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75 L G Collins Rd
B+ Composite 75.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0

$68,000

75 L G Collins Rd · Buckatunna, MS 39362
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,551 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1976 1.00 ac lot ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Country living and only 10 min from the county seat in Waynsboro. Approx 1 acre, house, shed, workshop, 2 car garage. Call your favorite Realtor today for your private showing.

Key facts

  • Country living
  • Shed
  • Workshop

Tags

COUNTRY LIVINGWORKSHOPSHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 43/100 on livability (#354 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Wayne County School District (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #79 of 130 in MS (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,920 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
13.54%
Cash-on-cash
25.87%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.1%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$55,516
Equity at exit
$53,058
10-year hold
IRR
36.5%
Equity multiple
8.45×
Total profit
$141,821
Equity at exit
$106,679

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39362

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,596/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-08
    price $68,000
  3. 2026-04-03
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-10
    status Pending
  5. 2026-02-12
    price $80,000
  6. 2026-01-06
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,596 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,596 · $133/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,103
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,596
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,128
− Management
−$1,128
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$4,123
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$990
After-tax cash flow
$3,936/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne County School District
NCES district ID
2804530
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$32,885
Composite
21.65/100
National rank
#8283
State rank
#79 of 130 in MS

Livability — Buckatunna

Score
43/100
State rank
#354
US rank
#26893

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,822

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,737 people
By 2030
19,116 · -3.1%
By 2040
17,754 · -10.0%
By 2050
16,267 · -17.6%
By 2075
12,858 · -34.9%
By 2100
10,121 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 36% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Languages at home
100% English-only · Spanish 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.2% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.8pp · 2024: -32.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.7 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+25.8 2012: R+19.1 2008: R+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.30%
Current HPI
123.4933
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-32.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $68,000 MLSU
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-03-10 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $80,000 MLSU
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $100,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+28.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,596 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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