7-9 Vose St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fully Updated, Fully Vacant, and Ready to Cash Flow From Day One. This turnkey up-and-down duplex is the opportunity investors and owner-occupants have been waiting for. Both units have been thoughtfully refreshed and are move-in ready, giving you the rare ability to start generating income immediately without lifting a finger. Each spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom unit showcases fresh paint throughout, brand-new carpet and vinyl flooring, oversized living rooms, formal dining rooms, and modern kitchens equipped with private in-unit laundry hookups. The updated bathrooms round out a clean, polished package that tenants will love. Fair market rent of $1,400 per month per unit offering a GOI of
Key facts
- Turnkey duplex
- Glass block windows
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,926/mo this rent would consume 109% of the median local household income ($21k/yr) (locally 1108% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.59%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,452
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 763-765 Avenue D | 0.51mi | 6/2.0 | 2,133 (-6%) | 5mo | $36,667 | $17 | 62 |
| 435 Bernard St | 0.52mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,086 (-8%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 931 Avenue D Ave | 0.57mi | 6/2.0 | 2,016 (-11%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $20 | 52 |
| 54 Dayton St | 0.59mi | 6/2.5 | 2,288 (+1%) | 22mo | $140,000 | $61 | 50 |
| 1226 Clifford Ave | 0.66mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,213 (-2%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $34 | 48 |
| 472-474 Avenue D | 0.67mi | 6/2.0 | 2,496 (+10%) | 16mo | $98,500 | $39 | 39 |
| 94 Warsaw St | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,150 (-5%) | 24mo | $95,000 | $44 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $43,244
- Equity at exit
- $41,511
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $113,936
- Equity at exit
- $54,304
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14605
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,926 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $658
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $745 | -5% $702 | +0% $658 | +5% $615 | +10% $572 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $506 | -5% $582 | +0% $658 | +5% $735 | +10% $811 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $721 | -0.5pp $690 | base $658 | +0.5pp $626 | +1.0pp $593 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-22$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,113
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,874
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,849
- − Management
- −$1,849
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $6,287
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,509
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,783
- Household income
- $21,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1108.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 11% White 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 29% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.83%
- Current HPI
- 207.359
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $167 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…