Duplex
1580 Castleton Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$718,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Two-family detached property in the heart of Staten Island. Featuring approximately 1882 sq. ft. with a finished attic and full basement. Recently updated boiler and hot water heater. Property is in need of renovation and is being sold as-is. One unit is currently tenant-occupied (month to month). Excellent opportunity for investors or end-users. Conveniently located near transportation, shopping, and schools.
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Full basement
- 1,882 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No dedicated parking; No carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available and connected; Sewer available and connected; Water available and connected; Trash collection (public)
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Brick/mortar and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Near shops; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit; One 4-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Combination flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Original details; Storage; Washer/dryer hookup; Double pane windows with screens
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/0.5-bath units multifamily listed at $718k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($196/yr) — positive. Per door: $8/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $569k (20.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $569k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($653k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $375k; list at $718k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.10%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-115,516
- Equity at exit
- $107,056
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-100,101
- Equity at exit
- $62,080
Cash invested: $201,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10302
- Home prices YoY
- -31.0%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 21.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,693 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,765
- Tax from tax record
- −$417 /mo · $5,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$299
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,196
- Net cashflow
- $16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $423 | -5% $220 | +0% $16 | +5% $-187 | +10% $-390 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-433 | -5% $-209 | +0% $16 | +5% $241 | +10% $466 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $378 | -0.5pp $199 | base $16 | +0.5pp $-170 | +1.0pp $-359 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 0.5 | $5,694 |
| #1 | 4 | 0.5 | $2,847 |
| #2 | 4 | 0.5 | $2,847 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,693 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $179,500
- Closing costs
- $21,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $718,000 Pending 100 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $718,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $718,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $718,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $718,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $718,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $718,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $718,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-03-04$718,000 Active
-
2021-07-12historical
-
2021-05-28price $599,000
-
2021-04-14$650,000 Active
-
2018-10-23historical
-
2016-04-21soldstatus $375,000
-
2016-04-11soldstatus $375,000 Closed
-
2016-02-17historical
-
2015-12-29status Pending
-
2015-12-07historical
-
2015-10-27$399,000 Active
-
2004-05-07$419,900
-
2004-01-16soldstatus $290,000
-
1999-01-11$209,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,000 · $417/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,567 · $714/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,567/yr (+$297/mo · 71.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $68,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,219
- − Property taxes
- −$5,000
- − Insurance
- −$3,590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,465
- − Management
- −$5,465
- − Depreciation
- −$20,887
- Taxable loss
- −$12,311
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,955
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,151/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,693
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% White 27% Black 21% Two or more races 15% Asian 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.26%
- Current HPI
- 340.4458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+242.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $718,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-28 Price Changed $599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-14 Listed $650,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-23 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2016-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $375,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-11 Sold (MLS) $375,000 SIBORMLS
- 2016-02-17 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2015-12-29 Pending — SIBORMLS
- 2015-12-07 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2015-10-27 Listed $399,000 SIBORMLS
- 2004-05-07 Listed $419,900 SIBORMLS
- 2004-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $290,000 Public Records
- 1999-01-11 Listed $209,900 SIBORMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,000 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…