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808 S Hayden St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C- Composite 50.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

808 S Hayden St · Amarillo, TX 79101
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 212 Days on market
Built 1926 8,150 sqft lot $84/sqft · 65% below area ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic first time home or Investment opportunity located in the historic Bivins neighborhood. The property currently has an existing lease that ends on 2/28/27. Per the seller, the property has a new sewer lines. This property is tenant occupied. Please give 24 hr notice to show.

Key facts

  • New sewer lines
  • 8,150 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

HISTORIC BIVINS NEIGHBORHOODNEW SEWER LINES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $75,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$211,444) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($335/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($772 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.59%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,444
List price
$75,000
Delta
-64.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$4,743
Equity at exit
$27,214
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$22,604
Equity at exit
$37,445

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79101

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$772 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,893/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$162
Net cashflow
$28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $737
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1212 SW 9th Ave Unit A Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 550 $770 $1.40 20d 1 0.08mi
1506 SW 11th Ave Unit A Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 608 $650 $1.07 43d 1 0.32mi
709 SW 14th Ave Unit 4 Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $695 $0.99 20d 1 0.52mi
2306 SW 8th Ave Unit 2 Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 0.72mi
2306 SW 8th Ave Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 553 $950 $1.72 20d 1 0.72mi
612 SW 17th Ave Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 1008 $650 $0.64 20d 1 0.76mi
705 S Florida St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 1014 $850 $0.84 20d 1 0.95mi
9 S Polk St Unit 9 Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 530 $525 $0.99 13d 1 0.96mi
1616 1 S Polk St Unit 1 Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 530 $525 $0.99 43d 1 0.99mi
2030 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 630 $650 $1.03 13d 1 1.01mi
802 S Kentucky St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 970 $899 $0.93 43d 1 1.03mi
2700 W 16th Ave Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 693 $830 $1.20 13d 1 1.13mi
108 N Florida St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 960 $800 $0.83 20d 1 1.21mi
3118 SW 15th Ave Amarillo, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $640 $0.63 13d 17 1.23mi
1008 S Mississippi St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1061 $1,275 $1.20 20d 1 1.30mi
2216 S Polk St Apt D Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 544 $575 $1.06 43d 1 1.41mi
211 S Carolina St Unit A Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 600 $993 $1.66 43d 1 1.42mi
406 S Tennessee St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 837 $895 $1.07 20d 1 1.47mi
2400 S Polk St #204 Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 549 $1,300 $2.37 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 212 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 211 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 210 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 209 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 207 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 206 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 204 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 203 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 202 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 201 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 197 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 196 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 194 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 193 DOM
  16. 2026-01-22
    price $75,000 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Fantastic first time home or Investment opportunity located in the historic Bivins neighborhood. The property currently has an existing lease that ends on 2/28/27. Per the seller, the property has a new sewer lines. This property is tenant occupied. Please give 24 hr notice to show.

  17. 2025-11-18
    listed $85,000 Active 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Fantastic first time home or Investment opportunity located in the historic Bivins neighborhood. The property currently has an existing lease that ends on 2/28/27. Per the seller, the property has a new sewer lines. This property is tenant occupied. Please give 24 hr notice to show.

  18. 2025-04-02
    price $85,000
  19. 2022-07-29
    price $875
  20. 2011-12-19
    soldstatus
  21. 2011-05-06
    soldstatus
  22. 2010-02-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,893 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,893 · $158/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,268
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,893
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$741
− Management
−$741
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable loss
−$865
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$208
After-tax cash flow
$542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
City population
185,802
Population (ZIP)
2,458

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,296 people
By 2030
120,883 · -0.3%
By 2040
119,668 · -1.3%
By 2050
117,788 · -2.9%
By 2075
110,250 · -9.1%
By 2100
92,923 · -23.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 11% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.41%
Current HPI
173.3766
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $75,000 AARMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $85,000 AARMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $85,000 AARMLS
  • 2022-07-29 Price Changed $875 RENT.
  • 2011-12-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-05-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-02-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,893 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…