3170 Parker Dam Rd #8 · Parker Strip, AZ
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
On leased land- Bring the boats, trailers & toys -- Seller is including 1 YEAR PREPAID lease plus non-covered storage parking spot at Winnetou Storage! Welcome to easy river living in this beautifully remodeled and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 2-bath retreat located in a peaceful year-round community along the Colorado River. Completely turnkey and move-in ready, this home blends modern upgrades with a relaxed river lifestyle designed for enjoying every moment. Inside, you'll find stylish finishes, updated interiors, and comfortable living spaces perfect for weekend escapes or full-time living. The private community dock makes it easy to spend your days on the water, while nearby Takeo
Key facts
- Remodeled retreat
- Fully furnished
- Mountain views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Parker Strip subdivision
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: Land is leased; Zoned PA-MH (Manufactured Home Overlay District)
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; 200+ amp electric service; Septic tank / other sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Updated/remodeled; Built by Skyline Corp; 12 ft x 60 ft
- Construction: Frame construction; Vertical siding; Rolled/hot mop roof; Single wide manufactured body type
- Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Front yard fencing; Wood fencing; Has a view; Level lot; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fans; Multiple cooling units; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen island; Window coverings; Furnished; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry with electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.7% in Parker Strip — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#150 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Parker Unified School District (4510) (town): math 18% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #200 of 249 in AZ (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.93%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $198,380
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- -29.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3020 N Parker Dam Rd #11 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (+1%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $218 | 88 |
| 3020 N Parker Dam Rd #12 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-4%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $172 | 80 |
| 3654 N Highway 95 #21 | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 992 (-1%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $201 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $10,356
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $51,550
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85344
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,952 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $515
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$139,000 Active 1198-char remark
-
2025-08-28$129,900 Active
-
2025-08-05price $144,900
-
2025-05-23$149,900 Active
-
2025-04-11$174,990 Active
-
2021-04-20$159,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,085
- − Insurance
- −$1,492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,874
- − Management
- −$1,874
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $4,270
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,025
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,157/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This turnkey manufactured home is in good condition with modern updates and a peaceful riverfront location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and view
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and view ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parker Unified School District (4510)
- NCES district ID
- 0405980
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,354
- Composite
- 14.76/100
- National rank
- #9392
- State rank
- #200 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Parker Strip
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #150
- US rank
- #17689
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parker Strip, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,069
Population outlook (La Paz County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,409 people
- By 2030
- 17,592 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 16,600 · -9.8%
- By 2050
- 16,328 · -11.3%
- By 2075
- 17,075 · -7.2%
- By 2100
- 17,042 · -7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 34% Native American 23% Two or more races 19% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · La Paz
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -44.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.2 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.38%
- Current HPI
- 198.2271
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-12.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $139,000 LHAR
- 2025-08-28 Listed $129,900 LHAR
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $144,900 LHAR
- 2025-05-23 Listed $149,900 LHAR
- 2025-04-11 Listed $174,990 LHAR
- 2021-04-20 Listed $159,000 LHAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…