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3170 Parker Dam Rd #8
B Composite 74.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

3170 Parker Dam Rd #8 · Parker Strip, AZ 85344
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured · 41 Days on market
Built 1972 Good condition $139/sqft · 30% below area Est $198k · 30% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

On leased land- Bring the boats, trailers & toys -- Seller is including 1 YEAR PREPAID lease plus non-covered storage parking spot at Winnetou Storage! Welcome to easy river living in this beautifully remodeled and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 2-bath retreat located in a peaceful year-round community along the Colorado River. Completely turnkey and move-in ready, this home blends modern upgrades with a relaxed river lifestyle designed for enjoying every moment. Inside, you'll find stylish finishes, updated interiors, and comfortable living spaces perfect for weekend escapes or full-time living. The private community dock makes it easy to spend your days on the water, while nearby Takeo

Key facts

  • Remodeled retreat
  • Fully furnished
  • Mountain views

Tags

REMODELED RETREATFULLY FURNISHEDPRIVATE COMMUNITY DOCKMOUNTAIN VIEWSDEDICATED PARKINGNEARBY STORAGE AVAILABILITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Parker Strip subdivision
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: Land is leased; Zoned PA-MH (Manufactured Home Overlay District)

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; 200+ amp electric service; Septic tank / other sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Updated/remodeled; Built by Skyline Corp; 12 ft x 60 ft
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vertical siding; Rolled/hot mop roof; Single wide manufactured body type
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Front yard fencing; Wood fencing; Has a view; Level lot; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fans; Multiple cooling units; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen island; Window coverings; Furnished; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry with electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.7% in Parker Strip — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#150 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Parker Unified School District (4510) (town): math 18% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #200 of 249 in AZ (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.31%
Cash-on-cash
17.93%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$198,380
List price
$139,000
Delta
-29.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3020 N Parker Dam Rd #11 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+1%) 5mo $220,000 $218 88
3020 N Parker Dam Rd #12 0.15mi 2/2.0 960 (-4%) 8mo $165,000 $172 80
3654 N Highway 95 #21 0.58mi 2/2.0 992 (-1%) 1mo $199,000 $201 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$10,356
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$51,550
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85344

Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,952 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax est. 1.5%
$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,300
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $139,000 Active 1198-char remark
  18. 2025-08-28
    listed $129,900 Active
  19. 2025-08-05
    price $144,900
  20. 2025-05-23
    listed $149,900 Active
  21. 2025-04-11
    listed $174,990 Active
  22. 2021-04-20
    listed $159,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,426
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,085
− Insurance
−$1,492
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,874
− Management
−$1,874
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$4,270
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,025
After-tax cash flow
$5,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This turnkey manufactured home is in good condition with modern updates and a peaceful riverfront location.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and view

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and view

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Parker Unified School District (4510)
NCES district ID
0405980
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$34,354
Composite
14.76/100
National rank
#9392
State rank
#200 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Parker Strip

Score
61/100
State rank
#150
US rank
#17689

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Parker Strip, AZ
Population (ZIP)
9,069

Population outlook (La Paz County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,409 people
By 2030
17,592 · -4.4%
By 2040
16,600 · -9.8%
By 2050
16,328 · -11.3%
By 2075
17,075 · -7.2%
By 2100
17,042 · -7.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 34% Native American 23% Two or more races 19% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · La Paz

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-15.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -44.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.2 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.38%
Current HPI
198.2271
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $139,000 LHAR
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $129,900 LHAR
  • 2025-08-05 Price Changed $144,900 LHAR
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $149,900 LHAR
  • 2025-04-11 Listed $174,990 LHAR
  • 2021-04-20 Listed $159,000 LHAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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