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3406 Redbud Ln
D+ Composite 46.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$234,900

3406 Redbud Ln · Sapulpa, OK 74132
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 140 Days on market
Built 2023 1.00 ac lot Est $349k · 33% under ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICE REDUCED!! Welcome to your new home in Jenks School District. This townhome is perfect for someone looking to enjoy all of the benefits of a suburban lifestyle with life's modern luxuries. This 2-story townhome boasts an open floor plan living room, a chic kitchen w/ stainless appliances, and a bar eating area to accommodate gatherings. All of the bedrooms are upstairs. The primary suite has vaulted ceilings and hosts a large bathroom w/ double vanities and a nice sized walk in closet . Located in a nice area close to Tulsa Hills with an easy commute to downtown Tulsa.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Bar eating area
  • Stainless appliances

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSTAINLESS APPLIANCESBAR EATING AREAPRIMARY SUITEVAULTED CEILINGSDOUBLE VANITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual tax listed (financial details omitted from feature sections)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available (rural); Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Faces west; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built (public records)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Decorative fencing; Zero lot line

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath and walk-in closet (Second level); Bedroom (Second level); Bedroom (Second level)
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric and Gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vinyl windows; Laminate flooring; Granite counters; High ceilings; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-822/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (5.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.8% in Sapulpa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#88 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jenks (suburban): math 34% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #27 of 270 in OK (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Creek County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Recommended offer $206,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.25%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$349,160
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8025 S 28th WestAvenue 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,548 (-10%) 19mo $275,000 $178 45
3263 W 72nd St 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,970 (+14%) 8mo $400,000 $203 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-42,269
Equity at exit
$35,024
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-41,783
Equity at exit
$20,310

Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74132

Home prices YoY
-34.7%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,225 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$496 /mo · $5,954/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,311
Max offer price $222,798
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $64 -5% $-2 +0% $-69 +5% $-135 +10% $-201
Rent -10% $-244 -5% $-156 +0% $-69 +5% $19 +10% $107
Rate -1.0pp $50 -0.5pp $-9 base $-69 +0.5pp $-129 +1.0pp $-191

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,725
Closing costs
$7,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3401 Redbud Ln Tulsa, OK 3.0 2.5 1708 $2,250 $1.32 2d 5 0.04mi
1551 W 78th St Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 919 $1,390 $1.51 12d 5 1.29mi
2542 W 66th Pl Tulsa, OK 4.0 2.0 2200 $2,400 $1.09 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    remarks 580-char remark
  2. 2026-06-13
    listed $234,900 Pending 140 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,954 · $496/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,954 · $496/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,694
− Mortgage interest
−$13,158
− Property taxes
−$5,954
− Insurance
−$1,174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,136
− Management
−$2,136
− Depreciation
−$6,833
Taxable loss
−$4,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,127
After-tax cash flow
$305/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jenks
NCES district ID
4015720
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$66,291
Composite
31.5/100
National rank
#5973
State rank
#27 of 270 in OK

Livability — Sapulpa

Score
67/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#10676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sapulpa, OK
City population
32,292
Population (ZIP)
10,629

Population outlook (Creek County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
72,706 people
By 2030
73,032 · +0.4%
By 2040
72,788 · +0.1%
By 2050
71,558 · -1.6%
By 2075
69,248 · -4.8%
By 2100
62,722 · -13.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 6% Asian 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Creek

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.2% · R 77.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -41.6pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+54.8 2016: R+54.5 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+41.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -129.74%
Current HPI
244.1502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $234,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $279,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-09-03 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-09-03 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-09-03 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-09-02 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-09-02 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $279,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $289,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $299,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-02-04 Price Changed $319,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-01-03 Price Changed $329,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-12-03 Price Changed $339,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-10-28 Listed $349,900 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+430.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,954 · -12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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