75 L G Collins Rd · Buckatunna, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Country living and only 10 min from the county seat in Waynsboro. Approx 1 acre, house, shed, workshop, 2 car garage. Call your favorite Realtor today for your private showing.
Key facts
- Country living
- Shed
- Workshop
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 43/100 on livability (#354 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Wayne County School District (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #79 of 130 in MS (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.87%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $55,516
- Equity at exit
- $53,058
- IRR
- 36.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.45×
- Total profit
- $141,821
- Equity at exit
- $106,679
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39362
- Home prices YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,596/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-08price $68,000
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-10status Pending
-
2026-02-12price $80,000
-
2026-01-06$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,596 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,596 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,103
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,596
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,128
- − Management
- −$1,128
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $4,123
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$990
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,936/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804530
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,885
- Composite
- 21.65/100
- National rank
- #8283
- State rank
- #79 of 130 in MS
Livability — Buckatunna
- Score
- 43/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #26893
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,822
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,737 people
- By 2030
- 19,116 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 17,754 · -10.0%
- By 2050
- 16,267 · -17.6%
- By 2075
- 12,858 · -34.9%
- By 2100
- 10,121 · -48.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 36% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Languages at home
- 100% English-only · Spanish 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.2% · R 65.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.8pp · 2024: -32.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.7 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+25.8 2012: R+19.1 2008: R+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.30%
- Current HPI
- 123.4933
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-32.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $68,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-03-10 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $80,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-06 Listed $100,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+28.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,596 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…