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413 Rice St
B- Composite 68.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

413 Rice St · Hamlet, NC 28345
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,625 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1940 6,534 sqft lot ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful home close to town! Home is walking distance from the Hamlet train station, museum and library. Home has 3 large bedrooms with 1 and 1/2 bath. Kitchen has plenty of storage and cabinet space.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; Site-built construction; One and one-half story layout; Brick partial and vinyl exterior
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Brick partial and vinyl siding; Basement and crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Roads are a mix of dirt and paved; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Exhaust hood
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total: one on the main level and two on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Partial, unfinished basement; Basement and crawl space foundation; Fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.8% in Hamlet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#124 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Richmond County Schools (town): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #139 of 178 in NC (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview Heights Elementary (math 43% / reading 42%, grade F, #625 of 1,410 statewide, top 45%, 504 students, 99% FRL); Richmond Senior High (math 58% / reading 38%, grade D, #329 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,286 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richmond County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
13.95%
Cash-on-cash
27.33%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
413 Rice St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,654 (+2%) 0mo $68,000 $41 97
304 Henderson St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,756 (+8%) 8mo $155,000 $88 74
401 Marlboro St 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,680 (+3%) 3mo $190,000 $113 73
607 Henderson St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,501 (-8%) 5mo $125,000 $83 69
817 Austin St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,596 (-2%) 5mo $259,900 $163 66
300 Hylan Ave 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,720 (+6%) 3mo $215,000 $125 60
503 Spring St 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,580 (-3%) 8mo $80,000 $51 55
306 Locust St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,683 (+4%) 15mo $284,000 $169 51
318 Spring St 0.56mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,754 (+8%) 4mo $75,000 $43 48
304 Locust St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,683 (+4%) 20mo $287,000 $171 48
343 Raleigh St 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,496 (-8%) 21mo $35,000 $23 30
308 Terry St St 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,843 (+13%) 9mo $160,000 $87 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$15,889
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$47,906
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28345

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $988/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $570
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $433 +0% $415 +5% $396 +10% $378
Rent -10% $328 -5% $371 +0% $415 +5% $458 +10% $501
Rate -1.0pp $447 -0.5pp $431 base $415 +0.5pp $398 +1.0pp $381

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $65,000 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
  10. 2026-05-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  11. 2026-05-18
    listed $65,000 Active
  12. 2020-03-16
    soldstatus $88,000 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Beautiful home close to town! Home is walking distance from the Hamlet train station, museum and library. Home has 3 large bedrooms with 1 and 1/2 bath. Kitchen has plenty of storage and cabinet space.

  13. 2020-03-16
    soldstatus $88,000
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Beautiful home close to town! Home is walking distance from the Hamlet train station, museum and library. Home has 3 large bedrooms with 1 and 1/2 bath. Kitchen has plenty of storage and cabinet space.

  14. 2020-01-30
    listed $89,900 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Beautiful home close to town! Home is walking distance from the Hamlet train station, museum and library. Home has 3 large bedrooms with 1 and 1/2 bath. Kitchen has plenty of storage and cabinet space.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$988 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$988 · $82/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,137
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$988
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,051
− Management
−$1,051
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,190
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,006
After-tax cash flow
$3,969/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County Schools
NCES district ID
3703870
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$32,224
Composite
26.97/100
National rank
#7076
State rank
#139 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hamlet

Score
70/100
State rank
#124
US rank
#7413

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hamlet, NC
Population (ZIP)
12,224

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,892 people
By 2030
41,257 · -3.8%
By 2040
37,629 · -12.3%
By 2050
33,655 · -21.5%
By 2075
23,992 · -44.1%
By 2100
14,782 · -65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.9) · D 39.2% · R 60.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.4pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -20.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.9 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+10.1 2012: D+2.7 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.70%
Current HPI
197.4677
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $65,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
  • 2020-03-16 Sold (MLS) $88,000 Hive MLS
  • 2020-01-30 Listed $89,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $988 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…