424 W 46th St Unit 1D · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$384,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this intelligently designed first-floor studio located on a charming tree-lined block in the heart of Hell’s Kitchen. What sets this apartment apart is its thoughtfully configured layout, featuring a custom elevated sleeping platform positioned above the dining area - creating a clear separation between living, dining, and sleeping spaces rarely found in studios at this price point. The main level offers a comfortable living area, a true dining space beneath the platform, and an updated kitchen with stainless steel appliances, including a dishwasher, along with a dine-in granite countertop. Hardwood floors run throughout, complemented by high ceilings with recessed lighting
Key facts
- Built 1910
- Listed 54 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No designated parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative; Entry level: 1; Five-story building
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Built-in features; Basement (see remarks); Bicycle room; Walk-up building; Pets allowed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $384k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $977 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $384k).
- Recommended offer: $372k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,596/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) (locally 3765% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.91%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $22,508
- Equity at exit
- $74,675
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $140,095
- Equity at exit
- $63,908
Cash invested: $107,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10036
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 181
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,596 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,014
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$480 /mo · $5,760/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$965
- Net cashflow
- $977
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,243 | -5% $1,110 | +0% $977 | +5% $845 | +10% $712 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $614 | -5% $796 | +0% $977 | +5% $1,159 | +10% $1,340 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,171 | -0.5pp $1,075 | base $977 | +0.5pp $878 | +1.0pp $777 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,000
- Closing costs
- $11,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 W 73rd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 660 | $6,430 | $9.73 | 26d | 4 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $384,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $384,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $384,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $384,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $384,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $384,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $384,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $384,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $384,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $384,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $384,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $384,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $384,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$389,000 Active
-
2021-10-06price $390,000
-
2021-08-01status Active
-
2021-08-01price $410,000
-
2020-08-28$420,000
-
2020-08-28$420,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,510
- − Property taxes
- −$5,760
- − Insurance
- −$1,920
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,412
- − Management
- −$4,412
- − Depreciation
- −$11,171
- Taxable income
- $5,970
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,433
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,036
- Household income
- $95,638
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3765.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 15% Two or more races 15% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.00%
- Current HPI
- 250.4308
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.29%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-7.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $389,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-06 Price Changed $390,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2021-08-01 Relisted — RLS at REBNY
- 2021-08-01 Price Changed $410,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2020-08-28 Listed $420,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2020-08-28 Listed $420,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…