663 Second St · Quemado, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property for sale close to the elementary school and library. Located in a peaceful small town and offers lots of potential.
Key facts
- Close to library
- 6,499 sq ft lot
- Built 1994
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,508 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Eagle Pass ISD (town): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #774 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 461 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Maverick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maverick County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.04%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $24,335
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.64×
- Total profit
- $66,227
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78852
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Active inventory
- 461
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,322 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,556/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $547
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-10remarks 258-char remark
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2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-04-17price $65,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Property for sale close to the elementary school and library. Located in a peaceful small town and offers lots of potential.
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2026-04-01price $70,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Property for sale close to the elementary school and library. Located in a peaceful small town and offers lots of potential.
-
2026-01-21price $80,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Property for sale close to the elementary school and library. Located in a peaceful small town and offers lots of potential.
-
2026-01-03price $90,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Property for sale close to the elementary school and library. Located in a peaceful small town and offers lots of potential.
-
2025-12-18$100,000 Active 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Property for sale close to the elementary school and library. Located in a peaceful small town and offers lots of potential.
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2021-11-04soldstatus
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2019-02-08soldstatus
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2008-05-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,556 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,556 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,863
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,556
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,269
- − Management
- −$1,269
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,912
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,419
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eagle Pass ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817730
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -41.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,967
- Composite
- 17.48/100
- National rank
- #9057
- State rank
- #774 of 826 in TX
Livability — Quemado
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1508
- US rank
- #25790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Maverick County · 57,434 people
- Metro
- Eagle Pass, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,434
- Household income
- $49,954
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 822.0
Population outlook (Maverick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,919 people
- By 2030
- 65,440 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 70,229 · +11.6%
- By 2050
- 74,218 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 80,765 · +28.4%
- By 2100
- 76,268 · +21.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 53% White 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 11% English-only · Spanish 88%
Political lean MEDSL · Maverick
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.5) · D 40.5% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -75.5pp toward R · 2008: 57.0pp · 2024: -18.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.5 2020: D+9.4 2016: D+55.8 2012: D+58.0 2008: D+57.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.62%
- Current HPI
- 172.9298
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Eagle Pass, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-35.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $65,000 EPBOR
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $70,000 EPBOR
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $80,000 EPBOR
- 2026-01-03 Price Changed $90,000 EPBOR
- 2025-12-18 Listed $100,000 EPBOR
- 2021-11-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-02-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,556 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…