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3861 Myrtle Ct
B Composite 74.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

3861 Myrtle Ct · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 636 Days on market
Built 1941 0.29 ac lot $42/sqft · 22% below area Est $77k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

*INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY* This is a great up-and-coming area and the property awaits an investor. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a lucrative investment opportunity, this property has everything you need to make it your own. SOLD AS-IS, Seller will not do any repairs. For questions text Andreina Canache.

Key facts

  • Up-and-coming area
  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1941

Tags

UP-AND-COMING AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 636 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 636 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
15.89%
Cash-on-cash
34.28%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,628
List price
$59,900
Delta
-21.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3970 Emory Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,394 (-3%) 1mo $27,000 $19 84
935 Troupe St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,430 (-1%) 6mo $85,000 $59 68
932 Quinlan Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,411 (-2%) 4mo $50,500 $36 64
730 Newberg Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,367 (-5%) 6mo $15,000 $11 58
673 Villa Esta Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,604 (+11%) 4mo $139,900 $87 58
587 Robert Henry St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,466 (+2%) 7mo $148,000 $101 58
575 Richmond St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,346 (-6%) 5mo $125,000 $93 52
573 Villa Esta Cir 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (+6%) 8mo $132,000 $87 52
1205 Buena Vista Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,321 (-8%) 8mo $8,000 $6 49
4133 Buena Vista Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,257 (-13%) 5mo $45,000 $36 47
3861 Desoto Dr 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,610 (+12%) 1mo $51,000 $32 41
3819 Frances Dr 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,293 (-10%) 6mo $68,000 $53 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$23,122
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
5.13×
Total profit
$69,327
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,108 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $688/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $502
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 44d 1 0.07mi
846 Bedingfield Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1187 $975 $0.82 44d 1 0.22mi
832 Richmond St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1364 $925 $0.68 21d 1 0.31mi
1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 980 $875 $0.89 13d 1 0.32mi
4052 Mikado Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1624 $1,300 $0.80 13d 1 0.32mi
947 Troupe St Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1699 $1,200 $0.71 44d 1 0.44mi
947 Troupe St Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1699 $1,200 $0.71 21d 1 0.44mi
1240 Rocky Creek Rd Unit A Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,090 $0.81 21d 1 0.47mi
837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 966 $750 $0.78 44d 1 0.49mi
1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 44d 1 0.49mi
3709 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1360 $1,300 $0.96 44d 1 0.49mi
3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 13d 1 0.54mi
1289 Rocky Creek Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1404 $750 $0.53 44d 1 0.55mi
3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $895 $0.85 44d 1 0.58mi
3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,450 $1.26 44d 1 0.64mi
3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 897 $745 $0.83 44d 1 0.67mi
1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 13d 1 0.71mi
4322 Mikado Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,230 $0.92 21d 1 0.76mi
3823 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,150 $1.13 44d 1 0.82mi
4011 Marion Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 21d 1 0.83mi
4028 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 21d 1 0.85mi
3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 44d 1 0.86mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 44d 1 0.89mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1100 $925 $0.84 21d 1 0.89mi
645 Rutherford Ave Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1481 $1,395 $0.94 44d 1 0.91mi
955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 44d 1 0.97mi
558 Cleveland St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 924 $925 $1.00 44d 1 1.02mi
524 Carmen Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1175 $1,050 $0.89 44d 1 1.08mi
520 Nelson St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,225 $1.01 13d 1 1.16mi
1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,350 $1.11 21d 1 1.26mi
495 Pittman St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1324 $995 $0.75 44d 1 1.32mi
2445 Lowe St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 940 $890 $0.95 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 636 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 635 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 634 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 633 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 631 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 630 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 628 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 627 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 626 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 625 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 621 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 620 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 619 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 618 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 617 DOM
  16. 2025-11-18
    price $59,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    *INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY* This is a great up-and-coming area and the property awaits an investor. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a lucrative investment opportunity, this property has everything you need to make it your own. SOLD AS-IS, Seller will not do any repairs. For questions text Andreina Canache.

  17. 2025-11-18
    price $59,900
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    *INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY* This is a great up-and-coming area and the property awaits an investor. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a lucrative investment opportunity, this property has everything you need to make it your own. SOLD AS-IS, Seller will not do any repairs. For questions text Andreina Canache.

  18. 2024-09-20
    listed $69,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    *INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY* This is a great up-and-coming area and the property awaits an investor. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a lucrative investment opportunity, this property has everything you need to make it your own. SOLD AS-IS, Seller will not do any repairs. For questions text Andreina Canache.

  19. 2024-09-20
    listed $69,900 New 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    *INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY* This is a great up-and-coming area and the property awaits an investor. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a lucrative investment opportunity, this property has everything you need to make it your own. SOLD AS-IS, Seller will not do any repairs. For questions text Andreina Canache.

  20. 2024-06-21
    historical
  21. 2024-06-21
    historical
  22. 2023-12-13
    historical
  23. 2023-11-29
    price $74,900
  24. 2023-11-29
    price $74,900
  25. 2023-11-07
    price $79,900
  26. 2023-11-07
    price $79,900
  27. 2023-09-11
    price $85,000
  28. 2023-09-11
    price $85,000
  29. 2023-07-01
    listed $90,000 Active
  30. 2023-07-01
    listed $90,000 New
  31. 2023-06-22
    listed $74,900 New
  32. 2023-06-12
    historical
  33. 2023-04-11
    listed $90,000 New
  34. 2020-02-06
    soldstatus $65,000
  35. 2020-01-23
    soldstatus $1,160,000
  36. 2006-06-30
    soldstatus $80,000
  37. 2006-01-17
    soldstatus $40,000
  38. 2005-07-05
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$688 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$688 · $57/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,299
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$688
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,064
− Management
−$1,064
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$5,085
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,221
After-tax cash flow
$4,528/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.7% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $59,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $59,900 FMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Listed $69,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Listed $69,900 FMLS
  • 2024-06-21 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-06-21 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2023-12-13 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2023-11-29 Price Changed $74,900 FMLS
  • 2023-11-29 Price Changed $74,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-11-07 Price Changed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-11-07 Price Changed $79,900 FMLS
  • 2023-09-11 Price Changed $85,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-09-11 Price Changed $85,000 FMLS
  • 2023-07-01 Listed $90,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-07-01 Listed $90,000 FMLS
  • 2023-06-22 Listed $74,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-06-12 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2023-04-11 Listed $90,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $1,160,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2006-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2005-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $688 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…