120 W Warren St · Mitchell, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to a charming single-family residence, offering two bedrooms and one bath. This move-in ready home exudes a timeless appeal, ready to embrace its next chapter. This outdoor living space is enhanced by a covered patio, offering shade and comfort, alongside a welcoming porch, ideal for greeting guests or enjoying a quiet moment. Sellers are considering all offers!
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Outdoor living space
- Welcoming porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property updated/remodeled; Lot size approximately 0.15 acres (< 1/4 acre)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch/patio; Lot includes sidewalks, street lights, city lot access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 15x11); No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level (approx. 12x9 and 12x12)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Painted wood trim and millwork; Living room designated as formal living space; Smoke alarm
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.6% in Mitchell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#187 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Mitchell Community Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #230 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mitchell High School (math 32% / reading 67%, grade D, #123 of 369 statewide, top 36%, 436 students, 51% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mitchell Community Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($650 loan paydown + $579 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.42%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,618
- List price
- $94,000
- Delta
- -19.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 W Mississippi Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (+0%) | 2mo | $122,000 | $143 | 83 |
| 201 W Main St | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 884 (+4%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $141 | 79 |
| 507 W Oak St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+8%) | 6mo | $121,000 | $133 | 66 |
| 604 Crawford St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 856 (+1%) | 1mo | $164,900 | $193 | 66 |
| 1134 N Marion St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 863 (+2%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $170 | 66 |
| 1330 W Crandall St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-1%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 844 W Frank St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 908 (+7%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $165 | 60 |
| 421 W Warren St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 956 (+13%) | 13mo | $140,000 | $146 | 58 |
| 609 W Grissom Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 | 902 (+6%) | 15mo | $24,000 | $27 | 55 |
| 206 Grissom Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-14%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $151 | 55 |
| 402 W Hancock Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+13%) | 12mo | $83,000 | $86 | 53 |
| 455 S 9th St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+6%) | 11mo | $167,500 | $186 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $20,189
- Equity at exit
- $30,224
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $59,232
- Equity at exit
- $38,760
Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47446
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,281 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,968/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $369 | -5% $343 | +0% $316 | +5% $290 | +10% $263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $215 | -5% $266 | +0% $316 | +5% $367 | +10% $417 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $364 | -0.5pp $340 | base $316 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,500
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $94,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05status $94,000 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,000 Active 25 DOM
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Welcome to a charming single-family residence, offering two bedrooms and one bath. This move-in ready home exudes a timeless appeal, ready to embrace its next chapter. This outdoor living space is enhanced by a covered patio, offering shade and comfort, alongside a welcoming porch, ideal for greeting guests or enjoying a quiet moment. Sellers are considering all offers!
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2026-06-02days on market $94,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $94,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $94,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $94,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-09price $94,000 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Welcome to a charming single-family residence, offering two bedrooms and one bath. This move-in ready home exudes a timeless appeal, ready to embrace its next chapter. This outdoor living space is enhanced by a covered patio, offering shade and comfort, alongside a welcoming porch, ideal for greeting guests or enjoying a quiet moment. Sellers are considering all offers!
-
2026-05-09$94,000 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Welcome to a charming single-family residence, offering two bedrooms and one bath. This move-in ready home exudes a timeless appeal, ready to embrace its next chapter. This outdoor living space is enhanced by a covered patio, offering shade and comfort, alongside a welcoming porch, ideal for greeting guests or enjoying a quiet moment. Sellers are considering all offers!
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2026-05-08historical
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2026-04-01$1,000 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Welcome to a charming single-family residence, offering two bedrooms and one bath. This move-in ready home exudes a timeless appeal, ready to embrace its next chapter. This outdoor living space is enhanced by a covered patio, offering shade and comfort, alongside a welcoming porch, ideal for greeting guests or enjoying a quiet moment. Sellers are considering all offers!
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2026-01-16price $1,000
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2026-01-15price $1
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2026-01-06status Active
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2025-12-26price $105,000
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2025-12-23price $105,000
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2025-09-14price $115,000
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2025-09-13price $115,000
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2025-06-27$125,000 Active
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2025-06-23$125,000 Active
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2023-08-07status Pending
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2023-08-07soldstatus $114,900 Closed
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2023-08-07soldstatus $114,900
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2023-06-26historical Active Under Contract
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2023-06-23$114,900 Active
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2023-01-27soldstatus $33,500 Closed
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2022-12-23historical Active Under Contract
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2022-10-19price $37,000
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2022-08-22$42,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,968 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,968 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$1,968
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,230
- − Management
- −$1,230
- − Depreciation
- −$2,735
- Taxable income
- $2,478
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$595
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mitchell Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1806900
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,994
- Composite
- 26.83/100
- National rank
- #7113
- State rank
- #230 of 301 in IN
Livability — Mitchell
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #8606
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mitchell, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,259
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,347 people
- By 2030
- 43,331 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 40,887 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 38,297 · -13.6%
- By 2075
- 32,479 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 26,051 · -41.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.6% · R 74.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+32.8 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Current HPI
- 248.9604
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+123.8% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-03 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $94,000 IRMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $94,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $1,000 IRMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $1,000 IRMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $1 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $105,000 IRMLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $105,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $115,000 IRMLS
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $115,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-27 Listed $125,000 IRMLS
- 2025-06-23 Listed $125,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-07 Pending — IRMLS
- 2023-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records
- 2023-08-07 Sold (MLS) $114,900 IRMLS
- 2023-06-26 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2023-06-23 Listed $114,900 IRMLS
- 2023-01-27 Sold (MLS) $33,500 IRMLS
- 2022-12-23 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2022-10-19 Price Changed $37,000 IRMLS
- 2022-08-22 Listed $42,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,968 · +75.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…