5133 Palmer Ave · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Updated bath
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Exterior features: No private pool; Lot approximately 0.13 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 443 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.85%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $237,356
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5044 Colonial Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,366 (-0%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $183 | 86 |
| 5358 Camille Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+4%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $144 | 66 |
| 5321 Fremont St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,166 (-15%) | 1mo | $231,000 | $198 | 60 |
| 2211 Bayview Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (-8%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $99 | 59 |
| 4756 Shirley Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-10%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $187 | 58 |
| 4582 Appleton Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (+7%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $173 | 55 |
| 5757 Cedar Park Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,449 (+6%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $159 | 54 |
| 5578 Shorewood Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (-8%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $170 | 54 |
| 4615 Sunderland Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,222 (-11%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $179 | 54 |
| 5749 Cedar Park Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,449 (+6%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $155 | 52 |
| 2318 Barlad Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,318 (-4%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $190 | 48 |
| 4609 Cambridge Rd | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,270 (-7%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $102 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-12,679
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $20
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 443
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,697 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$287 /mo · $3,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $289 | -5% $247 | +0% $205 | +5% $162 | +10% $120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $71 | -5% $138 | +0% $205 | +5% $272 | +10% $339 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $280 | -0.5pp $243 | base $205 | +0.5pp $166 | +1.0pp $126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5032 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,789 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5324 Fremont St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,495 | $0.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5140 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,335 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5253 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1614 | $1,471 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5139 Camille Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,625 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5615 San Juan Ave #208 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4776 Cardinal Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 959 | $1,550 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3434 Blanding Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 4d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 3434 Blanding Blvd #201 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2039 Niblick Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $1,275 | $1.51 | 4d | 10 | 0.54mi |
| 2235 Bayview Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1619 | $2,595 | $1.60 | 8d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5821 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1056 | $1,330 | $1.26 | 4d | 7 | 0.62mi |
| 4614 Birkenhead Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1626 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1368 | $1,641 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6026 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $700 | $0.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1540 Lake Shore Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,495 | $1.27 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6119 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6066 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1097 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4608 Wheeler Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $2,000 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1480 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,445 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5256 Clarendon Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4523 Merrimac Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,544 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4610 Cedarwood Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1381 | $1,950 | $1.41 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3607 Colebrooke Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,590 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5120 Quan Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1454 | $1,250 | $0.86 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6171 Cedar Hills Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,550 | $0.99 | 8d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1374 Lake Shore Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 8d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 6595 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,250 | $1.48 | 20d | 4 | 1.13mi |
| 5351 Royce Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4301 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $1,606 | $1.54 | 4d | 39 | 1.14mi |
| 5377 Royce Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,800 | $1.73 | 18d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1354 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4020 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,845 | $1.46 | 18d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4128 Arcot Cir Unit NA Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3668 Jammes Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,540 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4102 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1374 Murray Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $1,950 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5363 Poppy Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,445 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1554 Geraldine Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,850 | $2.09 | 8d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1648 Euclid St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $2,395 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-04-17price $149,900
-
2026-01-13$174,900 Active
-
2025-12-31soldstatus $141,666 Closed 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2025-10-07price $174,900 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2025-08-28price $184,900 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2025-07-24price $194,900 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2025-06-26status Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2025-06-26status Pending 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2025-06-18price $209,900 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2025-06-02price $224,900 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2025-04-08$234,900 Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT! Bright and spacious this 2 bedroom, 1 full bath home features, vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bath and an addition with the 3rd bedroom and laundry area. Property is being sold As-Is with the right to inspect. Seller will make NO repairs. Seller and Listing Agent make no representations and warranties. Buyer to perform own due diligence. Seller will not pay for or provide survey.
-
2021-11-04soldstatus $115,000
-
2021-10-29soldstatus $115,000 Sold 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Currently a 2 bedroom 1 bath with addition that could be converted into third bedroom. This is Lake Shore neighborhood with tons of potential. Bring your investor, put some TLC and make a big profit! Has a garage and a carport.
-
2021-10-18status Pending 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Currently a 2 bedroom 1 bath with addition that could be converted into third bedroom. This is Lake Shore neighborhood with tons of potential. Bring your investor, put some TLC and make a big profit! Has a garage and a carport.
-
2021-09-09price $127,999 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Currently a 2 bedroom 1 bath with addition that could be converted into third bedroom. This is Lake Shore neighborhood with tons of potential. Bring your investor, put some TLC and make a big profit! Has a garage and a carport.
-
2021-08-10$129,900 Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Currently a 2 bedroom 1 bath with addition that could be converted into third bedroom. This is Lake Shore neighborhood with tons of potential. Bring your investor, put some TLC and make a big profit! Has a garage and a carport.
-
2006-09-06soldstatus $95,000
-
1970-08-06soldstatus $7,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,448 · $287/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,448 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$3,448
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,629
- − Management
- −$1,629
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $149
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3605.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1821.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $149,900 realMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $174,900 realMLS
- 2025-12-31 Sold (MLS) $141,666 realMLS
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $174,900 realMLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $184,900 realMLS
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $194,900 realMLS
- 2025-06-26 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-06-26 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $209,900 realMLS
- 2025-06-02 Price Changed $224,900 realMLS
- 2025-04-08 Listed $234,900 realMLS
- 2021-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) $115,000 realMLS
- 2021-10-18 Pending — realMLS
- 2021-09-09 Price Changed $127,999 realMLS
- 2021-08-10 Listed $129,900 realMLS
- 2006-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1970-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $7,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,448 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…