3100 Rode Rd · Melody Hill, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lots of possibilities with this 3-bedroom Brick Ranch-Style home featuring a partially finished basement and attached carport. Large Living Room with hardwood floors underneath the carpet, as well as in other areas of the home. The galley kitchen is adjoined by a sunlit dining area. There is big backyard with a nice storage barn and mature trees.
Key facts
- Built 1954
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#249 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $141k; list at $230k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.33%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,400
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2609 Ashwood Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (-2%) | 3mo | $187,000 | $174 | 75 |
| 3041 Ivy Meadow Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,189 (+8%) | 11mo | $226,000 | $190 | 66 |
| 2625 Ashwood Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,015 (-8%) | 7mo | $113,000 | $111 | 63 |
| 4901 Elmhurst Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,052 (-4%) | 19mo | $153,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 3625 Ebbets Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (+0%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $231 | 59 |
| 5026 Cunningham Dr | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+14%) | 19mo | $189,900 | $152 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-10,721
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $51,094
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47711
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,166 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,482/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $416 | -5% $351 | +0% $286 | +5% $221 | +10% $156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $115 | -5% $200 | +0% $286 | +5% $371 | +10% $457 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $402 | -0.5pp $344 | base $286 | +0.5pp $226 | +1.0pp $166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2807 Ridgewood Dr Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,075 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3629 Mariner Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,895 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4901 Pleasant Ridge Dr Evansville, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $999 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3617 Harvard Ct Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,700 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4808 Old Tyme Ct Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1052 | $3,074 | $2.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6143 Boston Way Unit 6143 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $2,500 | $3.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6145 Boston Way Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $2,500 | $3.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6147 Boston Way Unit 6147 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $2,500 | $3.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6209 Boston Way Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $2,500 | $3.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6231 Boston Way Unit 6231 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $3,500 | $2.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4208 Spring Valley Rd Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1483 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-26$230,000
-
2022-12-09soldstatus $141,000 Closed 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Many possibilities with this 3-bedroom Brick Ranch-Style home featuring a partially finished basement and attached carport. Large Living Room with hardwood floors underneath the carpet, as well as in other areas of the home. The galley kitchen is adjoined by a sunlit dining area. There is Big backyard with a nice storage barn and mature trees.
-
2022-12-09soldstatus $141,000 Closed 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Many possibilities with this 3-bedroom Brick Ranch-Style home featuring a partially finished basement and attached carport. Large Living Room with hardwood floors underneath the carpet, as well as in other areas of the home. The galley kitchen is adjoined by a sunlit dining area. There is Big backyard with a nice storage barn and mature trees.
-
2022-11-15status Pending 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Many possibilities with this 3-bedroom Brick Ranch-Style home featuring a partially finished basement and attached carport. Large Living Room with hardwood floors underneath the carpet, as well as in other areas of the home. The galley kitchen is adjoined by a sunlit dining area. There is Big backyard with a nice storage barn and mature trees.
-
2022-11-13historical 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Lots of possibilities with this 3-bedroom Brick Ranch-Style home featuring a partially finished basement and attached carport. Large Living Room with hardwood floors underneath the carpet, as well as in other areas of the home. The galley kitchen is adjoined by a sunlit dining area. There is big backyard with a nice storage barn and mature trees.
-
2022-11-11$125,000 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Lots of possibilities with this 3-bedroom Brick Ranch-Style home featuring a partially finished basement and attached carport. Large Living Room with hardwood floors underneath the carpet, as well as in other areas of the home. The galley kitchen is adjoined by a sunlit dining area. There is big backyard with a nice storage barn and mature trees.
-
2022-11-10$125,000 Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Many possibilities with this 3-bedroom Brick Ranch-Style home featuring a partially finished basement and attached carport. Large Living Room with hardwood floors underneath the carpet, as well as in other areas of the home. The galley kitchen is adjoined by a sunlit dining area. There is Big backyard with a nice storage barn and mature trees.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,482 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,719 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$236/yr (+$20/mo · 15.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,995
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$1,482
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,080
- − Management
- −$2,080
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$371
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$89
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Melody Hill
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #249
- US rank
- #10594
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Melody Hill, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,944
- Household income
- $66,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.98%
- Current HPI
- 205.62
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+84.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $230,000 FSBO.com
- 2022-12-09 Sold (MLS) $141,000 IRMLS
- 2022-12-09 Sold (MLS) $141,000 HABOR
- 2022-11-15 Pending — IRMLS
- 2022-11-13 Delisted — HABOR
- 2022-11-11 Listed $125,000 HABOR
- 2022-11-10 Listed $125,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,482 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…