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12558 Wilshire Dr
C Composite 59.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

12558 Wilshire Dr · Detroit, MI 48213
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,613 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1924 5,663 sqft lot Est $126k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ZERO DOWN REHAB FINISHED TO YOUR TASTES! This is a construction project (see the last picture) in which we bring you the contractor, and the financing. Through our partners at Huntington Bank, loans can be structured in most cases to offer you a zero down and minimal out of pocket cost to put you in a fully rehabbed home. The pictures here are to demonstrate what potential your new property will look like. Everything will be redone including a new kitchen, new bath, new second bath in the basement, new flooring, windows, recessed lighting, hvac, electrical and plumbing and driveway. All you do is tell the contractor what your vision is and watch it come to pass! Anything is possible at this stage. Let the contractor know what you want and he'll do his best to make it happen!

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.13 acres (39 x 150)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,390/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $119k implies a 982% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,215 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.94%
Cash-on-cash
9.45%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$125,814
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12816 Rosemary St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,659 (+3%) 4mo $131,000 $79 76
12646 Longview St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,750 (+8%) 7mo $73,750 $42 72
12304 Rosemary St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,480 (-8%) 5mo $22,000 $15 71
13310 Wilshire Dr 0.42mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,600 (-1%) 7mo $55,000 $34 66
8791 E Outer Dr 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,840 (+14%) 3mo $60,000 $33 66
12328 Longview St 0.17mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (-13%) 1mo $85,000 $61 62
12737 Promenade St 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-11%) 7mo $50,000 $35 62
12280 Wade St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,750 (+8%) 8mo $141,000 $81 52
13423 Kilbourne St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,450 (-10%) 8mo $113,000 $78 48
9364 E Outer Dr 0.61mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,808 (+12%) 4mo $150,000 $83 43
13361 Maiden St 0.56mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,786 (+11%) 4mo $165,000 $92 41
11235 Wade St 0.75mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,785 (+11%) 5mo $187,500 $105 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,533
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$19,443
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,390 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,947/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,058
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 18d 1 0.33mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 17d 1 0.35mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.41mi
11806 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 4.0 3.0 2000 $1,600 $0.80 24d 1 0.47mi
8205 E Outer Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1874 $1,400 $0.75 17d 1 0.56mi
11171 Charlemagne Ave Unit A Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1598 $1,200 $0.75 44d 1 0.79mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 0.92mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 0.96mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 17d 1 1.07mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 3d 1 1.09mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 3d 1 1.14mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 1.17mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 17d 1 1.18mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 18d 1 1.22mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 5d 1 1.23mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 1.23mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 44d 1 1.30mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 18d 1 1.31mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 11d 1 1.35mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 44d 1 1.41mi
17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,450 $1.10 17d 1 1.42mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 44d 1 1.44mi
12651 Kelly Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,150 $0.68 11d 1 1.46mi
12655 Kelly Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,150 $0.68 11d 1 1.46mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 17d 1 1.46mi
11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 1.49mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,947 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,947 · $162/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,685
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,947
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,335
− Management
−$1,335
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$1,345
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$323
After-tax cash flow
$2,827/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+621.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-08-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-08-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-02-21 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2012-02-21 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-04-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-10-31 Listed $84,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-10-27 Sold (MLS) $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-02 Listed $16,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,947 · +711.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…