7842 Linda Vista Rd · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1-story 2-bed 1-bath home in Settegast May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 35995781, 32399181, 10308495, 85075144
Key facts
- 7,801 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,608/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.24%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,232
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -18.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7901 Richland Dr | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 1,108 (-7%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $104 | 77 |
| 8225 Carolwood Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+1%) | 5mo | $179,000 | $149 | 63 |
| 7930 Carolwood Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,366 (+14%) | 3mo | $99,900 | $73 | 57 |
| 7622 Delavan Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-6%) | 6mo | $132,000 | $118 | 56 |
| 8125 Darlington Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+0%) | 14mo | $199,900 | $167 | 54 |
| 7534 Bywood St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,107 (-7%) | 10mo | $179,000 | $162 | 54 |
| 8117 Snowden St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,201 (+0%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $167 | 53 |
| 8402 Flintridge Dr | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,287 (+8%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $77 | 52 |
| 7429 Springdale St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (+3%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $154 | 50 |
| 7625 Delavan Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-9%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 7410 Glen Manor Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,140 (-5%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $197 | 47 |
| 7551 Fawnridge Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,326 (+11%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $132 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $52,851
- Equity at exit
- $58,163
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $122,627
- Equity at exit
- $101,639
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77028
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 353
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,608 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,220/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $519
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $575 | -5% $547 | +0% $519 | +5% $491 | +10% $462 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $392 | -5% $455 | +0% $519 | +5% $582 | +10% $646 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $569 | -0.5pp $544 | base $519 | +0.5pp $493 | +1.0pp $467 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7914 Laura Koppe Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 7804 Crestview Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7601 Springdale St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 8006 Lynette St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,475 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 8113 Denton St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8213 Linda Vista Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,625 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8216 Richland Dr Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8015 Elbert St Unit A Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,650 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7418 Bywood St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8309 Carolwood Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9550 N Wayside Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $1,199 | $1.34 | 1d | 5 | 0.77mi |
| 7973 Ritz St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $2,250 | $2.09 | 8d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9410 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7119 Bywood St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,233 | $1.21 | 14d | 8 | 1.05mi |
| 7830 Nashville St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 8d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8346 Tidwell Rd Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,000 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8350 Tidwell Rd Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $975 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7945 Henson St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,699 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7947 Henson St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,349 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9222 Hillis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8602 Wilkins Oaks Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,775 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8122 Sterlingshire St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,525 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8122 Sterlingshire St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,450 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8126 Sterlingshire St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8623 Homewood Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8623 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 235 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $740 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 222 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $700 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8625 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8627 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8631 Homewood Ln Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8631 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8158 Sunbury St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8213 Bigwood St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8711 Southwark St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8117 Saint Louis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,335 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8119 Saint Louis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,349 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8302 Caddo Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,450 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-04-01soldstatus
-
2025-11-15$100,000 Active 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
1-story 2-bed 1-bath home in Settegast May be sold with others, Ask about other homes in The White Portfolio. with MLS# 35995781, 32399181, 10308495, 85075144
-
2025-04-11soldstatus
-
1988-07-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,220 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,220 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,291
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,220
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,543
- − Management
- −$1,543
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,973
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,033/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,109
- Household income
- $38,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1177.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 15% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 38%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Current HPI
- 267.7798
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.55%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-11-15 Listed $100,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-07-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,220 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…