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3203 Echo Trl
D+ Composite 46.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

3203 Echo Trl · Granbury, TX 76049
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 888 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 2005 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Whether you are looking for a starter home or a starter investment, this is the house to get you started! Located just in the outskirts of town in the Rancho Brazos subdivision this home features 2 bedrooms with 1 bath. Front door opens into an open floor plan. Living room features built-in shelves. Kitchen features granite countertops and a wide pantry. Both bedrooms located on same side of house and both feature wide closets with plenty of storage. Bathroom and utility room both includes built-in shelves. AC system has been well maintained with regular maintenance. Backyard is fenced with chain link and features a storage shed on the back of the property. Driveway accomodates two cars. T

Key facts

  • Wide pantry
  • Open floor plan
  • Wide closets

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANBUILT-IN SHELVESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSWIDE PANTRYWIDE CLOSETSFENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Turn on Davis Road from Hwy 377. Turn left on Sundown Trail, then right on Echol Trail. House is on the left.; Subdivision: Rancho Brazos; County: Hood; Municipal utility district: No
  • Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, Texas Vet, USDA Loan, VA Loan
  • HOA & community: No association; Community park; Community playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Concrete parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Cable available; Co-op electric; Septic; Outside city limits
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Built in 2005; Preowned
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Covered patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Shed(s); Few trees; Interior lot in a subdivision; Park and playground nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Granite countertops; Built-in cabinets; Electric range; Electric oven; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level; Two bedrooms total
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Granite counters; Pantry; Accessible doors; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (13.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Granbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#628 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Granbury ISD (town): math 46% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #237 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Acton El (math 52% / reading 46%, grade D, #926 of 4,322 statewide, top 22%, 814 students, 48% FRL); Acton Middle (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #347 of 1,662 statewide, top 21%, 981 students, 43% FRL); Granbury H S (math 38% / reading 51%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,202 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 701 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 125 units permitted in Hood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hood County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,703 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.42%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-18,164
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,108
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76049

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
701
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,467 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,208/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,346
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $192 -5% $144 +0% $96 +5% $48 +10% $0
Rent -10% $-20 -5% $38 +0% $96 +5% $154 +10% $212
Rate -1.0pp $182 -0.5pp $139 base $96 +0.5pp $52 +1.0pp $7

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3524 Gerry Dr Granbury, TX 2.0 2.0 784 $1,375 $1.75 26d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $170,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $170,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,208 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,111 · $259/mo
Expected delta
+$1,903/yr (+$159/mo · 157.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,604
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$1,208
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,408
− Management
−$1,408
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$1,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$417
After-tax cash flow
$1,569/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Granbury ISD
NCES district ID
4821390
Math proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$55,856
Composite
40.04/100
National rank
#3820
State rank
#237 of 826 in TX

Livability — Granbury

Score
66/100
State rank
#628
US rank
#11998

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hood County · 58,506 people
City population
58,506
Metro
Granbury, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,506
Household income
$104,967
Rent vs Own
12.3% rent · 87.7% own
Severe rent burden
235.0

Population outlook (Hood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,502 people
By 2030
67,459 · +6.2%
By 2040
74,958 · +18.0%
By 2050
81,922 · +29.0%
By 2075
98,872 · +55.7%
By 2100
107,796 · +69.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Hood

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.0) · D 16.6% · R 82.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.0pp · 2024: -66.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.0 2020: R+64.1 2016: R+66.5 2012: R+64.7 2008: R+54.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.09%
Current HPI
273.1293
Rent YoY
▲ 5.20%
Metro
Granbury, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $170,000 NTREIS
  • 2005-04-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-08-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,208 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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