43 E Main St · Washingtonville, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Older home with plenty of charm and potential. This home, zoned O-R and located on Main Street, can be used as residential, multi family, professional business or a combination. It offer hardwood floors, and ample space on first floor. Home needs work and may be in flood zone.
Key facts
- Moodna creek
- Functional layout
- Parks
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Living area reported from public records
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: 8 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features; Full unfinished walk-up attic
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility space (full, unfinished, walk-out access)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 2.7% in Washingtonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#220 in NY, #3,469 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Washingtonville Central School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #288 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Round Hill Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 653 students, 38% FRL); Washingtonville Middle School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #473 of 729 statewide, top 66%, 900 students, 35% FRL); Washingtonville Senior High School (math 92% / reading 89%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 1,318 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 16% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $160k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.61%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $476,489
- List price
- $159,999
- Delta
- -66.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 South St | 0.15mi | 4/1.5 | 1,872 (-4%) | 18mo | $365,000 | $195 | 72 |
| 35 E Main St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,880 (-3%) | 23mo | $390,000 | $207 | 67 |
| 59 E Main St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 2,165 (+11%) | 10mo | $435,000 | $201 | 66 |
| 45 W Main St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 2,020 (+4%) | 10mo | $485,000 | $240 | 66 |
| 25 Mclaughlin Way | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,845 (-5%) | 8mo | $465,000 | $252 | 54 |
| 8 Winchester Way | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,788 (-8%) | 5mo | $570,000 | $319 | 48 |
| 18 Prides Xing | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,050 (+6%) | 10mo | $455,700 | $222 | 46 |
| 6 East Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,016 (+4%) | 21mo | $139,000 | $69 | 45 |
| 36 Ballard Pond Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,906 (-2%) | 12mo | $551,000 | $289 | 44 |
| 23 Prides Xing | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 2,087 (+7%) | 20mo | $466,000 | $223 | 38 |
| 1 Belvoir Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,788 (-8%) | 21mo | $505,000 | $282 | 36 |
| 23 Alexander Dr | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 | 1,673 (-14%) | 4mo | $431,812 | $258 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $72,053
- Equity at exit
- $23,856
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.23×
- Total profit
- $189,473
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10992
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$387 /mo · $4,644/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$766
- Net cashflow
- $1,535
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Hudson Rd Washingtonville, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2367 | $3,300 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 75 Horton Rd Washingtonville, NY | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2224 | $4,200 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $159,999 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-04-28$159,999 Active
-
2015-03-06soldstatus $65,000
-
2015-02-20soldstatus $65,000 Sold 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Older home with plenty of charm and potential. This home, zoned O-R and located on Main Street, can be used as residential, multi family, professional business or a combination. It offer hardwood floors, and ample space on first floor. Home needs work and may be in flood zone. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,ParkingFeatures:2 Car Detached,
-
2015-02-20price $65,000 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Older home with plenty of charm and potential. This home, zoned O-R and located on Main Street, can be used as residential, multi family, professional business or a combination. It offer hardwood floors, and ample space on first floor. Home needs work and may be in flood zone. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,ParkingFeatures:2 Car Detached,
-
2015-02-20soldstatus $65,000
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Older home with plenty of charm and potential. This home, zoned O-R and located on Main Street, can be used as residential, multi family, professional business or a combination. It offer hardwood floors, and ample space on first floor. Home needs work and may be in flood zone. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,ParkingFeatures:2 Car Detached,
-
2014-12-30historical Pending 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Older home with plenty of charm and potential. This home, zoned O-R and located on Main Street, can be used as residential, multi family, professional business or a combination. It offer hardwood floors, and ample space on first floor. Home needs work and may be in flood zone.
-
2014-12-30price $69,850 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Older home with plenty of charm and potential. This home, zoned O-R and located on Main Street, can be used as residential, multi family, professional business or a combination. It offer hardwood floors, and ample space on first floor. Home needs work and may be in flood zone.
-
2014-08-24$69,850 Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Older home with plenty of charm and potential. This home, zoned O-R and located on Main Street, can be used as residential, multi family, professional business or a combination. It offer hardwood floors, and ample space on first floor. Home needs work and may be in flood zone. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,ParkingFeatures:2 Car Detached,
-
2014-08-24$69,850
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Older home with plenty of charm and potential. This home, zoned O-R and located on Main Street, can be used as residential, multi family, professional business or a combination. It offer hardwood floors, and ample space on first floor. Home needs work and may be in flood zone. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,ParkingFeatures:2 Car Detached,
-
2014-02-27historical
-
2014-02-27historical
-
2013-05-18
-
2013-05-18$89,850
-
2012-11-14historical
-
2011-08-15
-
2001-12-07soldstatus $126,500
-
2001-12-04soldstatus $126,500
-
2001-10-05historical
-
2001-10-05price $128,900
-
2001-05-04$126,500
-
1972-06-20soldstatus $16,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,644 · $387/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,644 · $387/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$4,644
- − Insurance
- −$1,466
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,504
- − Management
- −$3,504
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $17,064
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,095
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washingtonville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630030
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,379
- Composite
- 48.15/100
- National rank
- #2178
- State rank
- #288 of 590 in NY
Livability — Washingtonville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #3469
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washingtonville, NY
- City population
- 10,412
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,412
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 379,830 people
- By 2030
- 378,955 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 375,444 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 369,311 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 354,233 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 318,150 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.08%
- Current HPI
- 300.027
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+869.7% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $159,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2015-02-20 Price Changed $65,000 HGMLS
- 2015-02-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 HGMLS
- 2015-02-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-30 Contingent — HGMLS
- 2014-12-30 Price Changed $69,850 HGMLS
- 2014-08-24 Listed $69,850 HGMLS
- 2014-08-24 Listed $69,850 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-27 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-27 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2013-05-18 Listed $89,850 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-18 Listed — HGMLS
- 2012-11-14 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2011-08-15 Listed — HGMLS
- 2001-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $126,500 Public Records
- 2001-12-04 Sold (MLS) $126,500 HGMLS
- 2001-10-05 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2001-10-05 Price Changed $128,900 HGMLS
- 2001-05-04 Listed $126,500 HGMLS
- 1972-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,644 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…