155 Boracay Cir · Jacksonville, FL 32259

$279,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,751 sqft · SingleFamily · 155 Days on market

Built 2022 Good condition 2,613 sqft lot $159/sqft · 14% below area Est $325k · 14% under $596/mo HOA · 24% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.9/15.0
• Schools +7.8/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Cash flow +4.1/30.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

AMAZING VALUE!! Motivated Seller offers Ideally Situated Townhome in the highly sought after Beachwalk Community. Resort style amenities feature a 14-acre crystal lagoon with sugary-white sandy beaches, water slides, kayak & paddle board access, and a single swim-up bar. The private beachfront clubhouse offers dining, lounge areas and residential social events. Active-living perks include a 24-hr. fitness center and yoga studio, six Har-Tru tennis courts, sand volleyball, putting green, dog splash park and walking trails all with-in a golf cart community. This prime St. Johns County location puts you just minutes from major shopping centers, grocery stores and a variety of dining shops and everything you need right at your fingertips. The nearest international airport (JAX) only 30-40 min away! Enjoy the perfect blend of luxurious living and everyday convenience at 155 Boracay Circle.

Key facts

• 24-hr fitness center
• Sand volleyball
• Yoga studio

Tags

• 14-ACRE CRYSTAL LAGOON
• PRIVATE BEACHFRONT CLUBHOUSE
• 24-HR FITNESS CENTER
• YOGA STUDIO
• SIX HAR-TRU TENNIS COURTS
• SAND VOLLEYBALL

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $279k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-773 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (49.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (11.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $142k (49.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Palencia Elementary School (math 82% / reading 80%, grade A+, #95 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 781 students, 15% FRL); Pacetti Bay Middle School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #40 of 571 statewide, top 7%, 1,443 students, 18% FRL); Allen D Nease Senior High School (math 72% / reading 78%, grade A-, #40 of 667 statewide, top 6%, 2,214 students, 4% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1103 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $142,418 (49.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 49% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.89% ✗
• Cap rate: 2.97%
• Cash-on-cash: -11.88%
• DSCR: 0.47
• GRM: 9.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $324,880
• List price: $279,000
• Delta: -14.12%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
76 Old Fort Trl	0.31mi	3/2.5	1,710 (-2%)	11mo	$374,000	$219	72
220 Killarney Ave	0.31mi	3/2.5	1,710 (-2%)	13mo	$355,000	$208	70
270 Clifton Bay Loop	0.25mi	3/2.5	1,928 (+10%)	2mo	$414,900	$215	70
248 Clifton Bay	0.27mi	3/2.5	1,943 (+11%)	0mo	$420,000	$216	69
101 Killarney Ave	0.39mi	3/2.5	1,710 (-2%)	16mo	$425,000	$249	65
72 Clifton Bay Loop	0.43mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,895 (+8%)	1mo	$395,000	$208	60
165 Killarney Ave	0.38mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,882 (+8%)	7mo	$415,000	$221	59
193 Killarney Ave	0.35mi	3/2.5	1,945 (+11%)	9mo	$410,000	$211	58
46 Killarney Ave	0.32mi	3/2.5	1,945 (+11%)	14mo	$410,000	$211	55
318 Rambling Brook Trl	0.65mi	3/2.0	1,648 (-6%)	6mo	$405,000	$246	53
117 Killarney Ave	0.38mi	3/2.5	1,943 (+11%)	14mo	$400,000	$206	52
108 Clifton Bay Loop	0.40mi	3/2.0	1,935 (+10%)	14mo	$425,000	$220	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -43.4%
• Equity multiple: -0.30×
• Total profit: $-101,190
• Equity at exit: $41,600

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: -1.27×
• Total profit: $-177,454
• Equity at exit: $24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 8 active · 9 under contract
• Months of supply: 8.0 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $400,445 ($240/sqft)
• Median days on market: 141 d
• This list price: 12% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: -22.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32259

• Home prices YoY: -28.8%
• Rents YoY: 0.0%
• Active inventory: 1103
• Price-to-rent: 9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,480 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,463
• Tax from tax record: −$557 /mo · $6,688/yr
• Insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$596
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$521
• Net cashflow: $-773

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,459

Max offer price $142,418

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-615	-5% $-694	+0% $-773	+5% $-852	+10% $-931
Rent	-10% $-969	-5% $-871	+0% $-773	+5% $-675	+10% $-577
Rate	-1.0pp $-633	-0.5pp $-702	base $-773	+0.5pp $-845	+1.0pp $-919

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,750
• Closing costs: $8,370
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
181 Boracay Cir Unit 181 St Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1631	$2,450	$1.50	119d	1	0.01mi
150 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1631	$2,400	$1.47	7d	1	0.05mi
457 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1751	$2,595	$1.48	99d	1	0.06mi
369 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1750	$2,350	$1.34	3d	1	0.06mi
369 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1750	$2,350	$1.34	5d	1	0.06mi
105 Boracay Cir St Johns, FL	3.0	3.0	1750	$2,545	$1.45	73d	1	0.08mi
99 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL	3.0	3.0	1631	$2,200	$1.35	7d	1	0.08mi
250 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL	3.0	3.0	1631	$2,200	$1.35	7d	1	0.08mi
472 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1750	$2,600	$1.49	119d	1	0.08mi
294 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1631	$2,350	$1.44	7d	1	0.11mi
477 Albany Bay Blvd Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1631	$2,249	$1.38	99d	1	0.13mi
75 Teigan Trl St Johns, FL	3.0	1.0–2.0	1035	$2,199	$2.12	0d	32	0.21mi
409 Clifton Bay Loop St Johns, FL	4.0	3.5	2260	$3,500	$1.55	73d	1	0.24mi
70 Killarney Ave Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	1710	$2,900	$1.70	7d	1	0.37mi
128 Peace River Rd Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.0	1638	$2,395	$1.46	119d	1	0.59mi
471 Rum Runner Way St Johns, FL	4.0	4.0	2478	$3,650	$1.47	63d	1	0.60mi
310 Rambling Brook Trl Saint Johns, FL	4.0	3.0	2387	$2,700	$1.13	119d	1	0.62mi
302 Rambling Brook Trl Saint Johns, FL	4.0	2.5	2387	$2,700	$1.13	119d	1	0.62mi
62 Gourd Island Way Saint Johns, FL	4.0	2.0	1656	$2,250	$1.36	7d	1	0.69mi
35 Crystal Palm Dr St Johns, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1115	$2,462	$2.21	0d	17	0.71mi
357 Rum Runner Way St Johns, FL	4.0	3.5	2169	$3,550	$1.64	73d	1	0.71mi
55 Gourd Island Way Saint Johns, FL	4.0	2.5	2091	$2,600	$1.24	119d	1	0.72mi
87 Tahiti Shores Ct Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	1.5	1502	$1,975	$1.31	115d	1	0.73mi
168 Rambling Brook Trl Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.0	1700	$3,000	$1.76	119d	1	0.74mi
71 Tahiti Shores Ct Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1502	$1,975	$1.31	103d	1	0.74mi
60 Rum Runner Way St Johns, FL	4.0	3.0	2503	$4,000	$1.60	73d	1	0.76mi
290 Rum Runner Way St Johns, FL	3.0	2.5	2052	$3,995	$1.95	73d	1	0.77mi
171 Tamar Ct St Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	2081	$2,600	$1.25	63d	1	0.77mi
171 Tamar Ct Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	3.0	2081	$2,600	$1.25	7d	1	0.77mi
59 Talulla Trl Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1502	$1,895	$1.26	0d	1	0.79mi
55 Tamar Ct Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	2081	$2,600	$1.25	119d	1	0.82mi
32 Pasadena Dr Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL	2.0	2.5	1442	$2,100	$1.46	119d	1	0.82mi
205 Talulla Trl St Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1502	$1,995	$1.33	73d	1	0.85mi
64 Pasadena Dr Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1502	$2,075	$1.38	119d	1	0.86mi
35 Oarsman Crossing Dr St Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1502	$1,850	$1.23	63d	1	0.86mi
35 Oarsman Crossing Dr Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1502	$1,900	$1.26	82d	1	0.86mi
70 Oarsman Crossing Dr Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1722	$1,950	$1.13	115d	1	0.88mi
70 Oarsman Crossing Dr Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1687	$1,995	$1.18	93d	1	0.88mi
298 Charlie Way Saint Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1789	$2,349	$1.31	0d	1	0.89mi
44 Pomona Way St Augustine, FL	3.0	2.5	1502	$2,100	$1.40	73d	1	0.89mi

HOA detail $596/mo · $7,152/yr

• Likely covers: watergym

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-16
   days on market $279,000 Active 155 DOM
2. 2026-06-15
   days on market $279,000 Active 154 DOM
3. 2026-06-13
   days on market $279,000 Active 152 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $279,000 Active 151 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   days on market $279,000 Active 148 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $279,000 Active 147 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $279,000 Active 146 DOM
8. 2026-06-03
   days on market $279,000 Active 142 DOM
9. 2026-06-02
   days on market $279,000 Active 141 DOM
10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,000 Active 140 DOM
11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,000 Active 139 DOM
12. 2026-03-16
    price $297,400 973-char remark

    Show marketing remark (973 chars)

    AMAZING VALUE!! Motivated Seller offers Ideally Situated Townhome in the highly sought after Beachwalk Community. Resort style amenities feature a 14-acre crystal lagoon with sugary-white sandy beaches, water slides, kayak & paddle board access, and a single swim-up bar. The private beachfront clubhouse offers dining, lounge areas and residential social events. Active-living perks include a 24-hr. fitness center and yoga studio, six Har-Tru tennis courts, sand volleyball, putting green, dog splash park and walking trails all with-in a golf cart community. This prime St. Johns County location puts you just minutes from major shopping centers, grocery stores and a variety of dining shops and everything you need right at your fingertips. The nearest international airport (JAX) only 30-40 min away! Enjoy the perfect blend of luxurious living and everyday convenience at 155 Boracay Circle. Ask about Lender Incentives when financed though Bayway Mortgage Group

13. 2026-02-20
    price $298,700 973-char remark

    Show marketing remark (973 chars)

    AMAZING VALUE!! Motivated Seller offers Ideally Situated Townhome in the highly sought after Beachwalk Community. Resort style amenities feature a 14-acre crystal lagoon with sugary-white sandy beaches, water slides, kayak & paddle board access, and a single swim-up bar. The private beachfront clubhouse offers dining, lounge areas and residential social events. Active-living perks include a 24-hr. fitness center and yoga studio, six Har-Tru tennis courts, sand volleyball, putting green, dog splash park and walking trails all with-in a golf cart community. This prime St. Johns County location puts you just minutes from major shopping centers, grocery stores and a variety of dining shops and everything you need right at your fingertips. The nearest international airport (JAX) only 30-40 min away! Enjoy the perfect blend of luxurious living and everyday convenience at 155 Boracay Circle. Ask about Lender Incentives when financed though Bayway Mortgage Group

14. 2026-02-09
    status Active 973-char remark

    Show marketing remark (973 chars)

    AMAZING VALUE!! Motivated Seller offers Ideally Situated Townhome in the highly sought after Beachwalk Community. Resort style amenities feature a 14-acre crystal lagoon with sugary-white sandy beaches, water slides, kayak & paddle board access, and a single swim-up bar. The private beachfront clubhouse offers dining, lounge areas and residential social events. Active-living perks include a 24-hr. fitness center and yoga studio, six Har-Tru tennis courts, sand volleyball, putting green, dog splash park and walking trails all with-in a golf cart community. This prime St. Johns County location puts you just minutes from major shopping centers, grocery stores and a variety of dining shops and everything you need right at your fingertips. The nearest international airport (JAX) only 30-40 min away! Enjoy the perfect blend of luxurious living and everyday convenience at 155 Boracay Circle. Ask about Lender Incentives when financed though Bayway Mortgage Group

15. 2026-02-06
    status Pending 973-char remark

    Show marketing remark (973 chars)

    AMAZING VALUE!! Motivated Seller offers Ideally Situated Townhome in the highly sought after Beachwalk Community. Resort style amenities feature a 14-acre crystal lagoon with sugary-white sandy beaches, water slides, kayak & paddle board access, and a single swim-up bar. The private beachfront clubhouse offers dining, lounge areas and residential social events. Active-living perks include a 24-hr. fitness center and yoga studio, six Har-Tru tennis courts, sand volleyball, putting green, dog splash park and walking trails all with-in a golf cart community. This prime St. Johns County location puts you just minutes from major shopping centers, grocery stores and a variety of dining shops and everything you need right at your fingertips. The nearest international airport (JAX) only 30-40 min away! Enjoy the perfect blend of luxurious living and everyday convenience at 155 Boracay Circle. Ask about Lender Incentives when financed though Bayway Mortgage Group

16. 2026-01-09
    listed $289,994 Active 973-char remark

    Show marketing remark (973 chars)

    AMAZING VALUE!! Motivated Seller offers Ideally Situated Townhome in the highly sought after Beachwalk Community. Resort style amenities feature a 14-acre crystal lagoon with sugary-white sandy beaches, water slides, kayak & paddle board access, and a single swim-up bar. The private beachfront clubhouse offers dining, lounge areas and residential social events. Active-living perks include a 24-hr. fitness center and yoga studio, six Har-Tru tennis courts, sand volleyball, putting green, dog splash park and walking trails all with-in a golf cart community. This prime St. Johns County location puts you just minutes from major shopping centers, grocery stores and a variety of dining shops and everything you need right at your fingertips. The nearest international airport (JAX) only 30-40 min away! Enjoy the perfect blend of luxurious living and everyday convenience at 155 Boracay Circle. Ask about Lender Incentives when financed though Bayway Mortgage Group

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $6,688 · $557/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,688 · $557/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,765
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,628
• − Property taxes: −$6,688
• − Insurance: −$1,395
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,381
• − Management: −$2,381
• − HOA: −$7,152
• − Depreciation: −$8,116
• Taxable loss: −$13,977
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,354
• After-tax cash flow: $-5,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,755–$26,265 screening

This well-maintained townhome in the Beachwalk Community is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value. ↑
• Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs for tenants. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

B Composite school gradezoned avg 78/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Palencia Elementary School A+ FL #95/2,144 Nat'l #1,082/41,679 Middle Pacetti Bay Middle School A FL #40/571 Nat'l #537/14,009 High Creekside High School A- FL #27/667 Nat'l #1,121/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Johns
• NCES district ID: 1201740
• Math proficiency: 75% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 73% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $66,842
• Composite: 64.31/100
• National rank: #556
• State rank: #2 of 73 in FL

A Composite livability gradescore 83/100

Livability — Jacksonville

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #50
• US rank: #911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Saint Johns County · 303,941 people
• City population: 979,034
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 75,016
• Household income: $150,736
• Rent vs Own: 11.8% rent · 88.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 8% of renters

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Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 303,941 people
• By 2030: 342,590 · +12.7%
• By 2040: 417,328 · +37.3%
• By 2050: 487,011 · +60.2%
• By 2075: 635,395 · +109.1%
• By 2100: 717,469 · +136.1%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

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Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -105.54%
• Current HPI: 261.2552
• Rent YoY: ▬ 0.00%
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+2.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-16 Price Changed $297,400 realMLS
• 2026-02-20 Price Changed $298,700 realMLS
• 2026-02-09 Relisted — realMLS
• 2026-02-06 Pending — realMLS
• 2026-01-09 Listed $289,994 realMLS

Property tax history

+26.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,688 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.