CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
986 County Road 156 Rd
C Composite 59.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

986 County Road 156 Rd · Jemison, AL 35085
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 136 Days on market
Built 2013 1.08 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This wonderful home is move-in ready and sits on 1.08 acres in a peaceful, country setting. Clayton Homes double wide was built in September of 2008 and is situated on a HUD/FHA compliant permanent foundation. Many updates including new flooring, new paint, new (04/2021) underground storm shelter and fenced back yard. Home being sold "as-is". This gem will not last long, so schedule your private viewing TODAY!

Key facts

  • 1.08-acre lot
  • Front porch deck
  • Custom cabinets

Tags

1.08-ACRE LOTFENCED BACKYARDFRONT PORCH DECKCUSTOM CABINETSWORK ISLANDOVERSIZED UTILITY ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Septic tank; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Partial fencing; Mature trees; Located outside city limits; Level topography; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range with smooth cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Plumbed for ice maker
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
  • Flooring: Plank flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Double pane windows; Storm windows; Insulated doors; Separate shower; Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast bar
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room on the first floor; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.1% in Jemison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#393 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $97k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.44%
Cash-on-cash
11.24%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$679
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$28,635
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35085

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,568 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $431 -5% $386 +0% $341 +5% $296 +10% $251
Rent -10% $217 -5% $279 +0% $341 +5% $403 +10% $465
Rate -1.0pp $406 -0.5pp $374 base $341 +0.5pp $307 +1.0pp $273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $129,900 Pending 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 121 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 120 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 119 DOM
  15. 2026-04-20
    historical Contingent
  16. 2026-04-09
    price $129,900
  17. 2026-03-04
    price $137,500
  18. 2026-01-30
    listed $144,900 Active
  19. 2022-01-24
    soldstatus $97,000
  20. 2021-12-10
    soldstatus $97,000 Sold 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    This wonderful home is move-in ready and sits on 1.08 acres in a peaceful, country setting. Clayton Homes double wide was built in September of 2008 and is situated on a HUD/FHA compliant permanent foundation. Many updates including new flooring, new paint, new (04/2021) underground storm shelter and fenced back yard. Home being sold "as-is". This gem will not last long, so schedule your private viewing TODAY!

  21. 2021-11-10
    historical Contingent 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    This wonderful home is move-in ready and sits on 1.08 acres in a peaceful, country setting. Clayton Homes double wide was built in September of 2008 and is situated on a HUD/FHA compliant permanent foundation. Many updates including new flooring, new paint, new (04/2021) underground storm shelter and fenced back yard. Home being sold "as-is". This gem will not last long, so schedule your private viewing TODAY!

  22. 2021-10-31
    price $97,000 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    This wonderful home is move-in ready and sits on 1.08 acres in a peaceful, country setting. Clayton Homes double wide was built in September of 2008 and is situated on a HUD/FHA compliant permanent foundation. Many updates including new flooring, new paint, new (04/2021) underground storm shelter and fenced back yard. Home being sold "as-is". This gem will not last long, so schedule your private viewing TODAY!

  23. 2021-10-22
    price $101,900 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    This wonderful home is move-in ready and sits on 1.08 acres in a peaceful, country setting. Clayton Homes double wide was built in September of 2008 and is situated on a HUD/FHA compliant permanent foundation. Many updates including new flooring, new paint, new (04/2021) underground storm shelter and fenced back yard. Home being sold "as-is". This gem will not last long, so schedule your private viewing TODAY!

  24. 2021-10-11
    listed $109,900 Active 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    This wonderful home is move-in ready and sits on 1.08 acres in a peaceful, country setting. Clayton Homes double wide was built in September of 2008 and is situated on a HUD/FHA compliant permanent foundation. Many updates including new flooring, new paint, new (04/2021) underground storm shelter and fenced back yard. Home being sold "as-is". This gem will not last long, so schedule your private viewing TODAY!

  25. 2018-09-07
    soldstatus $67,900 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    THE RIGHT PRICE FOR A TOTALLY RENOVATED HOME ON ACREAGE in Jemison, Alabama! 2009 3 bedroom, 2 full bath sits back off County Road 156 and has been lovingly restored back to excellent condition. Upgrades include a new kitchen with NEW appliances, NEW back splash, NEW flooring and fresh NEW paint throughout. Country atmosphere yet close to interstate travel into metro Birmingham. The split bedroom plan is very desirable, as well as the open floor plan. Don't wait! Get this one under contract today. FHA financing available with only 3.5% down at closing if you qualify. Call listing agent for information on how to finance.

  26. 2018-07-28
    listed $67,900 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    THE RIGHT PRICE FOR A TOTALLY RENOVATED HOME ON ACREAGE in Jemison, Alabama! 2009 3 bedroom, 2 full bath sits back off County Road 156 and has been lovingly restored back to excellent condition. Upgrades include a new kitchen with NEW appliances, NEW back splash, NEW flooring and fresh NEW paint throughout. Country atmosphere yet close to interstate travel into metro Birmingham. The split bedroom plan is very desirable, as well as the open floor plan. Don't wait! Get this one under contract today. FHA financing available with only 3.5% down at closing if you qualify. Call listing agent for information on how to finance.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,813
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,505
− Management
−$1,505
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$2,149
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$516
After-tax cash flow
$3,574/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chilton County
NCES district ID
0100660
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,269
Composite
20.73/100
National rank
#8520
State rank
#94 of 129 in AL

Livability — Jemison

Score
57/100
State rank
#393
US rank
#22101

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
8,786
Population (ZIP)
8,786

Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,064 people
By 2030
43,694 · -0.8%
By 2040
42,168 · -4.3%
By 2050
39,667 · -10.0%
By 2075
31,397 · -28.7%
By 2100
21,319 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 7% Native American 6% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Chilton

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.73%
Current HPI
194.1068
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Contingent MAAR
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $129,900 MAAR
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $137,500 MAAR
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $144,900 MAAR
  • 2022-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 2021-12-10 Sold (MLS) $97,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-11-10 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-10-31 Price Changed $97,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-10-22 Price Changed $101,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-10-11 Listed $109,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-09-07 Sold (MLS) $67,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-07-28 Listed $67,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $188 · -44.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…