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354 Colorado St
C+ Composite 61.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

354 Colorado St · Craig, CO 81625
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,137 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1972 7,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 2 bedroom, 1 bath home on large lot. Features a sun room and mud room.

Key facts

  • Large sunroom
  • Land included
  • Storage shed

Tags

LAND INCLUDEDLARGE SUNROOMFENCED LOTSTORAGE SHEDOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Victory Addition subdivision; Directions: South on Colorado Street

Exterior

  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Lot approximately 0.17 acres
  • Exterior features: Membrane roof; Not new construction

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present
  • Interior features: Average condition; HUD model

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.2% in Craig — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#160 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime D.
  • Moffat County School District Re: No. 1 (town): math 22% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #53 of 86 in CO (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Moffat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Moffat County population projected at -41% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $105k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.01%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,742
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$25,724
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81625

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,291 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $105,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-03
    listed $105,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥88°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,491
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,239
− Management
−$1,239
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$474
After-tax cash flow
$3,056/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moffat County School District Re: No. 1
NCES district ID
0805730
Math proficiency
22% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,633
Composite
25.07/100
National rank
#7539
State rank
#53 of 86 in CO

Livability — Craig

Score
65/100
State rank
#160
US rank
#12817

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Craig, CO
Population (ZIP)
12,242

Population outlook (Moffat County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,901 people
By 2030
9,922 · -9.0%
By 2040
8,081 · -25.9%
By 2050
6,460 · -40.7%
By 2075
3,896 · -64.3%
By 2100
2,620 · -76.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Moffat

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 17.5% · R 80.3% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-19.4pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+63.6 2016: R+67.9 2012: R+55.0 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.11%
Current HPI
284.444
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+110.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $105,000 AGMLS
  • 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) $59,000 AGMLS
  • 2007-03-07 Sold (MLS) $55,000 AGMLS
  • 2004-11-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 AGMLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2021): $45 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…