195 Kenwick Dr · Rochester Institute of Technology, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!
Key facts
- Tile flooring
- Ample cabinet space
- 9,600 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.8% in Rochester Institute of Technology — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Rush-Henrietta Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #237 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ethel K Fyle Elementary School (math 74% / reading 64%, grade A-, #447 of 2,108 statewide, top 24%, 424 students, 55% FRL); Henry V Burger Junior High School (math 48% / reading 56%, grade C+, #241 of 729 statewide, top 35%, 691 students, 43% FRL); Rush-Henrietta Senior High School (math 97% / reading 72%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 1,300 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 48 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,482/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1161% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $147k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.74%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,400
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 Kenwick Dr | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 | 1,368 (0%) | 0mo | $262,000 | $192 | 100 |
| 15 Green Ivy Cir | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,368 (0%) | 20mo | $225,000 | $164 | 74 |
| 38 Friel Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,270 (-7%) | 9mo | $268,000 | $211 | 57 |
| 38 Campus Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (-4%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $220 | 51 |
| 12 Vollmer Pkwy | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,414 (+3%) | 22mo | $205,000 | $145 | 51 |
| 47 Academy Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (+4%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $175 | 49 |
| 38 Notre Dame Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,253 (-8%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $219 | 47 |
| 23 Notre Dame Dr | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 | 1,253 (-8%) | 21mo | $217,500 | $174 | 37 |
| 148 Vollmer Pkwy | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,213 (-11%) | 17mo | $300,000 | $247 | 28 |
| 135 Vollmer Pkwy | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,213 (-11%) | 22mo | $180,000 | $148 | 26 |
| 10 Palo Alto Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-10%) | 22mo | $212,000 | $173 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-8,896
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $51,328
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14623
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,482 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$421 /mo · $5,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $357 | +0% $294 | +5% $232 | +10% $170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $98 | -5% $196 | +0% $294 | +5% $392 | +10% $490 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $405 | -0.5pp $350 | base $294 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Loden Ln Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 867 | $2,135 | $2.46 | 4d | 10 | 0.13mi |
| 58 Campus Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1253 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 212 Vollmer Pkwy Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1563 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 340 Bennington Hills Ct West Henrietta, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $2,007 | $2.07 | 4d | 5 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-03-18$220,000 Active
-
2019-11-12soldstatus $146,900
-
2019-11-08soldstatus $146,900 Closed Sale or Rented 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!
-
2019-09-20status Pending Sale 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!
-
2019-09-11historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!
-
2019-08-21$144,900 Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
Sparkling Raised Ranch. .. All New Paint and Carpet(8/2019) through out the whole home with loads of updates! Newer Roof 2013, Newer Vinyl Replacement Windows, New Furnace 2017, New Hot Water Tank, 2017, Updated Kitchen w/ Newer Appliances 2016, Beautifully Updated Master Bath and Powder Room, Freshly Sealed Drive way. .. WOW absolutely MOVE-IN Ready!!!!
-
2005-05-10soldstatus $89,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,051 · $421/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,051 · $421/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,782
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$5,051
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,383
- − Management
- −$2,383
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable income
- $143
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rush-Henrietta Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3625170
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,682
- Composite
- 51.52/100
- National rank
- #1720
- State rank
- #237 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester Institute of Technology
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,032
- Household income
- $65,342
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1161.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Asian 15% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.68%
- Current HPI
- 262.8187
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+147.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $220,000 UNYREIS
- 2019-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $146,900 Public Records
- 2019-11-08 Sold (MLS) $146,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-09-20 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2019-09-11 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2019-08-21 Listed $144,900 UNYREIS
- 2005-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,051 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…