🏷️ Likely Rental
808 S Hayden St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic first time home or Investment opportunity located in the historic Bivins neighborhood. The property currently has an existing lease that ends on 2/28/27. Per the seller, the property has a new sewer lines. This property is tenant occupied. Please give 24 hr notice to show.
Key facts
- New sewer lines
- 8,150 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($335/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($772 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.59%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,444
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -64.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $4,743
- Equity at exit
- $27,214
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $22,604
- Equity at exit
- $37,445
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79101
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $772 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,893/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$162
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1212 SW 9th Ave Unit A Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $770 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1506 SW 11th Ave Unit A Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $650 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 709 SW 14th Ave Unit 4 Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $695 | $0.99 | 20d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2306 SW 8th Ave Unit 2 Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2306 SW 8th Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 553 | $950 | $1.72 | 20d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 612 SW 17th Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $650 | $0.64 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 705 S Florida St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $850 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9 S Polk St Unit 9 Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $525 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1616 1 S Polk St Unit 1 Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $525 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2030 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $650 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 802 S Kentucky St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $899 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2700 W 16th Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $830 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 108 N Florida St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $800 | $0.83 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3118 SW 15th Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $640 | $0.63 | 13d | 17 | 1.23mi |
| 1008 S Mississippi St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,275 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2216 S Polk St Apt D Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $575 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 211 S Carolina St Unit A Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $993 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 406 S Tennessee St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $895 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2400 S Polk St #204 Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 549 | $1,300 | $2.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-01-22price $75,000 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Fantastic first time home or Investment opportunity located in the historic Bivins neighborhood. The property currently has an existing lease that ends on 2/28/27. Per the seller, the property has a new sewer lines. This property is tenant occupied. Please give 24 hr notice to show.
-
2025-11-18$85,000 Active 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Fantastic first time home or Investment opportunity located in the historic Bivins neighborhood. The property currently has an existing lease that ends on 2/28/27. Per the seller, the property has a new sewer lines. This property is tenant occupied. Please give 24 hr notice to show.
-
2025-04-02price $85,000
-
2022-07-29price $875
-
2011-12-19soldstatus
-
2011-05-06soldstatus
-
2010-02-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,893 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,893 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,268
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,893
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$741
- − Management
- −$741
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable loss
- −$865
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$208
- After-tax cash flow
- $542/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- City population
- 185,802
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,458
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 11% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.41%
- Current HPI
- 173.3766
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-11.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $75,000 AARMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $85,000 AARMLS
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $85,000 AARMLS
- 2022-07-29 Price Changed $875 RENT.
- 2011-12-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-02-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,893 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…