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270 W Sanilac
D Composite 42.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0

$219,900

270 W Sanilac · Sandusky, MI 48471
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 149 Days on market
Built 1942 0.30 ac lot $96/sqft · 11% below area Est $248k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 5 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offers exceptional flexibility and opportunity. With a thoughtful layout and generous square footage, the property can easily accommodate a large household, multigenerational living, or work-from-home lifestyle. Multiple living areas and well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfort and privacy throughout. A standout feature of this home is its strong potential to be converted into a two-unit apartment setup. The existing layout lends itself well to the separation of living spaces, making it an attractive option for investors or owner-occupants seeking to generate rental income while residing on-site. With the right vision and updates, this property could become a highly desirable dual-unit residence. Whether you're seeking a spacious single-family home or a value-add investment opportunity, this versatile property offers endless possibilities.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1942

Tags

TWO-UNIT APARTMENT SETUPSEPARATION OF LIVING SPACES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-212 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (17.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (37.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (37.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#362 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sandusky Community School District (town): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #169 of 540 in MI (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Sanilac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Sanilac County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $152k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $138,472 (37.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
5.14%
Cash-on-cash
-4.13%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$247,516
List price
$219,900
Delta
-9.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
184 S Elk St 0.46mi 5/2.0 2,200 (-4%) 12mo $174,000 $79 60
260 N Elk St 0.51mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,534 (+10%) 11mo $245,000 $97 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-818
Equity at exit
$84,295
10-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$33,801
Equity at exit
$119,540

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48471

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,385 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $731/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$-212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,653
Max offer price $182,479
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-87 -5% $-150 +0% $-212 +5% $-274 +10% $-336
Rent -10% $-321 -5% $-267 +0% $-212 +5% $-157 +10% $-102
Rate -1.0pp $-101 -0.5pp $-156 base $-212 +0.5pp $-269 +1.0pp $-327

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $219,900 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $219,900 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 142 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $225,000 Active 141 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 136 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 134 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $225,000 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 129 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 128 DOM
  18. 2026-04-07
    price $225,000 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    This spacious 5 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offers exceptional flexibility and opportunity. With a thoughtful layout and generous square footage, the property can easily accommodate a large household, multigenerational living, or work-from-home lifestyle. Multiple living areas and well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfort and privacy throughout. A standout feature of this home is its strong potential to be converted into a two-unit apartment setup. The existing layout lends itself well to the separation of living spaces, making it an attractive option for investors or owner-occupants seeking to generate rental income while residing on-site. With the right vision and updates, this property could become a highly desirable dual-unit residence. Whether you're seeking a spacious single-family home or a value-add investment opportunity, this versatile property offers endless possibilities.

  19. 2026-04-06
    price $225,000 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    This spacious 5 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offers exceptional flexibility and opportunity. With a thoughtful layout and generous square footage, the property can easily accommodate a large household, multigenerational living, or work-from-home lifestyle. Multiple living areas and well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfort and privacy throughout. A standout feature of this home is its strong potential to be converted into a two-unit apartment setup. The existing layout lends itself well to the separation of living spaces, making it an attractive option for investors or owner-occupants seeking to generate rental income while residing on-site. With the right vision and updates, this property could become a highly desirable dual-unit residence. Whether you're seeking a spacious single-family home or a value-add investment opportunity, this versatile property offers endless possibilities.

  20. 2026-01-23
    listed $229,000 Active 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    This spacious 5 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offers exceptional flexibility and opportunity. With a thoughtful layout and generous square footage, the property can easily accommodate a large household, multigenerational living, or work-from-home lifestyle. Multiple living areas and well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfort and privacy throughout. A standout feature of this home is its strong potential to be converted into a two-unit apartment setup. The existing layout lends itself well to the separation of living spaces, making it an attractive option for investors or owner-occupants seeking to generate rental income while residing on-site. With the right vision and updates, this property could become a highly desirable dual-unit residence. Whether you're seeking a spacious single-family home or a value-add investment opportunity, this versatile property offers endless possibilities.

  21. 2026-01-23
    listed $229,000 Active 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    This spacious 5 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offers exceptional flexibility and opportunity. With a thoughtful layout and generous square footage, the property can easily accommodate a large household, multigenerational living, or work-from-home lifestyle. Multiple living areas and well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfort and privacy throughout. A standout feature of this home is its strong potential to be converted into a two-unit apartment setup. The existing layout lends itself well to the separation of living spaces, making it an attractive option for investors or owner-occupants seeking to generate rental income while residing on-site. With the right vision and updates, this property could become a highly desirable dual-unit residence. Whether you're seeking a spacious single-family home or a value-add investment opportunity, this versatile property offers endless possibilities.

  22. 2026-01-23
    historical $229,000 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    This spacious 5 bedroom, 2.5 bath home offers exceptional flexibility and opportunity. With a thoughtful layout and generous square footage, the property can easily accommodate a large household, multigenerational living, or work-from-home lifestyle. Multiple living areas and well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfort and privacy throughout. A standout feature of this home is its strong potential to be converted into a two-unit apartment setup. The existing layout lends itself well to the separation of living spaces, making it an attractive option for investors or owner-occupants seeking to generate rental income while residing on-site. With the right vision and updates, this property could become a highly desirable dual-unit residence. Whether you're seeking a spacious single-family home or a value-add investment opportunity, this versatile property offers endless possibilities.

  23. 2021-03-15
    soldstatus $152,500
  24. 2021-03-12
    soldstatus $152,500
  25. 2021-03-12
    soldstatus $152,500 Closed
  26. 2020-11-11
    status Pending
  27. 2020-09-17
    price $167,900
  28. 2020-08-25
    price $169,900
  29. 2020-08-17
    price $175,000
  30. 2020-07-31
    price $177,500
  31. 2020-06-29
    listed $167,900
  32. 2020-06-29
    listed $187,500 Active
  33. 2019-06-07
    soldstatus $32,000 Closed
  34. 2019-06-07
    soldstatus $32,000
  35. 2019-05-28
    status Pending
  36. 2019-05-14
    listed $29,900 Active
  37. 2019-05-14
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$731 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,059 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$1,328/yr (+$111/mo · 181.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,617
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$731
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,329
− Management
−$1,329
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$6,588
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,581
After-tax cash flow
$-961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sandusky Community School District
NCES district ID
2630840
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,671
Composite
36.7/100
National rank
#4598
State rank
#169 of 540 in MI

Livability — Sandusky

Score
68/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#9299

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sandusky, MI
City population
5,518
Population (ZIP)
5,518

Population outlook (Sanilac County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,948 people
By 2030
35,772 · -5.7%
By 2040
30,996 · -18.3%
By 2050
26,280 · -30.7%
By 2075
17,471 · -54.0%
By 2100
10,572 · -72.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sanilac

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.5% · R 73.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-39.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -47.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.7 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.79%
Current HPI
202.536
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+652.5% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $229,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $229,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Coming Soon $229,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $152,500 Public Records
  • 2021-03-12 Sold (MLS) $152,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Sold (MLS) $152,500 REALCOMP
  • 2020-11-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-09-17 Price Changed $167,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-25 Price Changed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-17 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-31 Price Changed $177,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-06-29 Listed $187,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-06-29 Listed $167,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-07 Sold (MLS) $32,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-07 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-05-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-05-14 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-05-14 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $731 · -75.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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