39 Bentwood Rd · Conyngham, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a pleasure it would be to call this beautiful bi-level home! New siding, new roof, completely remodeled inside, just bring your belongings and start enjoying. Modern kitchen with granite counters, stainless appliances, 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, family room, 2 car garage and deck situated on a half acre.
Key facts
- Finished ll rec rm
- Minutes from i80
- Half-acre
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-313 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (18.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (28.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $213k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.5% in Conyngham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#331 in PA, #2,897 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; list at $300k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.47%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $356,060
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Bentwood Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,874 (0%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $149 | 100 |
| 36 Bentwood Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,708 (-9%) | 6mo | $370,000 | $217 | 74 |
| 431 Cedar Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,826 (-3%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $183 | 73 |
| 435 Cedar Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,826 (-3%) | 10mo | $346,900 | $190 | 69 |
| 415 Cedar Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 2,088 (+11%) | 3mo | $418,650 | $201 | 64 |
| 439 Cedar Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 | 1,826 (-3%) | 22mo | $319,900 | $175 | 58 |
| 405 Cedar Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 2,088 (+11%) | 13mo | $409,900 | $196 | 56 |
| 443 Cedar Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,826 (-3%) | 24mo | $319,900 | $175 | 56 |
| 235 Mountain Rd | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,004 (+7%) | 9mo | $409,900 | $205 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $143,377
- Equity at exit
- $270,174
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.21×
- Total profit
- $437,878
- Equity at exit
- $582,640
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18222
- Home prices YoY
- 10.2%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,133 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,611/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $-313
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-02-25$299,900 Active
-
2020-10-15soldstatus $190,000
-
2020-10-07soldstatus $190,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
What a pleasure it would be to call this beautiful bi-level home! New siding, new roof, completely remodeled inside, just bring your belongings and start enjoying. Modern kitchen with granite counters, stainless appliances, 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, family room, 2 car garage and deck situated on a half acre.
-
2020-06-08$194,900 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
What a pleasure it would be to call this beautiful bi-level home! New siding, new roof, completely remodeled inside, just bring your belongings and start enjoying. Modern kitchen with granite counters, stainless appliances, 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, family room, 2 car garage and deck situated on a half acre.
-
2020-01-23soldstatus $120,000
-
2020-01-17soldstatus $120,000 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Country living at a great price! 3 bedroom bi level in Bentwood Village! Large rec room with coal stove and pressed cedar closets. Composite deck off the kitchen is perfect for all your BBQs! Large 2 car garage.
-
2019-12-07$129,000 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Country living at a great price! 3 bedroom bi level in Bentwood Village! Large rec room with coal stove and pressed cedar closets. Composite deck off the kitchen is perfect for all your BBQs! Large 2 car garage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,611 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,175 · $348/mo
- Expected delta
- +$564/yr (+$47/mo · 15.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,602
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$3,611
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,048
- − Management
- −$2,048
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$9,128
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,191
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,567/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazleton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,247
- Composite
- 20.44/100
- National rank
- #8582
- State rank
- #476 of 539 in PA
Livability — Conyngham
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #2897
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,072
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,946
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.01%
- Current HPI
- 302.4923
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+132.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-02-25 Listed $299,900 LCAR
- 2020-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-07 Sold (MLS) $190,000 LCAR
- 2020-06-08 Listed $194,900 LCAR
- 2020-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-17 Sold (MLS) $120,000 LCAR
- 2019-12-07 Listed $129,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $3,611 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…