1347 Kenton St · Bowling Green, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property or home! Close to everything in town and WKU! Well maintained home with fenced in backyard and new roof.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Renovated rooms
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal and shingle roof
- Exterior features: Garden; Covered porch/patio; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range / Oven; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($838/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (21.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.2% in Bowling Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#255 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bowling Green Independent (urban): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #44 of 165 in KY (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: T C Cherry Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #525 of 676 statewide, top 82%, 428 students, 84% FRL); Bowling Green Junior High (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #51 of 217 statewide, top 24%, 963 students, 65% FRL); Bowling Green High School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #51 of 254 statewide, top 21%, 1,294 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 53% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 591 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,286 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (1,410 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $112k; list at $180k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.66%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,372
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1035 E 13th Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,099 (-3%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $155 | 80 |
| 304 E 12th Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,155 (+2%) | 3mo | $123,333 | $107 | 66 |
| 1303 Smallhouse Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-10%) | 5mo | $128,750 | $126 | 59 |
| 310 E 12th Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (-6%) | 3mo | $123,333 | $115 | 59 |
| 1700 Kirby Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (+5%) | 7mo | $187,000 | $156 | 58 |
| 716 Josephine St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-4%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $170 | 53 |
| 1438 Clayton Ct | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (+13%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $148 | 51 |
| 1123 Jones Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,284 (+13%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $164 | 50 |
| 1105 Jones Dr | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 978 (-14%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $210 | 48 |
| 953 Magnolia St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,265 (+11%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $194 | 47 |
| 1713 Glendale Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,023 (-10%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $156 | 46 |
| 1249 Oliver St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-14%) | 9mo | $207,000 | $211 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-28,580
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-34,236
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42101
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 591
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,418 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $380/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $70
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1307 Magnolia St Bowling Green, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1530 Kenton St Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1117 Greenwood Aly Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 13d | 2 | 0.28mi |
| 1453 Park St Unit A Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,125 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1207 Smallhouse Rd Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1202 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1525 Park St Bowling Green, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1607 U.S. 31 West Byp Unit 1720-A03 Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1424 Neal St Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $995 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1706 Kirby Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $1,350 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1233 Henry Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 516 Regents Ave Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,500 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 864 Fairview Ave Unit D03 Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,525 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 604 Eastwood St Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,075 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1700 Johnson Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 400 Gayle Way Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,250 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1044 Fair St Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 983 | $925 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1059 Fair St Unit 1 Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $800 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1733 Holly Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,210 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1625 Catherine Dr Unit A Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1712 McGregor Ct Unit D Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $825 | $0.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1618 McIntosh St Unit C Bowling Green, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $825 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-06$179,900 Active
-
2019-11-13soldstatus $112,000
-
2019-11-07soldstatus $112,000 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Great investment property or home! Close to everything in town and WKU! Well maintained home with fenced in backyard and new roof.
-
2019-07-18$112,000 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Great investment property or home! Close to everything in town and WKU! Well maintained home with fenced in backyard and new roof.
-
2018-04-13soldstatus $100,000 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 2 bath home close to restaurants and campus. Perfect first time home or investment property.
-
2018-04-13soldstatus $100,000
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 2 bath home close to restaurants and campus. Perfect first time home or investment property.
-
2018-02-20$114,900 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 2 bath home close to restaurants and campus. Perfect first time home or investment property.
-
2017-07-28soldstatus $90,000
-
2017-07-28soldstatus $90,000
-
2017-07-17$99,500
-
2016-08-12soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $380 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,547 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,167/yr (+$97/mo · 306.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,011
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$380
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,361
- − Management
- −$1,361
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,302
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$552
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,390/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bowling Green Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2100570
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,181
- Composite
- 31.86/100
- National rank
- #5870
- State rank
- #44 of 165 in KY
Livability — Bowling Green
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #12782
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowling Green, KY
- County
- Warren County · 129,408 people
- City population
- 129,408
- Metro
- Bowling Green, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,421
- Household income
- $48,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3855.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,620 people
- By 2030
- 155,977 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 179,381 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 203,713 · +40.9%
- By 2075
- 267,291 · +84.8%
- By 2100
- 314,019 · +117.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% American 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.3) · D 37.0% · R 61.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -24.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.3 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.34%
- Current HPI
- 277.6554
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.28%
- Metro
- Bowling Green, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+227.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $179,900 RASKMLS
- 2019-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-07 Sold (MLS) $112,000 RASKMLS
- 2019-07-18 Listed $112,000 RASKMLS
- 2018-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-13 Sold (MLS) $100,000 RASKMLS
- 2018-02-20 Listed $114,900 RASKMLS
- 2017-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-28 Sold (MLS) $90,000 RASKMLS
- 2017-07-17 Listed $99,500 RASKMLS
- 2016-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $380 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…