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1406 Pike St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 82.43
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$95,000

1406 Pike St · Port Vue, PA 15133
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1948 7,065 sqft lot $69/sqft · 36% below area Est $148k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity with immediate income. This 3-bedroom home (with additional attic space currently used as a bedroom) features 2 full baths and offers strong rental potential with a long-term tenant. The property includes central heating and air conditioning, along with washer and dryer. Kitchen includes stove. A detached garage provides additional storage or utility. This property offers a solid footprint for investors seeking a performing rental with future flexibility.

Key facts

  • Central heating
  • Air conditioning
  • Detached garage

Tags

CENTRAL HEATINGAIR CONDITIONINGDETACHED GARAGESTRONG RENTAL POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $95,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$147,705) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#545 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • South Allegheny SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #430 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $95k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.86%
Cash-on-cash
16.32%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,705
List price
$95,000
Delta
-35.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1213 Mcclelland Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,330 (-4%) 10mo $125,000 $94 81
1120 Portsmouth Dr 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+1%) 6mo $172,000 $123 71
1325 New York Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,330 (-4%) 13mo $120,000 $90 70
300 Marie St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,333 (-3%) 2mo $85,000 $64 66
1015 Pleasant Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,469 (+6%) 9mo $120,000 $82 64
1110 Portsmouth Dr 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,230 (-11%) 1mo $194,500 $158 61
317 Gumbert St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,434 (+4%) 9mo $100,000 $70 60
1331 Coronado Rd 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (+10%) 9mo $160,000 $106 58
1436 Huber St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,308 (-5%) 9mo $209,000 $160 56
331 Reynolds 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,392 (+1%) 13mo $69,000 $50 54
317 N Monongahela Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (-11%) 11mo $89,900 $73 39
311 Fairview Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,184 (-14%) 11mo $100,000 $84 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$42,392
Equity at exit
$51,103
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
5.12×
Total profit
$109,584
Equity at exit
$86,016

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15133

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,302 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,552/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $844
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $415 -5% $389 +0% $362 +5% $335 +10% $308
Rent -10% $259 -5% $310 +0% $362 +5% $413 +10% $465
Rate -1.0pp $410 -0.5pp $386 base $362 +0.5pp $337 +1.0pp $312

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
306 Laredo St McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 928 $995 $1.07 44d 1 0.49mi
311 Harrison St Glassport, PA 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 0.63mi
1805 Gray St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,600 $1.41 2d 1 0.63mi
1451 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1408 $1,150 $0.82 24d 1 1.03mi
6 4th St Dravosburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 24d 1 1.16mi
604 Shaw Ave McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $900 $1.12 13d 3 1.22mi
604 Shaw Ave Unit 101 McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.5 1050 $900 $0.86 15d 1 1.22mi
1507 Carnegie Ave McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,699 $1.06 15d 1 1.26mi
833 Vermont Ave Glassport, PA 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,395 $1.08 24d 1 1.31mi
311-313 24th St McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $900 $0.95 44d 1 1.43mi
1044 Delaware Ave Glassport, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 63 DOM
  16. 2026-03-29
    listed $95,000 Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Investor opportunity with immediate income. This 3-bedroom home (with additional attic space currently used as a bedroom) features 2 full baths and offers strong rental potential with a long-term tenant. The property includes central heating and air conditioning, along with washer and dryer. Kitchen includes stove. A detached garage provides additional storage or utility. This property offers a solid footprint for investors seeking a performing rental with future flexibility.

  17. 2012-04-05
    price $40,000 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    1 1/2 story nice cape cod in move in condition. stable neighborhood. 1 car oversized detached garage with a nice flat yard fenced for children or pets.

  18. 2012-04-05
    soldstatus $35,000 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    1 1/2 story nice cape cod in move in condition. stable neighborhood. 1 car oversized detached garage with a nice flat yard fenced for children or pets.

  19. 2011-10-21
    listed $35,000 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    1 1/2 story nice cape cod in move in condition. stable neighborhood. 1 car oversized detached garage with a nice flat yard fenced for children or pets.

  20. 2001-02-09
    soldstatus $45,000
  21. 2001-02-08
    soldstatus $44,900
  22. 2000-11-20
    listed $47,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,552 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,552 · $129/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,627
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,552
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,250
− Management
−$1,250
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$3,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$724
After-tax cash flow
$3,617/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Allegheny SD
NCES district ID
4221910
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$40,891
Composite
28.15/100
National rank
#6815
State rank
#430 of 539 in PA

Livability — Port Vue

Score
73/100
State rank
#545
US rank
#5090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Vue, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
6,112
Household income
$65,938
Rent vs Own
20.7% rent · 79.3% own
Severe rent burden
94.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovene 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.52%
Current HPI
214.5922
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $95,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2012-04-05 Sold (MLS) $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2012-04-05 Price Changed $40,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2011-10-21 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2001-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2001-02-08 Sold (MLS) $44,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2000-11-20 Listed $47,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,552 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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