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195 Kenwick Dr
C Composite 58.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

195 Kenwick Dr · Rochester Institute of Technology, NY 14623
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,368 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1967 9,600 sqft lot Est $239k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!

Key facts

  • Tile flooring
  • Ample cabinet space
  • 9,600 sq ft lot

Tags

MULTIPLE LIVING SPACESREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSWOOD BURNING FIREPLACELUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGTILE FLOORINGAMPLE CABINET SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.8% in Rochester Institute of Technology — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Rush-Henrietta Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #237 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Ethel K Fyle Elementary School (math 74% / reading 64%, grade A-, #447 of 2,108 statewide, top 24%, 424 students, 55% FRL); Henry V Burger Junior High School (math 48% / reading 56%, grade C+, #241 of 729 statewide, top 35%, 691 students, 43% FRL); Rush-Henrietta Senior High School (math 97% / reading 72%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 1,300 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 48 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,482/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1161% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $147k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $220,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.90%
Cash-on-cash
5.74%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,400
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
195 Kenwick Dr 0.00mi 4/1.5 1,368 (0%) 0mo $262,000 $192 100
15 Green Ivy Cir 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,368 (0%) 20mo $225,000 $164 74
38 Friel Rd 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,270 (-7%) 9mo $268,000 $211 57
38 Campus Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (-4%) 6mo $290,000 $220 51
12 Vollmer Pkwy 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,414 (+3%) 22mo $205,000 $145 51
47 Academy Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (+4%) 4mo $250,000 $175 49
38 Notre Dame Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,253 (-8%) 2mo $275,000 $219 47
23 Notre Dame Dr 0.67mi 4/1.5 1,253 (-8%) 21mo $217,500 $174 37
148 Vollmer Pkwy 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,213 (-11%) 17mo $300,000 $247 28
135 Vollmer Pkwy 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,213 (-11%) 22mo $180,000 $148 26
10 Palo Alto Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (-10%) 22mo $212,000 $173 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-8,896
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$51,328
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14623

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,482 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$421 /mo · $5,051/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,109
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $419 -5% $357 +0% $294 +5% $232 +10% $170
Rent -10% $98 -5% $196 +0% $294 +5% $392 +10% $490
Rate -1.0pp $405 -0.5pp $350 base $294 +0.5pp $237 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6 Loden Ln Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0–1.5 867 $2,135 $2.46 4d 10 0.13mi
58 Campus Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1253 $2,200 $1.76 45d 1 0.70mi
212 Vollmer Pkwy Rochester, NY 4.0 3.5 1563 $2,500 $1.60 45d 1 0.94mi
340 Bennington Hills Ct West Henrietta, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 970 $2,007 $2.07 4d 5 1.39mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-18
    listed $220,000 Active
  3. 2019-11-12
    soldstatus $146,900
  4. 2019-11-08
    soldstatus $146,900 Closed Sale or Rented 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!

  5. 2019-09-20
    status Pending Sale 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!

  6. 2019-09-11
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!

  7. 2019-08-21
    listed $144,900 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!

  8. 2005-05-10
    soldstatus $89,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,051 · $421/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,051 · $421/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,782
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$5,051
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,383
− Management
−$2,383
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable income
$143
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$34
After-tax cash flow
$3,499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rush-Henrietta Central School District
NCES district ID
3625170
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$58,682
Composite
51.52/100
National rank
#1720
State rank
#237 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester Institute of Technology

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,032
Household income
$65,342
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
1161.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Asian 15% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.68%
Current HPI
262.8187
Rent YoY
▲ 6.06%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+147.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $220,000 UNYREIS
  • 2019-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $146,900 Public Records
  • 2019-11-08 Sold (MLS) $146,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-09-20 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2019-09-11 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2019-08-21 Listed $144,900 UNYREIS
  • 2005-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,051 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…