26 Cold Spring Rd · Burnsville, NC
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 11 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors, contractors, and buyers with vision! This unique creek side mountain property presents an exceptional opportunity to restore and transform an existing home into a beautiful and distinctive residence. The home is currently being offered under land value, but with the right renovations, the property has significant potential. The home is not located in a flood plain and sustained no damage from Hurricane Helene. Please note that the property currently does not have a bridge providing access to the house across the creek, and construction of a bridge will be required. Estimated renovation costs, including bridge construction, are approximately $150,000 & acirc; &
Key facts
- Built 1954
- Listed 29 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $930 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 2.3% in Burnsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#64 in NC, #4,938 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
- Yancey County Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #56 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 310 active listings in the ZIP; 100 units permitted in Yancey County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yancey County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $90k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.95%
- DSCR
- 3.09
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $44,729
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 47.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.58×
- Total profit
- $115,483
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28714
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 310
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,020 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,209/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $930
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $981 | -5% $956 | +0% $930 | +5% $905 | +10% $879 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $771 | -5% $851 | +0% $930 | +5% $1,010 | +10% $1,090 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $976 | -0.5pp $953 | base $930 | +0.5pp $907 | +1.0pp $883 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$90,000 Active
-
2025-11-01status Active
-
2025-10-24status Pending
-
2025-10-24historical
-
2025-10-09price $150,000
-
2025-10-09price $190,000
-
2025-09-26price $179,000
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2025-09-18$199,000 Active
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2024-06-17price $193,000
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2024-05-13price $250,000
-
2020-03-17soldstatus $60,000 Closed
-
2020-03-17soldstatus $60,000
-
2020-02-26historical Under Contract - Show
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2020-01-18status Active
-
2020-01-17historical
-
2019-11-10$89,000 Active
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2013-08-21soldstatus
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2013-08-09historical
-
2013-04-09$54,900
-
2006-11-13soldstatus $185,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,209 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,209 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 100% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 11 d/yr ≥82°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,245
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,209
- − Insurance
- −$1,116
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,940
- − Management
- −$1,940
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $10,381
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,491
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yancey County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3705070
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,576
- Composite
- 44.52/100
- National rank
- #2795
- State rank
- #56 of 178 in NC
Livability — Burnsville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #4938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,621
Population outlook (Yancey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,797 people
- By 2030
- 16,215 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 14,830 · -11.7%
- By 2050
- 13,469 · -19.8%
- By 2075
- 10,583 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 7,497 · -55.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Yancey
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.4) · D 32.3% · R 66.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -34.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.4 2020: R+33.7 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+13.9 2008: R+5.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.39%
- Current HPI
- 297.9461
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-51.4% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $90,000 FSBO.com
- 2025-11-01 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-24 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-24 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $150,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $190,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $179,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $199,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-06-17 Price Changed $193,000 Triad MLS
- 2024-05-13 Price Changed $250,000 Triad MLS
- 2020-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-17 Sold (MLS) $60,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-26 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-18 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-17 Delisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-10 Listed $89,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-21 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2013-08-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2013-04-09 Listed $54,900 HARMLS
- 2006-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,209 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…