354 Colorado St · Craig, CO
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.09%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2 bedroom, 1 bath home on large lot. Features a sun room and mud room.
Key facts
- Large sunroom
- Land included
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Victory Addition subdivision; Directions: South on Colorado Street
Exterior
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Lot approximately 0.17 acres
- Exterior features: Membrane roof; Not new construction
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present
- Interior features: Average condition; HUD model
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.2% in Craig — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#160 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime D.
- Moffat County School District Re: No. 1 (town): math 22% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #53 of 86 in CO (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Moffat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Moffat County population projected at -41% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $105k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.01%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,742
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $25,724
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81625
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,291 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-09status $105,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$105,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥88°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,239
- − Management
- −$1,239
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,976
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$474
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,056/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moffat County School District Re: No. 1
- NCES district ID
- 0805730
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,633
- Composite
- 25.07/100
- National rank
- #7539
- State rank
- #53 of 86 in CO
Livability — Craig
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #12817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Craig, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,242
Population outlook (Moffat County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,901 people
- By 2030
- 9,922 · -9.0%
- By 2040
- 8,081 · -25.9%
- By 2050
- 6,460 · -40.7%
- By 2075
- 3,896 · -64.3%
- By 2100
- 2,620 · -76.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Moffat
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 17.5% · R 80.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+63.6 2016: R+67.9 2012: R+55.0 2008: R+43.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.11%
- Current HPI
- 284.444
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+110.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $105,000 AGMLS
- 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) $59,000 AGMLS
- 2007-03-07 Sold (MLS) $55,000 AGMLS
- 2004-11-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 AGMLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2021): $45 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…