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4810 N Old Milan Rd
C- Composite 52.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

4810 N Old Milan Rd · Milan, IN 47031
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,629 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 790 Days on market
Built 1870 2.16 ac lot $41/sqft · 47% below area Est $283k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large Four Bedroom 2 Bath home on 2.2 acres with Inground Pool and Several Large outbuildings one steel truss building 45'x45' with 16' eave height. Another 56'x27' with Concrete Floor. Lots of area to work or play.

Key facts

  • Large outbuildings
  • Inground pool
  • 2.16 acre lot

Tags

LARGE OUTBUILDINGSINGROUND POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#199 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Milan Community Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #210 of 301 in IN (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Ripley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ripley County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 790 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $249k (62%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 790 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.51%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$283,414
List price
$150,000
Delta
-47.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-18,676
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-8,945
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47031

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,303/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,318
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 790 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 789 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 788 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 787 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 785 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 784 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 781 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 780 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 779 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 777 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 775 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 774 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 773 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 772 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 771 DOM
  16. 2026-03-14
    price $150,000 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Large Four Bedroom 2 Bath home on 2.2 acres with Inground Pool and Several Large outbuildings one steel truss building 45'x45' with 16' eave height. Another 56'x27' with Concrete Floor. Lots of area to work or play.

  17. 2026-01-07
    price $225,000 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Large Four Bedroom 2 Bath home on 2.2 acres with Inground Pool and Several Large outbuildings one steel truss building 45'x45' with 16' eave height. Another 56'x27' with Concrete Floor. Lots of area to work or play.

  18. 2025-11-06
    status Active 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Large Four Bedroom 2 Bath home on 2.2 acres with Inground Pool and Several Large outbuildings one steel truss building 45'x45' with 16' eave height. Another 56'x27' with Concrete Floor. Lots of area to work or play.

  19. 2024-09-05
    price $245,000 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Large Four Bedroom 2 Bath home on 2.2 acres with Inground Pool and Several Large outbuildings one steel truss building 45'x45' with 16' eave height. Another 56'x27' with Concrete Floor. Lots of area to work or play.

  20. 2024-06-24
    price $285,000 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Large Four Bedroom 2 Bath home on 2.2 acres with Inground Pool and Several Large outbuildings one steel truss building 45'x45' with 16' eave height. Another 56'x27' with Concrete Floor. Lots of area to work or play.

  21. 2024-04-19
    listed $399,000 Active 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Large Four Bedroom 2 Bath home on 2.2 acres with Inground Pool and Several Large outbuildings one steel truss building 45'x45' with 16' eave height. Another 56'x27' with Concrete Floor. Lots of area to work or play.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,303 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,303 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,151
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,303
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$339
After-tax cash flow
$1,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milan Community Schools
NCES district ID
1806630
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,567
Composite
28.11/100
National rank
#6825
State rank
#210 of 301 in IN

Livability — Milan

Score
69/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#8900

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,179

Population outlook (Ripley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,713 people
By 2030
28,400 · -1.1%
By 2040
27,288 · -5.0%
By 2050
25,691 · -10.5%
By 2075
22,222 · -22.6%
By 2100
17,965 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Ripley

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.5) · D 18.6% · R 80.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -61.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.5 2020: R+59.5 2016: R+57.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.94%
Current HPI
218.6516
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-62.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $150,000 SEIBR
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $225,000 SEIBR
  • 2025-11-06 Relisted SEIBR
  • 2024-09-05 Price Changed $245,000 SEIBR
  • 2024-06-24 Price Changed $285,000 SEIBR
  • 2024-04-19 Listed $399,000 SEIBR

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,303 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…