flow: $9,038/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Utica City School District
• NCES district ID: 3629370
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $31,834
• Composite: 29.01/100
• National rank: #6613
• State rank: #562 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #104
• US rank: #1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Utica, NY
• County: Oneida County · 89,710 people
• City population: 72,968
• Metro: Utica-Rome, NY
• Population (ZIP): 38,931
• Household income: $52,548
• Rent vs Own: 49.2% rent · 50.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2251.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 225,223 people
• By 2030: 220,384 · -2.1%
• By 2040: 209,071 · -7.2%
• By 2050: 197,920 · -12.1%
• By 2075: 175,541 · -22.1%
• By 2100: 148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
• Common ancestry: American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 20.28%
• Current HPI: 382.3726
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Utica-Rome, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-28 Pending — CNYIS
• 2026-05-12 Listed $49,950 CNYIS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,238 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.