10100 Burnt Store Rd #63 · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully upgraded, Fully Furnished (including TVs) 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,224 square feet of well-designed living space plus a spacious 12x24 bonus room, creating flexibility for a home office, hobby room, den, or additional guest space. From the moment you step inside, you’ll notice the difference. Drywall throughout, 6-inch interior and exterior walls, and vaulted ceilings give this home the feel and finish of site-built construction. The open-concept living room, kitchen, and dining area provide a bright and welcoming layout that’s perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen has been tastefully updated with new marble countertops, an undermount s
Key facts
- Inviting lanai
- Spacious bonus room
- Built in bar area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Third-party listing; Directions available to community entrance
- Financial info: Total monthly HOA fees $250 (total annual $3,000); Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: River Haven Inc. HOA (monthly fee $250); Association fee covers pool, maintenance of grounds, sewer, trash and water; Community clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard court, and dog park; Senior community; Pets allowed; Association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Broadband/High-speed internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Northeast facing; Homesteaded
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace and stilt/on piling foundation; Built as double wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Freezer; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Stone counters; Solid wood cabinets
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Crown molding; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Solid wood cabinets; Stone counters; Vaulted ceilings; Window treatments; Bonus room; Total of 8 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry in a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.8% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 999 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $155k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.32%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,792
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3220 Acline Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-14%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $133 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-18,737
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-24,371
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33950
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 999
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,288 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $650/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3845 Albacete Cir #50 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 20d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 26162 Stillwater Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3800 Tripoli Blvd #35 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $4,200 | $2.89 | 20d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 26120 Jones Loop Rd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1105 | $1,940 | $1.75 | 13d | 27 | 0.71mi |
| 3701 Albacete Cir #98 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $3,250 | $2.24 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15 N Cardinal Unit B15 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 20d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 449 Royal Poinciana #221 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,750 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7361 S Plum Tree Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-02-09$155,000 Active
-
2023-09-17historical
-
2023-05-06price $285,000
-
2023-03-15$275,000 Active
-
2003-11-01soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $650 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,286 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$637/yr (+$53/mo · 97.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$650
- − Insurance
- −$5,894
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,197
- − Management
- −$2,197
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$80
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,955
- Household income
- $76,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 608.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.73%
- Current HPI
- 261.6573
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.06%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+287.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-17 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-06 Price Changed $285,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-15 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $650 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…