1010 Sherman Ave Unit 3-D · New York, NY 10456

$199,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 650 sqft · Condo · 44 Days on market

Built 1958 $790/mo HOA · 37% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +9.3/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.8/10.0
• Cash flow +5.0/30.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Motivated Seller. Be among the first to see this spacious third floor one bedroom apartment with Northern, Southern and Eastern exposures for you, your plants and your four-legged family members.  There is no shortage of closets: one lines an entire wall in the king-sized plus bedroom, two utility closets (at the entrance to the windowed bathroom) can double as a pantry or linen closet and  a double-wide coat closet for winter coats and much more.   The spacious adjoining living and dining room easily accommodates a cozy gathering of family and friends you feed from the offerings prepared in your windowed kitchen. This established coop is one of a handful of re

Key facts

• Windowed kitchen
• Windowed bathroom
• Elevator building

Tags

• THIRD FLOOR APARTMENT
• WINDOWED BATHROOM
• DOUBLE-WIDE COAT CLOSET
• WINDOWED KITCHEN
• A ENERGY EFFICIENCY RATING
• ELEVATOR BUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $790; Pets allowed in the building

Exterior

• Parking: Has garage
• Home design: Condominium/co-op unit (entry level 3); 6-story building; Elevator access
• Exterior features: Building storage; Exposures to the east, north and south

Interior

• Kitchen: Pantry; Kitchen window
• Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Kitchen window; Pantry; See remarks
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $199k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-470 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (34.2% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
• Recommended offer: $131k (34.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,146/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 11195% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (8.6% local appreciation)).
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $130,950 (34.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.08% ✓
• Cap rate: 3.46%
• Cash-on-cash: -10.13%
• DSCR: 0.55
• GRM: 7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.55% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 13.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.07×
• Total profit: $59,620
• Equity at exit: $158,715

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.53×
• Total profit: $196,814
• Equity at exit: $322,514

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10456

• Home prices YoY: 3.0%
• Active inventory: 52
• Price-to-rent: 7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,146 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,044
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$790
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$451
• Net cashflow: $-470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,741

Max offer price $130,950

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,750
• Closing costs: $5,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $790 · $9,480/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-08
   days on market $199,000 Active 44 DOM
2. 2026-06-04
   days on market $199,000 Active 41 DOM
3. 2026-06-03
   days on market $199,000 Active 40 DOM
4. 2026-06-01
   days on market $199,000 Active 38 DOM
5. 2026-05-31
   days on market $199,000 Active 37 DOM
6. 2026-05-06
   price $199,000
7. 2026-04-24
   listed $215,000 Active
8. 2019-09-05
   listed $175,000 Active
9. 2019-09-05
   listed $175,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,746
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,147
• − Property taxes: −$2,985
• − Insurance: −$995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,060
• − Management: −$2,060
• − HOA: −$9,480
• − Depreciation: −$5,789
• Taxable loss: −$8,769
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,105
• After-tax cash flow: $-3,539/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 87,533
• Household income: $34,954
• Rent vs Own: 93.1% rent · 6.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 11195.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 52% Black 41% Two or more races 14% White 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 26%
• Foreign-born: 30% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 44% English-only · Spanish 44% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 8.55%
• Current HPI: 293.766
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+13.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $199,000 RLS at REBNY
• 2026-04-24 Listed $215,000 RLS at REBNY
• 2019-09-05 Listed $175,000 RLS at REBNY
• 2019-09-05 Listed $175,000 RLS at REBNY