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1620 Via Quantico Spc 10
B- Composite 67.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$172,000

1620 Via Quantico Spc 10 · Santa Maria, CA 93454
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 66 Days on market
Built 1975 Good condition 436 sqft lot Est $160k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated 2-3 bedroom, 2 full bath home offering approximately 1,440 square feet of living space, located in the desirable Casa del Rio Mobile Estates, a 55+ community. Enjoy a peaceful setting while remaining conveniently close to shopping, grocery stores, and scenic dog-walking trails. This home features numerous upgrades throughout, including a remodeled kitchen with new countertops, sink, dishwasher, refrigerator, and upgraded cabinet drawer glides. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated with resurfaced and freshly painted tubs, along with new shower heads, mirrors, plumbing connections, toilet and sink fixtures, and modern lighting. The spacious primary bedroom includes a walk-in cl

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • Walk-in closet
  • Remodeled kitchen

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMSMODERN LIGHTINGWALK-IN CLOSETUPDATED FLOORINGNEW CARPET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is residential single family zoning
  • HOA & community: Age-restricted community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (manufactured home occupying a single level); Facing direction not provided
  • Construction: Brick and composite siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Manufactured by Sunnybrook; Mobile dimensions approx. 60' x 24'
  • Exterior features: Patio; Covered patio; Decks; Tool shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Electric cooktop
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Carpet and linoleum flooring; Gas hookup for laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Gas hookup provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $172k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $834 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $172k).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.5% in Santa Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#202 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Santa Maria-Bonita (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,023 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,680 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.11%
Cash-on-cash
20.79%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1403 Via Asueto 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 2mo $210,000 $146 90
1127 Via Contento 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,392 (-3%) 6mo $115,000 $83 87
1627 Via Sabroso 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 12mo $60,000 $42 82
1602 Via Tropico 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+5%) 0mo $320,000 $212 81
1127 Via Estio 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+7%) 7mo $152,000 $99 80
1608 Via Quantico 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+7%) 4mo $115,000 $75 78
1620 Via Ynez 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,488 (+3%) 1mo $165,000 $111 78
1651 Via Quantico 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,521 (+6%) 4mo $200,000 $131 75
1201 Via Gusto 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+7%) 10mo $165,000 $107 70
1632 Via Undoso 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,320 (-8%) 8mo $149,000 $113 69
1617 Via Rico 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,568 (+9%) 11mo $174,000 $111 68
1205 Via Hielo 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 15mo $65,000 $52 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$25,973
Equity at exit
$25,646
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$93,964
Equity at exit
$14,871

Cash invested: $48,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93454

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,561 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$902
Tax est. 1.5%
$215 /mo · $2,580/yr
Insurance
$72
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$538
Net cashflow
$834

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,505
Max offer price $172,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,000
Closing costs
$5,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1124 N Suey Rd Santa Maria, CA 2.0 2.0 1296 $2,500 $1.93 13d 1 0.10mi
914 E El Camino St Santa Maria, CA 3.0 2.0 1441 $3,400 $2.36 21d 1 0.90mi
Lynne Dr Santa Maria, CA 3.0 2.5 1264 $3,000 $2.37 13d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $172,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $172,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $172,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $172,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $172,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $172,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $172,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $172,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $172,000 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $172,000 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $172,000 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $172,000 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $172,000 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $172,000 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $172,000 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $172,000 Active 47 DOM
  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $172,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,728
− Mortgage interest
−$9,635
− Property taxes
−$2,580
− Insurance
−$860
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,458
− Management
−$2,458
− Depreciation
−$5,004
Taxable income
$7,733
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,856
After-tax cash flow
$8,155/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Casa del Rio Mobile Estates is in good condition with recent updates to the kitchen and bathrooms. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through cosmetic upgrades.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring to a more durable material — A more durable flooring option can improve the home's value and reduce maintenance costs.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to more modern models — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters, and improve the home's overall appeal.
  • Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures to more modern models — Modern bathroom fixtures can attract more buyers and renters, and improve the home's overall appeal.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system to a more energy-efficient model — A more energy-efficient HVAC system can reduce utility costs and improve the home's overall appeal.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard to enhance curb appeal — A well-maintained front yard can attract more buyers and renters, and improve the home's overall appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring to a more durable material — A more durable flooring option can improve the home's value and reduce maintenance costs.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to more modern models — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters, and improve the home's overall appeal.
  • Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures to more modern models — Modern bathroom fixtures can attract more buyers and renters, and improve the home's overall appeal.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system to a more energy-efficient model — A more energy-efficient HVAC system can reduce utility costs and improve the home's overall appeal.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard to enhance curb appeal — A well-maintained front yard can attract more buyers and renters, and improve the home's overall appeal.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Maria-Bonita
NCES district ID
0605580
Math proficiency
26% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$50,959
Composite
29.11/100
National rank
#11891
State rank
#1023 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Santa Maria

Score
71/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#6519

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santa Maria, CA
County
Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
City population
145,655
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,896
Household income
$81,522
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
1893.0

Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,679 people
By 2030
505,323 · +4.3%
By 2040
545,783 · +12.6%
By 2050
584,263 · +20.5%
By 2075
682,586 · +40.8%
By 2100
723,188 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 37% White 20% Native American 3% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Russian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
43% English-only · Spanish 52% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
+3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -543.97%
Current HPI
313.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 3.26%
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $172,000 NSBCRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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