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19208 Pine Dr #204
B- Composite 67.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

19208 Pine Dr #204 · Country Club Hills, IL 60478
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Condo · 294 Days on market
Built 1976 $220/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

VERY RARE 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH CONDO ..... UNIT IS LOCATED ON THE 2ND FLOOR. UNIT HAS MASTER BEDROOM WITH PRIVATE BATH, BALCONY, IN-UNIT LAUNDRY AND 1 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES INCLUDING HIGHWAY ACCESS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, AND ALL FORMS OF SHOPPING. Multiple offers received - Highest & Best due Friday, 8/5/16 by 12:00 noon.

Key facts

  • Easy access to i 57
  • New range
  • New led lights

Tags

RECENTLY RENOVATEDLONG BALCONYNEW FRIDGENEW RANGENEW LED LIGHTSEASY ACCESS TO I 57

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a 4-unit building; Living area source: assessor
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $220; Association fee covers insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, and other services; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (off-site); 2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached single condo; Entry level: 1; Built approximately 41–50 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Common lot area

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the second level (9 x 9); Refrigerator; Gas oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the second level); Master bedroom on the second level with a full bath; Second bedroom on the second level (12 x 10); Third bedroom on the second level (10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 7.4% in Country Club Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $105k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
13.99%
Cash-on-cash
27.49%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$26,244
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$79,542
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60478

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,429 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$431 /mo · $5,166/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$220
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$510
Net cashflow
$674

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,576
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 2.5 1300 $2,500 $1.92 1d 1 0.82mi
2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1212 $2,250 $1.86 1d 1 0.89mi
1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.5 1216 $1,900 $1.56 1d 1 0.91mi
4962 Bennett St Matteson, IL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1341 $3,120 $2.33 1d 7 1.39mi
18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.5 1150 $2,800 $2.43 1d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$220 · $2,640/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 294 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 293 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 292 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 291 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 289 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 285 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 284 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 283 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 280 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 279 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 278 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 277 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 276 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    price $105,000
  15. 2026-03-25
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-19
    status Pending
  17. 2026-03-17
    price $110,000
  18. 2026-02-24
    price $115,000
  19. 2025-12-07
    price $120,000
  20. 2025-10-16
    price $125,500
  21. 2025-10-07
    price $126,500
  22. 2025-09-21
    price $127,500
  23. 2025-08-26
    price $130,000
  24. 2025-08-22
    listed $135,000 Active
  25. 2016-09-13
    soldstatus $30,500 Closed Sale 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    VERY RARE 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH CONDO ..... UNIT IS LOCATED ON THE 2ND FLOOR. UNIT HAS MASTER BEDROOM WITH PRIVATE BATH, BALCONY, IN-UNIT LAUNDRY AND 1 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES INCLUDING HIGHWAY ACCESS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, AND ALL FORMS OF SHOPPING. Multiple offers received - Highest & Best due Friday, 8/5/16 by 12:00 noon.

  26. 2016-08-08
    status Pending 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    VERY RARE 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH CONDO ..... UNIT IS LOCATED ON THE 2ND FLOOR. UNIT HAS MASTER BEDROOM WITH PRIVATE BATH, BALCONY, IN-UNIT LAUNDRY AND 1 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES INCLUDING HIGHWAY ACCESS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, AND ALL FORMS OF SHOPPING. Multiple offers received - Highest & Best due Friday, 8/5/16 by 12:00 noon.

  27. 2016-07-26
    listed $26,500 New 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    VERY RARE 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH CONDO ..... UNIT IS LOCATED ON THE 2ND FLOOR. UNIT HAS MASTER BEDROOM WITH PRIVATE BATH, BALCONY, IN-UNIT LAUNDRY AND 1 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES INCLUDING HIGHWAY ACCESS, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, AND ALL FORMS OF SHOPPING. Multiple offers received - Highest & Best due Friday, 8/5/16 by 12:00 noon.

  28. 2016-05-02
    status Pending
  29. 2016-05-02
    historical
  30. 2016-04-06
    listed New
  31. 2007-07-18
    historical
  32. 2007-04-19
    listed
  33. 1987-07-15
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,166 · $431/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,166 · $431/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,142
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$5,166
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,331
− Management
−$2,331
− HOA
−$2,640
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$7,212
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,731
After-tax cash flow
$6,352/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Country Club Hills

Score
75/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#3963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Country Club Hills, IL
City population
16,549
Population (ZIP)
16,549

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.73%
Current HPI
212.3917
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $105,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-25 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-07 Price Changed $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $125,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $126,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-21 Price Changed $127,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $130,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-13 Sold (MLS) $30,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-08 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-26 Listed $26,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-02 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-02 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-06 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-18 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-19 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,166 · +50.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…