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1648 Cleveland Ave Duplex
B Composite 71.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$118,888

1648 Cleveland Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14305
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,356 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1910 $88/sqft · 8% below area Est $130k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1648 Cleveland Avenue, a classic two-story, two-family home perfectly positioned for both comfortable living and smart investing. This home offers an excellent opportunity for owner occupants or investors alike. Live in the spacious 2-bedroom lower unit while generating rental income from the separate 2-bedroom upper unit. The home features a convenient layout with private entrances for each level, making it ideal for multi-generational living or supplemental income. Step outside to enjoy the perks of this prime location as you're just a short walk to public transportation, Hyde Park, and a variety of shopping and dining options. The expansive backyard provides plenty of space for a gardener's canvas or outdoor enjoyment. No need to worry about parking as the private driveway comfortably fits two cars for off-street parking. Please note, property is being sold "as is" and tax records indicate a garage but there is no garage. This property is currently owner occupied and therefore there is no income to show.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Private entrances
  • Two family home

Tags

TWO FAMILY HOMEPRIVATE ENTRANCESEXPANSIVE BACKYARDOFF STREET PARKINGPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $588/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 7.5% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harry F Abate Elementary School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,909 of 2,108 statewide, top 91%, 695 students, 82% FRL); Gaskill Preparatory School (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #702 of 729 statewide, top 96%, 500 students, 78% FRL); Niagara Falls High School (math 75% / reading 92%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,139 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,540/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $822 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $119k implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $111,754 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.14%
Cap rate
18.16%
Cash-on-cash
42.37%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,901
List price
$118,888
Delta
-8.48%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1888 Weston Ave 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,512 (+12%) 4mo $30,000 $20 66
2630 North Ave 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,362 (+0%) 9mo $150,000 $110 64
2234 Willow Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,386 (+2%) 11mo $105,000 $76 63
1208 17th St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,378 (+2%) 12mo $92,500 $67 60
1840 Jerauld Ave 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,518 (+12%) 10mo $80,500 $53 58
1519 Whitney Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (+4%) 12mo $110,000 $78 57
1816 Willow Ave 0.30mi 4/2.0 1,496 (+10%) 15mo $110,000 $74 56
2260 Weston Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,540 (+14%) 3mo $135,000 $88 52
746 17th St 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,475 (+9%) 1mo $72,000 $49 51
2236 Linwood Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,544 (+14%) 8mo $163,000 $106 48
1119 15th St 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,496 (+10%) 15mo $128,000 $86 46
2906 Michigan Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (-3%) 23mo $80,000 $61 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$55,631
Equity at exit
$17,727
10-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$145,006
Equity at exit
$10,279

Cash invested: $33,289 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14305

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,540 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$623
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,900/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$533
Net cashflow
$1,175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,052
Max offer price $118,888
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,243 -5% $1,209 +0% $1,175 +5% $1,142 +10% $1,108
Rent -10% $975 -5% $1,075 +0% $1,175 +5% $1,276 +10% $1,376
Rate -1.0pp $1,235 -0.5pp $1,205 base $1,175 +0.5pp $1,144 +1.0pp $1,113

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,540

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,722
Closing costs
$3,567
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1001 17th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,800 $1.56 25d 1 0.59mi
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 18d 1 0.64mi
784 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,350 $0.98 5d 1 0.66mi
754 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,100 $1.11 25d 1 0.73mi
642 Ashland Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,100 $0.89 5d 1 0.96mi
3025 Macklem Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.5 1750 $2,200 $1.26 45d 1 1.00mi
724 Augustus Pl Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 45d 1 1.09mi
1427 Fort Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1058 $950 $0.90 45d 1 1.20mi
420 25th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1101 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 1.32mi
2727 Monroe Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 12d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $118,888 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $118,888 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $118,888 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $118,888 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $118,888 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $118,888 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $118,888 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $118,888 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $118,888 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $118,888 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $118,888 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $118,888 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $118,888 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $118,888 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $118,888 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-04-10
    listed $118,888 Active 1043-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Welcome to 1648 Cleveland Avenue, a classic two-story, two-family home perfectly positioned for both comfortable living and smart investing. This home offers an excellent opportunity for owner occupants or investors alike. Live in the spacious 2-bedroom lower unit while generating rental income from the separate 2-bedroom upper unit. The home features a convenient layout with private entrances for each level, making it ideal for multi-generational living or supplemental income. Step outside to enjoy the perks of this prime location as you're just a short walk to public transportation, Hyde Park, and a variety of shopping and dining options. The expansive backyard provides plenty of space for a gardener's canvas or outdoor enjoyment. No need to worry about parking as the private driveway comfortably fits two cars for off-street parking. Please note, property is being sold "as is" and tax records indicate a garage but there is no garage. This property is currently owner occupied and therefore there is no income to show.

  17. 2017-06-30
    soldstatus $34,900 Closed Sale or Rented 63-char remark
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    Vinyl sided 2 family with separate utilities is priced to sell!

  18. 2017-04-13
    status Pending Sale 63-char remark
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    Vinyl sided 2 family with separate utilities is priced to sell!

  19. 2016-11-04
    listed $34,900 Active 63-char remark
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    Vinyl sided 2 family with separate utilities is priced to sell!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,900 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,955 · $163/mo
Expected delta
+$54/yr (+$5/mo · 2.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,480
− Mortgage interest
−$6,660
− Property taxes
−$1,900
− Insurance
−$594
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,438
− Management
−$2,438
− Depreciation
−$3,459
Taxable income
$12,990
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,118
After-tax cash flow
$10,985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,696
Household income
$51,004
Rent vs Own
38.4% rent · 61.6% own
Severe rent burden
1095.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.08%
Current HPI
350.8741
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+240.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $118,888 WNYREIS
  • 2017-06-30 Sold (MLS) $34,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-04-13 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2016-11-04 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+22.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,900 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…