19208 Pine Dr #204 · Country Club Hills, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
VERY RARE 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH CONDO ..... UNIT IS LOCATED ON THE 2ND FLOOR. UNIT HAS MASTER BEDROOM WITH PRIVATE BATH, BALCONY, IN-UNIT LAUNDRY AND 1 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES INCLUDING HIGHWAY ACCESS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, AND ALL FORMS OF SHOPPING. Multiple offers received - Highest & Best due Friday, 8/5/16 by 12:00 noon.
Key facts
- Easy access to i 57
- New range
- New led lights
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a 4-unit building; Living area source: assessor
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $220; Association fee covers insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, and other services; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (off-site); 2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single condo; Entry level: 1; Built approximately 41–50 years ago; Built before 1978
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Common lot area
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the second level (9 x 9); Refrigerator; Gas oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the second level); Master bedroom on the second level with a full bath; Second bedroom on the second level (12 x 10); Third bedroom on the second level (10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 7.4% in Country Club Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $105k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.49%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $26,244
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $79,542
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60478
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,429 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$431 /mo · $5,166/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$220
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $674
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $2,250 | $1.86 | 1d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $1,900 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4962 Bennett St Matteson, IL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1341 | $3,120 | $2.33 | 1d | 7 | 1.39mi |
| 18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,800 | $2.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $220 · $2,640/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 33 events
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2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 294 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 293 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 292 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 291 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 285 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 284 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-05-18price $105,000
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2026-03-25status Active
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2026-03-19status Pending
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2026-03-17price $110,000
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2026-02-24price $115,000
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2025-12-07price $120,000
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2025-10-16price $125,500
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2025-10-07price $126,500
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2025-09-21price $127,500
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2025-08-26price $130,000
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2025-08-22$135,000 Active
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2016-09-13soldstatus $30,500 Closed Sale 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
VERY RARE 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH CONDO ..... UNIT IS LOCATED ON THE 2ND FLOOR. UNIT HAS MASTER BEDROOM WITH PRIVATE BATH, BALCONY, IN-UNIT LAUNDRY AND 1 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES INCLUDING HIGHWAY ACCESS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, AND ALL FORMS OF SHOPPING. Multiple offers received - Highest & Best due Friday, 8/5/16 by 12:00 noon.
-
2016-08-08status Pending 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
VERY RARE 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH CONDO ..... UNIT IS LOCATED ON THE 2ND FLOOR. UNIT HAS MASTER BEDROOM WITH PRIVATE BATH, BALCONY, IN-UNIT LAUNDRY AND 1 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES INCLUDING HIGHWAY ACCESS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, AND ALL FORMS OF SHOPPING. Multiple offers received - Highest & Best due Friday, 8/5/16 by 12:00 noon.
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2016-07-26$26,500 New 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
VERY RARE 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH CONDO ..... UNIT IS LOCATED ON THE 2ND FLOOR. UNIT HAS MASTER BEDROOM WITH PRIVATE BATH, BALCONY, IN-UNIT LAUNDRY AND 1 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES INCLUDING HIGHWAY ACCESS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, AND ALL FORMS OF SHOPPING. Multiple offers received - Highest & Best due Friday, 8/5/16 by 12:00 noon.
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2016-05-02status Pending
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2016-05-02historical
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2016-04-06New
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2007-07-18historical
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2007-04-19
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1987-07-15soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,166 · $431/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,166 · $431/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,142
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$5,166
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,331
- − Management
- −$2,331
- − HOA
- −$2,640
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $7,212
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,731
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Country Club Hills
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #3963
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Country Club Hills, IL
- City population
- 16,549
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,549
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.73%
- Current HPI
- 212.3917
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+133.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $105,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-07 Price Changed $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $125,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $126,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-21 Price Changed $127,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $130,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-22 Listed $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-13 Sold (MLS) $30,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-26 Listed $26,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-02 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-19 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2023): $5,166 · +50.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…