00063B Avondale Ln Unit 433-6 · Avon, CO 81620

$15,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,130 sqft · Timeshare · 493 Days on market

Built 1999 Est $11k · 41% over $487/mo HOA · 12% of rent ↓ 36% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• Appreciation +8.3/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0

Listing remarks

Top floor 2 bedroom for desirable February wee. Includes additional points to return for a prime summer week plus 3-4 days in off-season. . Membership in Hyatt Vacation Club and Interval International

Key facts

• Garage
• Community pool
• Built 1999

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Association fee billed annually; Association fee covers cable TV, club membership, common area maintenance, electricity, gas, heat, insurance, internet, management, sewer, snow removal, taxes, telephone, trash, water, and furniture replacement; Community amenities include fitness center, front desk, on-site management, pool, shuttle service, and spa/hot tub; Community features include cross-country trails, fishing, golf, shuttle service, and trails

Exterior

• Home design: Multifamily property
• Construction: Tile roof; Poured in place foundation
• Exterior features: Multifamily zoning; Access to trails

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Disposal
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Baseboard heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
• Interior features: Unit is furnished; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
• Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath timeshare listed at $16k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $16k).
• Recommended offer: $14k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 197.3% vs local median 2.3% in Avon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#220 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
• Eagle County School District No. RE-50 (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 86 in CO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 448 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 387 units permitted in Eagle County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,959/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 744% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($110 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
• Eagle County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 493 days — a 12% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $13,992 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 493 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 24.90% ✓
• Cap rate: 197.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 682.13%
• DSCR: 31.35
• GRM: 0.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $11,300
• Comps found: 10

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
63 Avondale Ln #431, Week 13	0.05mi	2/2.0	1,180 (+4%)	14mo	$6,000	$5	79
210 Offerson Rd #303	0.07mi	2/2.0	1,256 (+11%)	1mo	$10,750	$9	77
63 Avondale Ln #333 - week 6	0.02mi	2/2.0	1,200 (+6%)	16mo	$12,000	$10	75
210 Offerson #111-10	0.07mi	2/3.0	1,200 (+6%)	9mo	$33,000	$28	75
63 Avondale Ln #333-Week 12	0.02mi	2/2.0	1,048 (-7%)	15mo	$26,000	$25	75
210 Offerson #212-35&36	0.07mi	1/2.0 (-1)	1,050 (-7%)	7mo	$4,000	$4	74
210 Offerson #212-12	0.07mi	1/2.0 (-1)	1,050 (-7%)	13mo	$10,000	$10	69
210 Offerson #308-26	0.07mi	2/3.0	1,250 (+11%)	10mo	$3,300	$3	67
210 Offerson Rd #321-1	0.07mi	2/3.0	1,252 (+11%)	14mo	$55,000	$44	63
210 Offerson Rd #R-112, Weeks 51 & 52	0.07mi	1/2.0 (-1)	986 (-13%)	10mo	$125,000	$127	62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 37.51×
• Total profit: $162,545
• Equity at exit: $10,639

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 80.94×
• Total profit: $355,886
• Equity at exit: $19,875

Cash invested: $4,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 38 Tenant-Leaning
• State Colorado: 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 81620

• Home prices YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 448
• Price-to-rent: 0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,959 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$83
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$20 /mo · $238/yr
• Insurance: −$7
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$487
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$831
• Net cashflow: $2,464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $840

Max offer price $15,900

Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,975
• Closing costs: $477
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $487 · $5,844/yr

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $15,900 Active 493 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $15,900 Active 492 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $15,900 Active 491 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $15,900 Active 490 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $15,900 Active 489 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $15,900 Active 487 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $15,900 Active 486 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $15,900 Active 483 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $15,900 Active 482 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $15,900 Active 481 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $15,900 Active 478 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $15,900 Active 477 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $15,900 Active 476 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $15,900 Active 475 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $15,900 Active 474 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $15,900 Active 473 DOM
17. 2025-08-18
    price $15,900
18. 2025-03-23
    price $19,000
19. 2025-02-11
    listed $25,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 14 d/yr ≥72°F today · 37 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $47,508
• − Mortgage interest: −$891
• − Property taxes: −$238
• − Insurance: −$877
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,801
• − Management: −$3,801
• − HOA: −$5,844
• − Depreciation: −$463
• Taxable income: $31,594
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$7,583
• After-tax cash flow: $21,989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Eagle County School District No. RE-50
• NCES district ID: 0803540
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $73,322
• Composite: 30.01/100
• National rank: #6360
• State rank: #39 of 86 in CO

Livability — Avon

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #220
• US rank: #17858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Eagle County · 42,178 people
• City population: 10,870
• Metro: Edwards, CO
• Population (ZIP): 10,870
• Household income: $102,775
• Rent vs Own: 46.9% rent · 53.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 744.0

Population outlook (Eagle County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 57,837 people
• By 2030: 59,258 · +2.5%
• By 2040: 60,698 · +4.9%
• By 2050: 60,206 · +4.1%
• By 2075: 54,326 · -6.1%
• By 2100: 47,000 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 23% Asian 3% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 14%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Eagle

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.4) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.3pp toward D · 2008: 23.1pp · 2024: 24.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.4 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+23.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 6.63%
• Current HPI: 363.7493
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Edwards, CO
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.95%
• F500 in state: 14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology Distribution	1	$31B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$18B
▸Packaging	1	$14B
▸Healthcare	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$10B
▸Technology	1	$4B

Price history

-36.4% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-08-18 Price Changed $15,900 VMLS
• 2025-03-23 Price Changed $19,000 VMLS
• 2025-02-11 Listed $25,000 VMLS