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4415 W Holt Rd
C+ Composite 62.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

4415 W Holt Rd · Delhi, MI 48842
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,715 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1929 Good condition 0.26 ac lot Est $225k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home AND to your BUSINESS too! The best of both worlds collide as, with the first floor being a multi-room office suite. Upstairs you will enjoy a full one-bedroom apartment home with a balcony! Get your business done, and then walk upstairs to enjoy home. Two full bathrooms, one the business floor, and one on the converted second floor. Beautiful natural woodwork and character throughout, and ready to provide your business growth or just take over the whole building as a large home with multiple bedrooms! (Delhi Township has confirmed multi-use zoning, so conversion back into residential is allowed!) Current taxes based on commercial use. Excellent location, with prime frontage in the heart of Holt! Private parking lot for business or your own pickle ball/ basketball court!

Key facts

  • Private parking lot
  • Multi-use zoning
  • Prime frontage

Tags

MULTI-ROOM OFFICE SUITEONE-BEDROOM APARTMENTPRIVATE PARKING LOTPICKLE BALL BASKETBALL COURTMULTI-USE ZONINGPRIME FRONTAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Road frontage on a paved city street; Lot: corner, rectangular city lot; landscaped with few trees (approx. 66 x 136, 0.26 acre)

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt paved parking lot
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electric service; Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Cape Cod style; Two levels; Entry at level 1 via back door; North-facing
  • Construction: Built in 1929; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Full basement with sump pump
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Wood fencing; Deck; Front porch; Rear porch; Double-pane windows; Neighborhood view; Near public transit

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (10 x 10); Bedroom 2 (12 x 8.3); Bedroom 3 — upstairs (9 x 8.5)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall furnace; Central air; Wall AC unit(s)
  • Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Laminate counters; Natural woodwork; Living room fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: No dedicated laundry features listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Holt Public Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #236 of 540 in MI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sycamore Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #744 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 344 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 35% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $162,525 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.06%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$224,665
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4327 Keller Rd 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,646 (-4%) 3mo $240,000 $146 66
1983 Elm St 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,504 (-12%) 11mo $150,000 $100 64
2189 N Aurelius Rd 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,702 (-1%) 7mo $215,000 $126 63
4190 Greenwood Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,671 (-3%) 8mo $225,000 $135 62
1968 Dean Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,656 (-3%) 6mo $222,500 $134 60
1906 Hall St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,566 (-9%) 5mo $205,000 $131 58
1959 Adelpha 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,510 (-12%) 2mo $226,000 $150 57
4519 Spahr Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (-11%) 0mo $234,000 $154 54
4172 Dallas Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,808 (+5%) 8mo $204,999 $113 52
4567 Grove Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,487 (-13%) 14mo $175,000 $118 46
4641 Tolland Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,864 (+9%) 3mo $172,500 $93 40
1709 Tuscany Ln 0.58mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,908 (+11%) 10mo $235,000 $123 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,672
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$58,721
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48842

Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,739 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $347 -5% $290 +0% $233 +5% $176 +10% $119
Rent -10% $96 -5% $165 +0% $233 +5% $302 +10% $371
Rate -1.0pp $316 -0.5pp $275 base $233 +0.5pp $190 +1.0pp $147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2030 N Cedar St Holt, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 930 $1,679 $1.81 14d 6 0.22mi
4075 Holt Rd Holt, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,064 $1.06 14d 1 0.73mi
3879 Lone Pne Holt, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1148 $2,322 $2.02 21d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,863
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,669
− Management
−$1,669
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$182
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$44
After-tax cash flow
$2,754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This property is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value. The interior is clean and functional, and the property is zoned for multi-use, making it suitable for both residential and business purposes.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Holt Public Schools
NCES district ID
2618480
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,705
Composite
32.68/100
National rank
#5653
State rank
#236 of 540 in MI

Livability — Delhi

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Holt, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,945
Household income
$88,340
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -184.41%
Current HPI
208.5101
Rent YoY
▲ 8.03%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $165,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $165,000 Greater Lansing AoR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…