502 S Hyannis Port St · Crosby, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,146
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious, light-filled, and filled with character – this three-bedroom residence in Crosby is designed to present an enviable blend of immaculate comfort and a clear touch of elegance. Its floor plan features three quiet bedrooms, a good-sized yard, and inviting living areas promising high-quality entertaining. Step through the front door and be greeted by an inviting living area that leads straight to a tiled eat- in kitchen of considerable size. The household chef is sure to enjoy plenty of bench space to indulge their love of cooking while the sweeping set of wood cabinetry keeps kitchen clutter at bay. Off the living room is a sitting room with soft carpet floors offering additional space to relax and entertain. Outside, you will be treated to ample outdoor space for alfresco entertaining, plus raised garden bed space for the green thumb to make the most of. Schedule a showing to discover the relaxed lifestyle you deserve.
Key facts
- Stand-alone shower
- Ensuite bath
- Backyard shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $164k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $164k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.8% in Crosby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,121 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Crosby ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #369 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crosby Middle (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #786 of 1,662 statewide, top 48%, 1,549 students, 60% FRL); Highpoint School East (Crosby) (20 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1172 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.68%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542 Oporto Path | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,576 (-2%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $140 | 81 |
| 1004 Bulwark Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,604 (+0%) | 1mo | $223,000 | $139 | 81 |
| 15814 Oporto Springs Way | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,614 (+1%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $149 | 79 |
| 16215 Spinnaker Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,567 (-2%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $150 | 73 |
| 16018 Spinnaker Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,523 (-5%) | 1mo | $217,500 | $143 | 71 |
| 1114 Poppets Way | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,655 (+3%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $142 | 59 |
| 920 Bulwark Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,789 (+12%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $143 | 59 |
| 631 Aweigh Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,624 (+2%) | 3mo | $242,000 | $149 | 58 |
| 710 Equinox St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (-11%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $123 | 57 |
| 16110 Dockside St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,821 (+14%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $148 | 53 |
| 15907 Castaway Ct | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,835 (+15%) | 3mo | $304,999 | $166 | 51 |
| 6019 Coleus St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,826 (+14%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $126 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-10,985
- Equity at exit
- $24,475
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,185
- Equity at exit
- $14,192
Cash invested: $45,961 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 1172
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,219 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$861
- Tax from tax record
- −$470 /mo · $5,641/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$466
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,036
- Closing costs
- $4,924
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 Equinox St Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $1,881 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 15722 E Astern Dr Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1996 | $1,896 | $0.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16318 River Wood Ct Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1681 | $1,946 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 430 Fishhawk Way Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,863 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 16807 Lisbon Ln Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2196 | $1,910 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-03-20price $164,146
-
2026-03-20status Active
-
2026-01-25status Pending
-
2026-01-21status Pending
-
2026-01-13$160,000 Active
-
2022-09-08soldstatus
-
2022-08-31soldstatus Sold 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Spacious, light-filled, and filled with character – this three-bedroom residence in Crosby is designed to present an enviable blend of immaculate comfort and a clear touch of elegance. Its floor plan features three quiet bedrooms, a good-sized yard, and inviting living areas promising high-quality entertaining. Step through the front door and be greeted by an inviting living area that leads straight to a tiled eat- in kitchen of considerable size. The household chef is sure to enjoy plenty of bench space to indulge their love of cooking while the sweeping set of wood cabinetry keeps kitchen clutter at bay. Off the living room is a sitting room with soft carpet floors offering additional space to relax and entertain. Outside, you will be treated to ample outdoor space for alfresco entertaining, plus raised garden bed space for the green thumb to make the most of. Schedule a showing to discover the relaxed lifestyle you deserve.
-
2022-08-08status Pending 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Spacious, light-filled, and filled with character – this three-bedroom residence in Crosby is designed to present an enviable blend of immaculate comfort and a clear touch of elegance. Its floor plan features three quiet bedrooms, a good-sized yard, and inviting living areas promising high-quality entertaining. Step through the front door and be greeted by an inviting living area that leads straight to a tiled eat- in kitchen of considerable size. The household chef is sure to enjoy plenty of bench space to indulge their love of cooking while the sweeping set of wood cabinetry keeps kitchen clutter at bay. Off the living room is a sitting room with soft carpet floors offering additional space to relax and entertain. Outside, you will be treated to ample outdoor space for alfresco entertaining, plus raised garden bed space for the green thumb to make the most of. Schedule a showing to discover the relaxed lifestyle you deserve.
-
2022-07-31status Option Pending 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Spacious, light-filled, and filled with character – this three-bedroom residence in Crosby is designed to present an enviable blend of immaculate comfort and a clear touch of elegance. Its floor plan features three quiet bedrooms, a good-sized yard, and inviting living areas promising high-quality entertaining. Step through the front door and be greeted by an inviting living area that leads straight to a tiled eat- in kitchen of considerable size. The household chef is sure to enjoy plenty of bench space to indulge their love of cooking while the sweeping set of wood cabinetry keeps kitchen clutter at bay. Off the living room is a sitting room with soft carpet floors offering additional space to relax and entertain. Outside, you will be treated to ample outdoor space for alfresco entertaining, plus raised garden bed space for the green thumb to make the most of. Schedule a showing to discover the relaxed lifestyle you deserve.
-
2022-07-26$249,900 Active 952-char remark
Show marketing remark (952 chars)
Spacious, light-filled, and filled with character – this three-bedroom residence in Crosby is designed to present an enviable blend of immaculate comfort and a clear touch of elegance. Its floor plan features three quiet bedrooms, a good-sized yard, and inviting living areas promising high-quality entertaining. Step through the front door and be greeted by an inviting living area that leads straight to a tiled eat- in kitchen of considerable size. The household chef is sure to enjoy plenty of bench space to indulge their love of cooking while the sweeping set of wood cabinetry keeps kitchen clutter at bay. Off the living room is a sitting room with soft carpet floors offering additional space to relax and entertain. Outside, you will be treated to ample outdoor space for alfresco entertaining, plus raised garden bed space for the green thumb to make the most of. Schedule a showing to discover the relaxed lifestyle you deserve.
-
2006-05-19soldstatus
-
2005-02-17soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,641 · $470/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,641 · $470/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,632
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,195
- − Property taxes
- −$5,641
- − Insurance
- −$821
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,131
- − Management
- −$2,131
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$4,775
- Taxable income
- $1,219
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$293
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crosby ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,079
- Composite
- 35.14/100
- National rank
- #5012
- State rank
- #369 of 826 in TX
Livability — Crosby
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1121
- US rank
- #19783
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 33,780
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,780
- Household income
- $92,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 382.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 21%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.63%
- Current HPI
- 264.0126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.48%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-34.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $164,146 HARMLS
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-01-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-01-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $160,000 HARMLS
- 2022-09-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-08-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-07-31 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-07-26 Listed $249,900 HARMLS
- 2006-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-02-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,641 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…