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7 Milton St Duplex
A Composite 89.67
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,000

7 Milton St · Buffalo, NY 14210
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,730 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1925 7,560 sqft lot $51/sqft · 39% below area Est $226k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great price for this spacious fully rented 2-unit property with 2,730 sqft in South Buffalo. Recent mechanical updates were done in 2022 including new electric panels, new water line and sewer line, two newer furnaces, and two newer hot water tanks plus flooring in 2 units, new tiles in bathrooms. Both units offer spacious layouts with strong rental potential. Full attic for extra storage, fully fenced backyard. The property needs some TLC to bring it to its full value, allowing the next owner an opportunity to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, transportation, Tifft Nature Preserve, Cazenovia Park, Outer Harbor Buffalo, 9 minutes to Buffalo RiverWorks, and easy access to major routes A great investment opportunity or owner occupy.

Key facts

  • New water line
  • Newer furnaces
  • New electric panels

Tags

RECENT MECHANICAL UPDATESNEW ELECTRIC PANELSNEW WATER LINENEW SEWER LINENEWER FURNACESNEWER HOT WATER TANKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $583/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,761/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $139k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,659 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.83%
Cash-on-cash
37.63%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$226,212
List price
$139,000
Delta
-38.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Babcock St 0.17mi 6/2.0 2,612 (-4%) 18mo $125,000 $48 69
1315 Seneca St 0.05mi 7/4.0 (+1) 2,816 (+3%) 12mo $250,000 $89 69
110 Milton St 0.14mi 6/2.0 2,484 (-9%) 22mo $160,000 $64 60
43 Fillmore Ave 0.75mi 6/2.0 2,492 (-9%) 8mo $185,500 $74 44
37 Fillmore Ave 0.75mi 6/2.0 2,680 (-2%) 23mo $130,000 $49 43
116 Baitz Ave 0.52mi 6/2.0 2,445 (-10%) 21mo $185,000 $76 41
72 Heussy Ave 0.74mi 6/2.0 2,350 (-14%) 14mo $200,000 $85 31
1704 Seneca St 0.74mi 6/2.0 2,328 (-15%) 20mo $166,000 $71 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.3%
Equity multiple
5.23×
Total profit
$164,573
Equity at exit
$125,222
10-year hold
IRR
51.0%
Equity multiple
12.89×
Total profit
$462,586
Equity at exit
$270,046

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,761 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax est. 1.5%
$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$580
Net cashflow
$1,165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,286
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 53%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,761

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $139,000 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Great price for this spacious fully rented 2-unit property with 2,730 sqft in South Buffalo. Recent mechanical updates were done in 2022 including new electric panels, new water line and sewer line, two newer furnaces, and two newer hot water tanks plus flooring in 2 units, new tiles in bathrooms. Both units offer spacious layouts with strong rental potential. Full attic for extra storage, fully fenced backyard. The property needs some TLC to bring it to its full value, allowing the next owner an opportunity to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, transportation, Tifft Nature Preserve, Cazenovia Park, Outer Harbor Buffalo, 9 minutes to Buffalo RiverWorks, and easy access to major routes A great investment opportunity or owner occupy.

  16. 2026-03-25
    listed $149,900 Active 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Great price for this spacious fully rented 2-unit property with 2,730 sqft in South Buffalo. Recent mechanical updates were done in 2022 including new electric panels, new water line and sewer line, two newer furnaces, and two newer hot water tanks plus flooring in 2 units, new tiles in bathrooms. Both units offer spacious layouts with strong rental potential. Full attic for extra storage, fully fenced backyard. The property needs some TLC to bring it to its full value, allowing the next owner an opportunity to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, transportation, Tifft Nature Preserve, Cazenovia Park, Outer Harbor Buffalo, 9 minutes to Buffalo RiverWorks, and easy access to major routes A great investment opportunity or owner occupy.

  17. 2021-09-24
    soldstatus $70,000
  18. 2017-10-06
    soldstatus $30,000
  19. 2011-01-14
    soldstatus $4,500 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    3/2 double. Property is being sold "As Is. " Buyer to determine condition of mechanics. Cash buyers & investors need 10% of purchase price or minimum $1000 as earnest deposit. Investors must agree to 3 month deed restriction. Buyer responsible for discovering any & all municipality, utility, etc. , violation or reports. No search or survey provided. Close by 12/31/2010 & receive up to 3.5% in cosing cost assistance! Eligibility restrictions apply. Incentive to owner occupied buyers only. Owner occupied bids only until 11/3/2010.

  20. 2010-10-19
    listed $5,200 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    3/2 double. Property is being sold "As Is. " Buyer to determine condition of mechanics. Cash buyers & investors need 10% of purchase price or minimum $1000 as earnest deposit. Investors must agree to 3 month deed restriction. Buyer responsible for discovering any & all municipality, utility, etc. , violation or reports. No search or survey provided. Close by 12/31/2010 & receive up to 3.5% in cosing cost assistance! Eligibility restrictions apply. Incentive to owner occupied buyers only. Owner occupied bids only until 11/3/2010.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,132
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,085
− Insurance
−$1,362
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,651
− Management
−$2,651
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$12,555
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,013
After-tax cash flow
$10,968/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2573.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $139,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2021-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2017-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2011-01-14 Sold (MLS) $4,500 WNYREIS
  • 2010-10-19 Listed $5,200 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $219 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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