Duplex
1539 Mott Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.
Key facts
- 3,200 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1912
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info: Property is a 2-unit residential income property with both units leased; Tenants pay electricity, gas, and water; Owner pays exterior maintenance and insurance
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage (1.5 spaces); Off-street parking; Additional garage(s) structure
- Security:
- Utilities: Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income duplex; Two-story; Two levels; Single building
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Block basement
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Split rail fencing; Corner lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms:
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms:
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Other interior features; Double pane windows; Block basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Gas dryer hookup; 150 Amp electrical service
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $644/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 37.8% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Garfield Elementary School (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,461 of 1,584 statewide, top 92%, 387 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,164/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 1257% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 112.60%
- DSCR
- 6.01
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,192
- List price
- $49,000
- Delta
- -38.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.79×
- Total profit
- $79,418
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.42×
- Total profit
- $197,828
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43605
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,164 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $1,287
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,164 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,082 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,082 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,164 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 545-char remark
-
2026-04-27$49,000 Active 545-char remark
-
2026-04-23historical $49,000 545-char remark
-
2025-12-19historical
-
2025-11-24price $69,000
-
2025-10-14price $67,000
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.
-
2025-10-14price $20,000
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.
-
2025-10-07$79,900 Active
-
2024-10-25historical
-
2024-09-26$79,900 Active
-
2024-09-25historical
-
2024-08-15$79,900 Active
-
2020-08-18soldstatus $20,000
-
2020-08-03soldstatus $20,000
-
2019-12-20$29,000
-
2005-06-30soldstatus $67,000
-
2005-06-28soldstatus $67,000
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.
-
2005-06-07$69,900
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Excellent Investment Opportunity! Well maintained duplex with great cash flow. Many updates. Seperate gas & electric. Each unit contains 2 beds 1 bath. Also has a garage & off street parking. Both units are rented and priced to sell.
-
2005-05-15historical
-
2004-11-15$69,900
-
1995-08-15soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$1,738
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,077
- − Management
- −$2,077
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $15,660
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,758
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,441
- Household income
- $39,118
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1257.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.85%
- Current HPI
- 138.6894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+265.9% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Sold (MLS) $54,890 NORIS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $49,000 NORIS
- 2026-04-23 Coming Soon $49,000 NORIS
- 2025-12-19 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $69,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $67,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $20,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $79,900 NORIS
- 2024-10-25 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2024-09-26 Listed $79,900 NORIS
- 2024-09-25 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2024-08-15 Listed $79,900 NORIS
- 2020-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-03 Sold (MLS) $20,000 NORIS
- 2019-12-20 Listed $29,000 NORIS
- 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-28 Sold (MLS) $67,000 NORIS
- 2005-06-07 Listed $69,900 NORIS
- 2005-05-15 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2004-11-15 Listed $69,900 NORIS
- 1995-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,738 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…