424 W 46th St Unit 1D · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- Schools +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
$379,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this intelligently designed first-floor studio located on a charming tree-lined block in the heart of Hell’s Kitchen. What sets this apartment apart is its thoughtfully configured layout, featuring a custom elevated sleeping platform positioned above the dining area - creating a clear separation between living, dining, and sleeping spaces rarely found in studios at this price point. The main level offers a comfortable living area, a true dining space beneath the platform, and an updated kitchen with stainless steel appliances, including a dishwasher, along with a dine-in granite countertop.
Key facts
- Built 1910
- Listed 99 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $379k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $379k).
- Recommended offer: $345k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.7% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,601/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.49%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $592,826
- List price
- $379,000
- Delta
- -36.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450 W 55th St Unit 3FW | 0.45mi | 1/1.0 | 450 (-5%) | 14mo | $215,750 | $479 | 58 |
| 115-117 E 66th St | 1.45mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (+5%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $510 | 50 |
| 330 W 28th St Unit 20G | 0.89mi | 1/1.0 | 473 (-0%) | 32mo | $185,000 | $391 | 44 |
| 349 E 49th St Unit 2k | 1.38mi | 1/1.0 | 540 (+14%) | 0mo | $450,000 | $833 | 42 |
| 344 W 37th St Unit 17FF | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (+18%) | 15mo | $608,000 | $1,086 | 41 |
| 210 E36th St Unit 5f | 1.30mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (+5%) | 21mo | $710,000 | $1,420 | 39 |
| 46 E 65th St Unit 4 | 1.32mi | 1/1.0 | 521 (+10%) | 14mo | $508,000 | $975 | 37 |
| 251 E 32 Unit 2-D | 1.45mi | 1/1.0 | 550 (+16%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $636 | 37 |
| 136 E 36th St Unit 9F | 1.20mi | 1/1.0 | 577 (+22%) | 22mo | $475,500 | $824 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $25,565
- Equity at exit
- $73,702
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $145,754
- Equity at exit
- $63,076
Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 23 active · 2 under contract
- Median asking
- $775,000 ($1398/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 118 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -10.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 10036
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,601 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,988
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$474 /mo · $5,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$966
- Net cashflow
- $1,016
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,278 | -5% $1,147 | +0% $1,016 | +5% $885 | +10% $754 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $652 | -5% $834 | +0% $1,016 | +5% $1,198 | +10% $1,379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,207 | -0.5pp $1,112 | base $1,016 | +0.5pp $918 | +1.0pp $818 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,750
- Closing costs
- $11,370
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 W 73rd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 660 | $6,430 | $9.73 | 73d | 4 | 1.38mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- No carportNo designated parking
- Utilities
- Public sewerElectricity connectedNatural gas connectedSewer connectedWater connected
- Home design
- Stock cooperativeEntry level: 1Five total stories
- Construction
- Brick construction
- Exterior features
- Brick constructionNot waterfrontBicycle roomWalk-up building
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGas ovenRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring
- Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingWall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features
- First-floor bedroomFirst-floor full bathroomBuilt-in featuresBasement (see remarks)Three total roomsPets allowed
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry roomLaundry in basement
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-06days on market $379,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $379,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $379,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $379,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $379,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $379,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $379,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $379,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $379,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $379,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $379,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $379,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $379,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $379,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $379,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $379,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $379,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $379,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $379,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $379,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $379,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $379,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $379,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $379,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $379,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $379,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $379,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $379,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $379,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $379,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $379,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $379,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-26pricedays on market $379,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $384,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $384,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $384,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $384,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $384,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $384,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $384,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $384,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $384,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $384,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $384,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $384,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $384,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $384,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $384,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$389,000 Active
-
2021-10-06price $390,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,230
- − Property taxes
- −$5,685
- − Insurance
- −$1,895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,417
- − Management
- −$4,417
- − Depreciation
- −$11,025
- Taxable income
- $6,546
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This studio apartment is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It offers a unique layout and is ready for a new owner.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,825,725 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,036
- Household income
- $95,638
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 15% Two or more races 15% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.00%
- Current HPI
- 250.4308
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.29%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-9.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-24 Price Changed $379,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $384,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $389,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-06 Price Changed $390,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2021-08-01 Relisted — RLS at REBNY
- 2021-08-01 Price Changed $410,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2020-08-28 Listed $420,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2020-08-28 Listed $420,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…