409 Taylor · Falfurrias, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$112,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home situated on a generous . 4-acre lot. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage and functionality. In addition to the main living areas, you’ll find a versatile bonus room that can be used as a game room, second living space, home office, or entertaining area designed to fit your lifestyle needs. Step outside and enjoy the side porch, a patio perfect for outdoor cooking or grilling, an exterior washroom for added convenience, and a covered carport for protected parking. To make this home truly your own, the sellers are offering a $2,000 flooring allowance and a $1,000 landscaping allowance, giving you the opportunity to personalize the space to your taste. Schedule your showing today and come see how this home can work for you.
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Walk-in closets
- Bonus room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $112k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#242 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brooks County ISD (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #776 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($774 loan paydown + $547 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.86%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,833
- List price
- $112,000
- Delta
- -7.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 W San Saba St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,346 (-14%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $85 | 63 |
| 413 W Bennett St | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,376 (-12%) | 7mo | $59,900 | $44 | 48 |
| 515 W Miller St | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,718 (+10%) | 17mo | $174,900 | $102 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $10,760
- Equity at exit
- $35,284
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $41,840
- Equity at exit
- $44,686
Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78355
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$587
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$140 /mo · $1,680/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $179
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,000
- Closing costs
- $3,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $112,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $112,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $112,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $112,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $112,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $112,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $112,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $112,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $112,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $112,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $112,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $112,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $112,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-04-25price $112,000 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home situated on a generous . 4-acre lot. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage and functionality. In addition to the main living areas, you’ll find a versatile bonus room that can be used as a game room, second living space, home office, or entertaining area designed to fit your lifestyle needs. Step outside and enjoy the side porch, a patio perfect for outdoor cooking or grilling, an exterior washroom for added convenience, and a covered carport for protected parking. To make this home truly your own, the sellers are offering a $2,000 flooring allowance and a $1,000 landscaping allowance, giving you the opportunity to personalize the space to your taste. Schedule your showing today and come see how this home can work for you.
-
2026-01-26$115,000 Active 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home situated on a generous . 4-acre lot. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage and functionality. In addition to the main living areas, you’ll find a versatile bonus room that can be used as a game room, second living space, home office, or entertaining area designed to fit your lifestyle needs. Step outside and enjoy the side porch, a patio perfect for outdoor cooking or grilling, an exterior washroom for added convenience, and a covered carport for protected parking. To make this home truly your own, the sellers are offering a $2,000 flooring allowance and a $1,000 landscaping allowance, giving you the opportunity to personalize the space to your taste. Schedule your showing today and come see how this home can work for you.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,274
- − Property taxes
- −$1,680
- − Insurance
- −$560
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$3,258
- Taxable income
- $392
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$94
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,058/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires significant exterior and interior repairs, but presents a good opportunity for renovation and improvement to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Missing shingles and potential water damage
- Major exterior — Overgrown vegetation, debris, and general disrepair
- Major flooring — Worn-out tile in the kitchen and dining area
- Major interior walls/paint — Peeling paint and general wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and exterior improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Interior painting and updates — Improves aesthetics and value
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes spaces and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Missing shingles and potential water damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior · Overgrown vegetation, debris, and general disrepair | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn-out tile in the kitchen and dining area | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · Peeling paint and general wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and exterior improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Interior painting and updates — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes spaces and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brooks County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811580
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $23,562
- Composite
- 17.44/100
- National rank
- #9064
- State rank
- #776 of 826 in TX
Livability — Falfurrias
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #242
- US rank
- #5822
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Falfurrias, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,843
Population outlook (Brooks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,122 people
- By 2030
- 7,090 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 7,023 · -1.4%
- By 2050
- 6,954 · -2.4%
- By 2075
- 6,413 · -10.0%
- By 2100
- 5,296 · -25.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 38% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 82%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 70%
Political lean MEDSL · Brooks
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.6) · D 54.5% · R 44.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.0pp toward R · 2008: 51.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.6 2020: D+19.0 2016: D+51.0 2012: D+57.4 2008: D+51.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.49%
- Current HPI
- 78.6241
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-2.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $112,000 CBMLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $115,000 CBMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…