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23708 LOCUST Way #35
A- Composite 81.73
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

23708 LOCUST Way #35 · Bothell West, WA 98021
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1968 21 ac lot $103/sqft · 37% below area Est $109k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully renovated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the desirable all-ages Country Club Estates community in Bothell. Offering 672 square feet of thoughtfully updated living space, this home is the perfect blend of comfort, style, and affordability. Step inside to discover a fully updated interior, featuring a brand-new kitchen with modern finishes, an upgraded bathroom, fresh interior paint, and new flooring throughout. The efficient layout maximizes space while creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. This move-in-ready home is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a low-maintenance lifestyle. Located in the welcoming Country Club Estates park, t

Key facts

  • Upgraded bathroom
  • Renovated home
  • Move-in-ready home

Tags

RENOVATED HOMEUPDATED INTERIORBRAND-NEW KITCHENUPGRADED BATHROOMNEW FLOORINGMOVE-IN-READY HOME

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.3% vs local median 2.2% in Bothell West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#2 in WA, #63 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Northshore School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($184k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.71%
Cap rate
34.32%
Cash-on-cash
100.09%
DSCR
5.45
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,840
List price
$69,000
Delta
-36.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23708 Locust Way #29 0.00mi 2/1.0 675 (+0%) 5mo $48,000 $71 95
23708 LOCUST Way #30 0.00mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 15mo $64,000 $95 87
23708 Locust Way #4 0.00mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 23mo $35,000 $52 81
23708 Locust Way Unit 26B 0.00mi 2/1.0 728 (+8%) 8mo $115,000 $158 79
23708 Locust Way #42 0.00mi 2/1.0 720 (+7%) 14mo $121,500 $169 76
23708 Locust Way #37 0.00mi 2/1.0 723 (+8%) 20mo $115,000 $159 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
99.8%
Equity multiple
5.57×
Total profit
$88,277
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.16×
Total profit
$196,309
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98021

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,557 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $212/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$537
Net cashflow
$1,612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $517
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,651 -5% $1,631 +0% $1,612 +5% $1,592 +10% $1,572
Rent -10% $1,410 -5% $1,511 +0% $1,612 +5% $1,712 +10% $1,813
Rate -1.0pp $1,646 -0.5pp $1,629 base $1,612 +0.5pp $1,594 +1.0pp $1,575

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18930 68th Ave NE Kenmore, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 799 $2,497 $3.13 0d 7 1.22mi
4208 236th St SW Mountlake Terrace, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 926 $2,338 $2.52 0d 28 1.42mi
6711 NE 182nd St Kenmore, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,587 $2.88 0d 9 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    price $69,000 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,950 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,950 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-04-21
    listed $79,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$212 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$676 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$464/yr (+$39/mo · 218.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,681
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$212
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,454
− Management
−$2,454
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$19,342
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,642
After-tax cash flow
$14,696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northshore School District
NCES district ID
5305910
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$92,951
Composite
67.41/100
National rank
#826
State rank
#9 of 291 in WA

Livability — Bothell West

Score
91/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#63

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bothell West, WA
County
Snohomish County · 786,756 people
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
35,631
Household income
$183,786
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
413.0

Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
899,800 people
By 2030
960,975 · +6.8%
By 2040
1,074,447 · +19.4%
By 2050
1,171,954 · +30.2%
By 2075
1,384,849 · +53.9%
By 2100
1,497,296 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Asian 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
29% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
65% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Chinese 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish

2024 margin
D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -903.22%
Current HPI
380.5475
Rent YoY
▲ 1.75%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $79,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $212 · +82.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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