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18434 Vaughan St
B+ Composite 76.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

18434 Vaughan St · Detroit, MI 48219
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1940 4,356 sqft lot $44/sqft · 47% below area Est $59k · 49% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 18434 Vaughan in Detroit! This solid single-family ranch home, built in 1940, offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and approximately 700 square feet of living space. The home also features a full 700 square foot unfinished basement, providing plenty of storage or future finishing potential, along with a long driveway for convenient parking. Inside, you’ll find a spacious kitchen complete with appliances and a comfortable living room perfect for relaxing or entertaining guests. The property is fully enclosed with chain-link fencing, offering added privacy and security. A great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking for a light rehab project with strong potential. Con

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Long driveway

Tags

UNFINISHED BASEMENTLONG DRIVEWAYCHAIN-LINK FENCINGSPACIOUS KITCHENCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: $730 annual tax

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Block construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot about 0.1 acre (approx. 43.46 x 100)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $29,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.48%
Cap rate
30.74%
Cash-on-cash
87.33%
DSCR
4.89
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$58,598
List price
$30,000
Delta
-48.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17743 Trinity St 0.56mi 2/1.0 662 (-3%) 3mo $85,000 $128 68
18691 Shaftsbury Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 692 (+2%) 13mo $46,000 $66 64
18723 Warwick St 0.54mi 2/1.0 700 (+3%) 8mo $54,500 $78 64
18274 Stout St 0.18mi 2/1.0 748 (+10%) 17mo $68,000 $91 61
17370 Stout St 0.48mi 2/1.0 745 (+10%) 2mo $37,000 $50 60
19352 Evergreen Rd 0.52mi 2/1.0 752 (+11%) 2mo $75,000 $100 57
18411 Grandville Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 748 (+10%) 14mo $60,000 $80 55
19401 Stout St 0.60mi 2/1.0 750 (+10%) 2mo $28,000 $37 53
18291 Warwick St 0.50mi 2/1.0 723 (+6%) 17mo $108,000 $149 52
18659 Shaftsbury Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 763 (+12%) 10mo $70,000 $92 45
18538 Trinity St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 780 (+15%) 2mo $46,500 $60 45
17190-82 Kentfield St 0.60mi 2/1.0 770 (+13%) 19mo $42,800 $56 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
93.5%
Equity multiple
5.71×
Total profit
$39,605
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
97.4%
Equity multiple
14.07×
Total profit
$109,799
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,044 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $520/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$611

Break-even live

Break-even rent $270
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 17d 1 0.25mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,050 $1.43 15d 1 0.67mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 24d 1 0.79mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $838 $1.20 24d 2 0.87mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 2 0.87mi
17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 44d 1 0.87mi
17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 17d 1 0.88mi
18400 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 620 $950 $1.53 24d 1 0.96mi
18350 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 44d 1 0.96mi
18450 Lahser Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $820 $1.26 5d 1 0.97mi
17644 Lahser Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $995 $1.66 24d 1 1.01mi
18045 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 670 $960 $1.43 5d 2 1.04mi
16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 15d 1 1.11mi
16854 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 680 $885 $1.30 12d 1 1.21mi
16885 Lahser Rd Unit 1A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 5d 1 1.22mi
16885 Lahser Rd Apt 3A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 44d 1 1.22mi
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 44d 1 1.25mi
20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 24d 1 1.27mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 44d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $30,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $30,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    price $30,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-11
    listed $35,000 Active 804-char remark
  14. 2026-05-11
    listed $35,000 Active 798-char remark
  15. 2026-03-31
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-31
    historical
  17. 2026-03-31
    historical
  18. 2026-03-31
    historical
  19. 2026-03-23
    listed $35,000 Active
  20. 2026-03-23
    listed $35,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$520 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$520 · $43/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,522
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$520
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,002
− Management
−$1,002
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$7,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,751
After-tax cash flow
$5,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $520 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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