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1539 Mott Ave Duplex
C- Composite 51.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

1539 Mott Ave · Toledo, OH 43605
8 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1912 3,200 sqft lot Est $79k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.

Key facts

  • 3,200 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1912

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info: Property is a 2-unit residential income property with both units leased; Tenants pay electricity, gas, and water; Owner pays exterior maintenance and insurance
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage (1.5 spaces); Off-street parking; Additional garage(s) structure
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income duplex; Two-story; Two levels; Single building
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Block basement
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Split rail fencing; Corner lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms:
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Double pane windows; Block basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Gas dryer hookup; 150 Amp electrical service

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $644/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 37.8% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Garfield Elementary School (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,461 of 1,584 statewide, top 92%, 387 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,164/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 1257% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,265 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.42%
Cap rate
37.82%
Cash-on-cash
112.60%
DSCR
6.01
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,192
List price
$49,000
Delta
-38.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.79×
Total profit
$79,418
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.42×
Total profit
$197,828
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43605

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,164 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,738/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$1,287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $534
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 36%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 545-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $49,000 Active 545-char remark
  3. 2026-04-23
    historical $49,000 545-char remark
  4. 2025-12-19
    historical
  5. 2025-11-24
    price $69,000
  6. 2025-10-14
    price $67,000
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.

  7. 2025-10-14
    price $20,000
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.

  8. 2025-10-07
    listed $79,900 Active
  9. 2024-10-25
    historical
  10. 2024-09-26
    listed $79,900 Active
  11. 2024-09-25
    historical
  12. 2024-08-15
    listed $79,900 Active
  13. 2020-08-18
    soldstatus $20,000
  14. 2020-08-03
    soldstatus $20,000
  15. 2019-12-20
    listed $29,000
  16. 2005-06-30
    soldstatus $67,000
  17. 2005-06-28
    soldstatus $67,000
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.

  18. 2005-06-07
    listed $69,900
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.

  19. 2005-05-15
    historical
  20. 2004-11-15
    listed $69,900
  21. 1995-08-15
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,738 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,738 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,968
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$1,738
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,077
− Management
−$2,077
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$15,660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,758
After-tax cash flow
$11,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,441
Household income
$39,118
Rent vs Own
51.9% rent · 48.1% own
Severe rent burden
1257.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.85%
Current HPI
138.6894
Rent YoY
▲ 5.37%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+265.9% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Sold (MLS) $54,890 NORIS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $49,000 NORIS
  • 2026-04-23 Coming Soon $49,000 NORIS
  • 2025-12-19 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $69,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $67,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $20,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $79,900 NORIS
  • 2024-10-25 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2024-09-26 Listed $79,900 NORIS
  • 2024-09-25 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2024-08-15 Listed $79,900 NORIS
  • 2020-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-03 Sold (MLS) $20,000 NORIS
  • 2019-12-20 Listed $29,000 NORIS
  • 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-28 Sold (MLS) $67,000 NORIS
  • 2005-06-07 Listed $69,900 NORIS
  • 2005-05-15 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2004-11-15 Listed $69,900 NORIS
  • 1995-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,738 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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