821 Mckean Ave · Charleroi, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$53,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming three-bedroom (currently being used as four), one bathroom home located in the heart of Charleroi. This property offers comfortable living with a functional layout. Outside you will find a generously sized yard that provides a great space for outdoor activities, gardening or entertaining. This home is conveniently located near shops and restaurants.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- 2,199 sq ft lot
- Built 1895
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 15.3% in Charleroi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#382 in PA, #3,416 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment F.
- Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Charleroi Area El Ctr (math 17% / reading 51%, grade F, #1,076 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 584 students, 62% FRL); Charleroi Area Ms (math 12% / reading 51%, grade F, #367 of 512 statewide, top 73%, 329 students, 54% FRL); Charleroi Area Hs (math 74% / reading 24%, grade D, #138 of 437 statewide, top 34%, 476 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $970 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $37k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.60%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $42,204
- List price
- $53,000
- Delta
- 25.58%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 Prospect Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,463 (-1%) | 3mo | $24,000 | $16 | 89 |
| 506 Lincoln Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,388 (-6%) | 7mo | $35,975 | $26 | 68 |
| 26 Petrak St | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,390 (-6%) | 1mo | $112,500 | $81 | 66 |
| 213 Crest Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,449 (-2%) | 6mo | $32,000 | $22 | 64 |
| 907 Crest Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,700 (+15%) | 1mo | $53,000 | $31 | 63 |
| 413 Shady Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,372 (-7%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $36 | 59 |
| 101 Lincoln Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,452 (-2%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $31 | 58 |
| 310 Fremont Rd | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+0%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $118 | 57 |
| 708 Monongahela Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,605 (+8%) | 5mo | $25,750 | $16 | 52 |
| 716 Highland Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,343 (-9%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $132 | 49 |
| 437 Shady Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,698 (+15%) | 8mo | $58,500 | $34 | 42 |
| 306 Meadow Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,309 (-12%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $73 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $4,105
- Equity at exit
- $10,716
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $19,743
- Equity at exit
- $9,564
Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15022
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,249 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$278
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $884/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $168 | +0% $153 | +5% $138 | +10% $123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $54 | -5% $104 | +0% $153 | +5% $202 | +10% $252 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $180 | -0.5pp $166 | base $153 | +0.5pp $139 | +1.0pp $125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,250
- Closing costs
- $1,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1022 McKean Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1204 Lower Meadow Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1221 Graham Ave Monessen, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $700 | $0.70 | 16d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $700 | $0.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1136 Reservoir Ave Monessen, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $650 | $0.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $53,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $53,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $53,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $53,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $53,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $53,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $55,000 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Welcome to this charming three-bedroom (currently being used as four), one bathroom home located in the heart of Charleroi. This property offers comfortable living with a functional layout. Outside you will find a generously sized yard that provides a great space for outdoor activities, gardening or entertaining. This home is conveniently located near shops and restaurants.
-
2026-03-10$59,000 Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Welcome to this charming three-bedroom (currently being used as four), one bathroom home located in the heart of Charleroi. This property offers comfortable living with a functional layout. Outside you will find a generously sized yard that provides a great space for outdoor activities, gardening or entertaining. This home is conveniently located near shops and restaurants.
-
2023-05-30soldstatus $37,000 Closed 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Conveniently located in the heart of Charleroi. Walking distance to local attractions. With a little TLC, this can become a wonderful home for an individual, small family or investor. Small yard, easy maintenance.
-
2023-04-05status Pending 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Conveniently located in the heart of Charleroi. Walking distance to local attractions. With a little TLC, this can become a wonderful home for an individual, small family or investor. Small yard, easy maintenance.
-
2023-03-28$35,000 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Conveniently located in the heart of Charleroi. Walking distance to local attractions. With a little TLC, this can become a wonderful home for an individual, small family or investor. Small yard, easy maintenance.
-
2022-08-20$35,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $884 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $884 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,969
- − Property taxes
- −$884
- − Insurance
- −$5,790
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,199
- − Management
- −$1,199
- − Depreciation
- −$1,542
- Taxable income
- $1,410
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$338
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,497/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleroi SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205640
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,410
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6450
- State rank
- #421 of 539 in PA
Livability — Charleroi
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #382
- US rank
- #3416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charleroi, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,044
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.83%
- Current HPI
- 174.218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+57.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $59,000 West Penn MLS
- 2023-05-30 Sold (MLS) $37,000 West Penn MLS
- 2023-04-05 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2023-03-28 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-08-20 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $884 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…