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821 Mckean Ave
B- Composite 65.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$53,000

821 Mckean Ave · Charleroi, PA 15022
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,482 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 103 Days on market
Built 1895 2,199 sqft lot $36/sqft · 26% above area Est $42k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming three-bedroom (currently being used as four), one bathroom home located in the heart of Charleroi. This property offers comfortable living with a functional layout. Outside you will find a generously sized yard that provides a great space for outdoor activities, gardening or entertaining. This home is conveniently located near shops and restaurants.

Key facts

  • Functional layout
  • 2,199 sq ft lot
  • Built 1895

Tags

GENEROUSLY SIZED YARDFUNCTIONAL LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 15.3% in Charleroi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#382 in PA, #3,416 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment F.
  • Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Charleroi Area El Ctr (math 17% / reading 51%, grade F, #1,076 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 584 students, 62% FRL); Charleroi Area Ms (math 12% / reading 51%, grade F, #367 of 512 statewide, top 73%, 329 students, 54% FRL); Charleroi Area Hs (math 74% / reading 24%, grade D, #138 of 437 statewide, top 34%, 476 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $970 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $37k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,230 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.36%
Cap rate
20.18%
Cash-on-cash
49.60%
DSCR
3.21
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,204
List price
$53,000
Delta
25.58%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
811 Prospect Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,463 (-1%) 3mo $24,000 $16 89
506 Lincoln Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,388 (-6%) 7mo $35,975 $26 68
26 Petrak St 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,390 (-6%) 1mo $112,500 $81 66
213 Crest Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,449 (-2%) 6mo $32,000 $22 64
907 Crest Ave 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,700 (+15%) 1mo $53,000 $31 63
413 Shady Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,372 (-7%) 8mo $50,000 $36 59
101 Lincoln Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,452 (-2%) 1mo $45,000 $31 58
310 Fremont Rd 0.46mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,488 (+0%) 10mo $175,000 $118 57
708 Monongahela Ave 0.50mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,605 (+8%) 5mo $25,750 $16 52
716 Highland Ave 0.63mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,343 (-9%) 1mo $177,000 $132 49
437 Shady Ave 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,698 (+15%) 8mo $58,500 $34 42
306 Meadow Ave 0.55mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,309 (-12%) 9mo $95,000 $73 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$4,105
Equity at exit
$10,716
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$19,743
Equity at exit
$9,564

Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15022

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,249 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$278
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $884/yr
Insurance
$22
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,056
Max offer price $53,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $183 -5% $168 +0% $153 +5% $138 +10% $123
Rent -10% $54 -5% $104 +0% $153 +5% $202 +10% $252
Rate -1.0pp $180 -0.5pp $166 base $153 +0.5pp $139 +1.0pp $125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,250
Closing costs
$1,590
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1022 McKean Ave Charleroi, PA 3.0 3.0 1344 $1,450 $1.08 3d 1 0.19mi
1204 Lower Meadow Ave Charleroi, PA 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,150 $1.12 3d 1 0.33mi
1221 Graham Ave Monessen, PA 3.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 3d 1 0.61mi
925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $700 $0.70 16d 1 0.93mi
925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $700 $0.70 3d 1 0.93mi
1136 Reservoir Ave Monessen, PA 3.0 2.0 1550 $650 $0.42 3d 1 1.08mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $53,000 Active 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $53,000 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $53,000 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $53,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $53,000 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $53,000 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-03-24
    price $55,000 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Welcome to this charming three-bedroom (currently being used as four), one bathroom home located in the heart of Charleroi. This property offers comfortable living with a functional layout. Outside you will find a generously sized yard that provides a great space for outdoor activities, gardening or entertaining. This home is conveniently located near shops and restaurants.

  16. 2026-03-10
    listed $59,000 Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Welcome to this charming three-bedroom (currently being used as four), one bathroom home located in the heart of Charleroi. This property offers comfortable living with a functional layout. Outside you will find a generously sized yard that provides a great space for outdoor activities, gardening or entertaining. This home is conveniently located near shops and restaurants.

  17. 2023-05-30
    soldstatus $37,000 Closed 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    Conveniently located in the heart of Charleroi. Walking distance to local attractions. With a little TLC, this can become a wonderful home for an individual, small family or investor. Small yard, easy maintenance.

  18. 2023-04-05
    status Pending 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    Conveniently located in the heart of Charleroi. Walking distance to local attractions. With a little TLC, this can become a wonderful home for an individual, small family or investor. Small yard, easy maintenance.

  19. 2023-03-28
    listed $35,000 Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    Conveniently located in the heart of Charleroi. Walking distance to local attractions. With a little TLC, this can become a wonderful home for an individual, small family or investor. Small yard, easy maintenance.

  20. 2022-08-20
    listed $35,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$884 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$884 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,993
− Mortgage interest
−$2,969
− Property taxes
−$884
− Insurance
−$5,790
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,199
− Management
−$1,199
− Depreciation
−$1,542
Taxable income
$1,410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$338
After-tax cash flow
$1,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charleroi SD
NCES district ID
4205640
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$40,410
Composite
29.72/100
National rank
#6450
State rank
#421 of 539 in PA

Livability — Charleroi

Score
76/100
State rank
#382
US rank
#3416

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Charleroi, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,044

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.83%
Current HPI
174.218
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+57.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $59,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-05-30 Sold (MLS) $37,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-04-05 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2023-03-28 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-08-20 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $884 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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