🏷️ Likely Rental
355 Aoloa St Unit E202 · Kailua, HI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hokulani in Kailua two bedroom, two bath, second floor's view is preservation land. Renovated kitchen with Laminate floors in both bedrooms and tile through out house, fresh paint. Pet friendly building. Close to Kailua Town, restaurants, shopping, and Kailua Beach.
Key facts
- Countertop seating
- Treetop views
- Fresh paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly lease payment approximately $681.71 (lease expires 2052-12-31)
- HOA & community: Association covers common areas, water, and sewer; On-site management; Maintenance fee approximately $700; Community amenities: barbecue, deck/porch, patio, playground
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned covered parking; Guest parking; On-street parking available; One parking space assigned
- Security: Key card entry
- Utilities: Water included in association; Sewer included in association
- Home design: One-story building; Entry on level 2; Leasehold property; Hokulani In Kailua
- Construction: Built in 2015 (effective); Double wall, masonry, and stucco construction
- Exterior features: Key card entry; Deck/porch; Patio; Barbecue area; Playground
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Excellent condition; Good condition; Has view
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-453 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (20.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $328k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $305k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 1.6% in Kailua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#2 in HI, #906 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kailua Elementary School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #113 of 183 statewide, top 63%, 309 students, 50% FRL); Kailua Intermediate School (math 34% / reading 70%, grade C+, #7 of 42 statewide, top 15%, 706 students, 31% FRL); Kalaheo High School (math 27% / reading 82%, grade C-, #6 of 43 statewide, top 14%, 856 students, 18% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($379k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.04%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $614,723
- List price
- $385,000
- Delta
- -28.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-82,237
- Equity at exit
- $57,405
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-69,926
- Equity at exit
- $33,288
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 37 Tenant-Leaning
- State Hawaii
- 37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96734
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,003/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$700
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$689
- Net cashflow
- $-453
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-235 | -5% $-344 | +0% $-453 | +5% $-562 | +10% $-671 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-712 | -5% $-583 | +0% $-453 | +5% $-323 | +10% $-194 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-259 | -0.5pp $-355 | base $-453 | +0.5pp $-553 | +1.0pp $-654 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355 Aoloa St Kailua, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 701 | $3,089 | $4.41 | 23d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 355 Aoloa St Unit C104 Kailua, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,800 | $4.76 | 12d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1015 Aoloa Pl #210 Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $3,350 | $3.49 | 46d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1015 Aoloa Pl Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $3,000 | $3.13 | 19d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1015 Aoloa Pl Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $3,300 | $3.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 322 Aoloa St Kailua, HI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $3,762 | $3.85 | 5d | 2 | 0.11mi |
| 308 Awakea Rd Kailua, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 777 | $3,200 | $4.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 14 Aulike St #404 Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 861 | $3,800 | $4.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 14 Aulike St #806 Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 868 | $3,700 | $4.26 | 12d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 45 Aulike St #301 Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $2,450 | $2.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 45 Aulike St #301 Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $2,450 | $2.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 104 Kihapai St Unit 602 Kailua, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,588 | $3.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 104 Kihapai St Unit 602 Kailua, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,629 | $3.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 711 Wailepo Pl Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 672 | $3,100 | $4.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4 S Kalaheo Ave Kailua, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,800 | $3.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 129 Ulupa St Unit A Kailua, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $2,850 | $3.91 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 528 Oneawa St Kailua, HI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $3,800 | $5.28 | 12d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 606 Kaulani Way Unit B-2 Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $2,900 | $3.97 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 619 Oneawa St Kailua, HI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $4,800 | $4.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 619 Oneawa St Unit NA Kailua, HI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $4,500 | $4.17 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 407 Kalama St Apt A Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,200 | $4.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1505 Kanapuu Dr Kailua, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 792 | $3,400 | $4.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1054 Koohoo Pl Unit 1 Kailua, HI | 1.0 | 1.5 | 780 | $3,300 | $4.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $700 · $8,400/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $385,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $385,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $385,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $385,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $385,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $385,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $385,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $385,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $385,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $385,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $385,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $385,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $385,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $385,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $385,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $385,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-05-09price $385,000 940-char remark
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2026-04-14status Active 940-char remark
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2026-04-11price $438,000 940-char remark
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2026-04-10historical 940-char remark
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2026-04-06$488,000 940-char remark
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2017-10-16soldstatus $380,000 Sold 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Hokulani in Kailua two bedroom, two bath, second floor's view is preservation land. Renovated kitchen with Laminate floors in both bedrooms and tile through out house, fresh paint. Pet friendly building. Close to Kailua Town, restaurants, shopping, and Kailua Beach.
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2017-10-13soldstatus $380,000
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2017-07-20price $398,000 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Hokulani in Kailua two bedroom, two bath, second floor's view is preservation land. Renovated kitchen with Laminate floors in both bedrooms and tile through out house, fresh paint. Pet friendly building. Close to Kailua Town, restaurants, shopping, and Kailua Beach.
-
2017-05-20$408,000 Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Hokulani in Kailua two bedroom, two bath, second floor's view is preservation land. Renovated kitchen with Laminate floors in both bedrooms and tile through out house, fresh paint. Pet friendly building. Close to Kailua Town, restaurants, shopping, and Kailua Beach.
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2002-11-15soldstatus $148,000
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2002-11-15soldstatus $148,000
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2002-09-24historical
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2002-07-22$165,000
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1998-05-13soldstatus $1,000
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1998-03-27soldstatus $1,000
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1994-10-14soldstatus $165,000
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1994-10-10soldstatus $165,000
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1989-07-03soldstatus $930,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast HI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,003 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,003 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$2,003
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,152
- − Management
- −$3,152
- − HOA
- −$8,400
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable loss
- −$12,003
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,881
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,554/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawaii Department Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 1500030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,005
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4504
- State rank
- #1 of 1 in HI
Livability — Kailua
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #906
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kailua, HI
- County
- Honolulu County · 963,448 people
- City population
- 50,670
- Metro
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,670
- Household income
- $132,782
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1926.0
Population outlook (Honolulu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,072,641 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,460 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,181,593 · +10.2%
- By 2050
- 1,257,584 · +17.2%
- By 2075
- 1,501,120 · +39.9%
- By 2100
- 1,764,430 · +64.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.76)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Two or more races 27% Asian 19% Hispanic / Latino 10% Pacific Islander 4% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Honolulu
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.6) · D 59.9% · R 38.3% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.1pp · 2024: 21.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.6 2020: D+26.9 2016: D+29.9 2012: D+39.1 2008: D+41.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -818.54%
- Current HPI
- 389.255
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.57%
- Metro
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-58.6% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $385,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2026-05-21 Listing Removed — HiCentral MLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $385,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — HiCentral MLS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $438,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listing Removed — HiCentral MLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $488,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2017-10-16 Sold (MLS) $380,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2017-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $380,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-20 Price Changed $398,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2017-05-20 Listed $408,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2002-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2002-11-15 Sold (MLS) $148,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2002-09-24 Listing Removed — HiCentral MLS
- 2002-07-22 Listed $165,000 HiCentral MLS
- 1998-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $1,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $1,000 Public Records
- 1994-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 1994-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 1989-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $930,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2022): $2,003 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…