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21 Main St
B Composite 72.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$250,000

21 Main St · Niskayuna, NY 12148
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,690 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1850 5,227 sqft lot $148/sqft · 37% below area Est $399k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Must see this classic colonial, located in the U.S. News Best High School Silver Medal Niskayuna School District. A great value. This home offers hardwood floors throughout, lovely original details, large partially fenced lot, located on quiet street in Rexford and much more. Close to Mohawk River, New Casino and Schenectady Yacht Club. Available for immediate occupancy. Very Good Condition

Key facts

  • Beautiful sunroom
  • Classic farmhouse
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

CLASSIC FARMHOUSEFENCED BACKYARDBEAUTIFUL SUNROOMNISKAYUNA SCHOOL DISTRICT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Four parking spaces; Off-street paved driveway
  • Utilities: 100 amp electric service; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Stone and vinyl siding construction
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Drive-paved; Garden; Shed(s); Workshop; Back yard fencing; Landscaped, level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second level; Two additional bedrooms on second level
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on second level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Paddle fan; Walk-in closet(s); Interior entry basement; Wood burning stove fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer included; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#3 in NY, #51 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Niskayuna Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #103 of 590 in NY (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Glencliff School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #591 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 355 students, 22% FRL); Niskayuna High School (math 100% / reading 82%, grade A+, #226 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 1,375 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools average 24% FRL vs 8% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $946 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $114k; list at $250k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$398,755
List price
$250,000
Delta
-37.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34 East St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-15%) 14mo $302,500 $210 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$25,085
Equity at exit
$77,356
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$96,073
Equity at exit
$96,877

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12148

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$439 /mo · $5,272/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$609
Net cashflow
$436

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,347
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $578 -5% $507 +0% $436 +5% $366 +10% $295
Rent -10% $207 -5% $322 +0% $436 +5% $551 +10% $666
Rate -1.0pp $562 -0.5pp $500 base $436 +0.5pp $372 +1.0pp $306

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Ledge Dr Schenectady, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $2,900 $2.83 15d 6 0.49mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 547-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-27
    listed $250,000 Active 507-char remark
  17. 2026-01-10
    historical
  18. 2025-10-27
    price $265,000
  19. 2025-09-30
    listed $275,000 Active
  20. 2018-11-14
    soldstatus $114,000
  21. 2018-11-13
    soldstatus $114,000 Closed (Final Sale)
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Must see this classic colonial, located in the U.S. News Best High School Silver Medal Niskayuna School District. A great value. This home offers hardwood floors throughout, lovely original details, large partially fenced lot, located on quiet street in Rexford and much more. Close to Mohawk River, New Casino and Schenectady Yacht Club. Available for immediate occupancy. Very Good Condition

  22. 2018-08-02
    status Pend (Under Cntr)
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Must see this classic colonial, located in the U.S. News Best High School Silver Medal Niskayuna School District. A great value. This home offers hardwood floors throughout, lovely original details, large partially fenced lot, located on quiet street in Rexford and much more. Close to Mohawk River, New Casino and Schenectady Yacht Club. Available for immediate occupancy. Very Good Condition

  23. 2018-06-22
    price $114,999
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Must see this classic colonial, located in the U.S. News Best High School Silver Medal Niskayuna School District. A great value. This home offers hardwood floors throughout, lovely original details, large partially fenced lot, located on quiet street in Rexford and much more. Close to Mohawk River, New Casino and Schenectady Yacht Club. Available for immediate occupancy. Very Good Condition

  24. 2018-02-26
    listed $139,000 New
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Must see this classic colonial, located in the U.S. News Best High School Silver Medal Niskayuna School District. A great value. This home offers hardwood floors throughout, lovely original details, large partially fenced lot, located on quiet street in Rexford and much more. Close to Mohawk River, New Casino and Schenectady Yacht Club. Available for immediate occupancy. Very Good Condition

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,272 · $439/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,272 · $439/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,800
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$5,272
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,784
− Management
−$2,784
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$1,433
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$344
After-tax cash flow
$4,894/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niskayuna Central School District
NCES district ID
3620880
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$98,992
Composite
64.04/100
National rank
#580
State rank
#103 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niskayuna

Score
91/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#51

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
32,996
Population (ZIP)
4,121

Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
238,889 people
By 2030
243,681 · +2.0%
By 2040
249,118 · +4.3%
By 2050
248,638 · +4.1%
By 2075
241,675 · +1.2%
By 2100
213,150 · -10.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Iranian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
2008→2024 swing
-1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.38%
Current HPI
334.7208
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $250,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-01-10 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $265,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $275,000 Global MLS
  • 2018-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
  • 2018-11-13 Sold (MLS) $114,000 Global MLS
  • 2018-08-02 Pending Global MLS
  • 2018-06-22 Price Changed $114,999 Global MLS
  • 2018-02-26 Listed $139,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,272 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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