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12 Depot St 🌊 Lakefront
D+ Composite 48.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$129,900

12 Depot St · Georgetown-Quitman County, GA 39854
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 37 Days on market
Built 1991 6,534 sqft lot Est $164k · 21% under · waterfront

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE REDUCED!! This 3 bed/2 bath home is the perfect home, retirement home, or weekend get-a-way! THIS PROPERTY COULD ALSO OFFER A SHORT TERM RENTAL OPTION WITH THE EXTRA LOTS! Home has an open, eat-in kitchen with new refrigerator, spacious family room, and lots of storage. .. .Both bedrooms have their own bath. Home is handicap accessible. Home sits on a huge corner (3 lots) and has a stunning water view! Property has 2 car covered carport, 2 covered porches, storage building, pear trees, and is beautifully landscaped. Watch the sunset from your front porch or from inside your Florida room! Home is located in desired gated community. HOA is $125 per lot ($375) and includes water, sewage, garbage, and lawn maintenance. Whispering Pines community has a common boat dock, clubhouse, pool, picnic area, and playground.

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Swimming pool
  • Community boat dock

Tags

GATED LAKEFRONT COMMUNITYELECTRIC FIREPLACELARGE COVERED FRONT PORCHCOMMUNITY BOAT DOCKCLUBHOUSESWIMMING POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned RES

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved, attached parking
  • Utilities: Private and public water available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story; Mobile home (residential); Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Shed(s) and additional storage; Property has a view; Accessible entrance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-644/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.8% in Georgetown-Quitman County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Quitman County (town): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #184 of 187 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Quitman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Quitman County population projected at -42% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,836 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.77%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,620
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Sunset Dr 1.46mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,280 (+7%) 8mo $129,000 $101 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$19,767
Equity at exit
$66,412
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$66,330
Equity at exit
$109,063

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 39854

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$-54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $122,130
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $36 -5% $-9 +0% $-54 +5% $-99 +10% $-143
Rent -10% $-138 -5% $-96 +0% $-54 +5% $-11 +10% $31
Rate -1.0pp $12 -0.5pp $-21 base $-54 +0.5pp $-87 +1.0pp $-122

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $129,900 Active 21 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,820
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,026
− Management
−$1,026
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$2,884
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$692
After-tax cash flow
$48/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quitman County
NCES district ID
1304290
Math proficiency
10% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,082
Composite
13.53/100
National rank
#14489
State rank
#184 of 187 in GA

Livability — Georgetown-Quitman County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Georgetown-Quitman County, GA
City population
2,407
Population (ZIP)
2,295

Population outlook (Quitman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,977 people
By 2030
1,789 · -9.5%
By 2040
1,445 · -26.9%
By 2050
1,148 · -41.9%
By 2075
590 · -70.2%
By 2100
328 · -83.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 48% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada, Jamaica

Political lean MEDSL · Quitman

2024 margin
R (+15.4) · D 42.1% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: 7.9pp · 2024: -15.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.4 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+10.9 2012: D+9.1 2008: D+7.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.07%
Current HPI
172.7909
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+78.2% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Relisted EBOR
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $129,900 EBOR
  • 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) EBOR
  • 2025-01-20 Price Changed $115,000 EBOR
  • 2024-07-11 Price Changed $120,000 EBOR
  • 2024-06-28 Relisted EBOR
  • 2024-03-14 Sold (MLS) EBOR
  • 2024-02-21 Price Changed $124,900 EBOR
  • 2024-02-05 Listed $139,500 EBOR
  • 2024-02-03 Listed $123,500 EBOR
  • 2023-09-05 Listed $145,000 EBOR
  • 2022-10-06 Sold (MLS) $89,500 GAMLS
  • 2022-10-06 Sold (MLS) EBOR
  • 2022-09-12 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-09-12 Contingent SAMLS
  • 2022-04-12 Listed $95,000 SAMLS
  • 2021-07-21 Price Changed $95,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-12-31 Listed $40,000 TBOR
  • 2020-10-02 Listed $95,000 EBOR
  • 2020-10-01 Listed $104,500 GAMLS
  • 2020-06-05 Sold (MLS) $40,000 TBOR
  • 2018-12-03 Sold (MLS) EBOR
  • 2018-06-28 Listed $72,900 EBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…