🏗️ New Construction
219 Daisy Ln · Saranac Lake, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Furnished and sparkling clean, this year-round Clayton built home is conveniently located in Birch Park in Saranac Lake. Built in 2021 and rarely used, it is located just steps away from the Saranac Lake/Lake Clear airport. Offered furnished. Monthly lot rent ($365.00) includes lease for lot, water and snow removal. NO TAXES! Perfect for a first home buyer, private pilot or retired couple.
Key facts
- 4000 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2021
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; Additional parking available
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured house (mobile home); Single wide; One story; New construction; Residential property in mobile home sub-type
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as new construction
- Exterior features: Side porch; No fencing; Lot accessible via private road (private maintained road); See remarks for additional lot features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: No central cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; No central cooling; No basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $127k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.5% in Saranac Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#274 in NY, #4,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities D+.
- Saranac Lake Central School District (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #497 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.32%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,972
- Equity at exit
- $18,936
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $20,146
- Equity at exit
- $10,981
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12983
- Home prices YoY
- -12.9%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,460 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$159 /mo · $1,905/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $127,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $127,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $127,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $127,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $127,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-27status Active 392-char remark
-
2026-04-26historical 392-char remark
-
2026-04-24$135,000 Active 392-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,526
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$1,905
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable income
- $1,373
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$330
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained Clayton-built manufactured home is in good condition with a clean and modern kitchen and bathroom. It offers a great opportunity for a first-time buyer or investor looking for a move-in ready property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal and resale value.
- Resale Replace the kitchen faucet — A new faucet can enhance the kitchen's aesthetic and functionality.
- Both Install new window treatments — New curtains or blinds can improve the home's curb appeal and privacy.
- Both Upgrade the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can make the bathrooms more appealing and functional.
- Both Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Resale Replace the kitchen faucet — A new faucet can enhance the kitchen's aesthetic and functionality. ↑
- Both Install new window treatments — New curtains or blinds can improve the home's curb appeal and privacy. ↑
- Both Upgrade the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can make the bathrooms more appealing and functional. ↑
- Both Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saranac Lake Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3625740
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,434
- Composite
- 35.73/100
- National rank
- #4856
- State rank
- #497 of 590 in NY
Livability — Saranac Lake
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #4341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,410
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,098 people
- By 2030
- 46,790 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 44,400 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 41,256 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 32,190 · -33.1%
- By 2100
- 23,407 · -51.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 45.5% · R 54.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.2pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+2.2 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+22.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.20%
- Current HPI
- 318.7218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $127,000 ACVMLS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — ACVMLS
- 2026-04-26 Delisted — ACVMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $135,000 ACVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…