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409 Taylor
C+ Composite 61.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$112,000

409 Taylor · Falfurrias, TX 78355
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily · 143 Days on market
Built 1900 Fair condition 0.40 ac lot $72/sqft · 7% below area Est $121k · 7% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home situated on a generous . 4-acre lot. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage and functionality. In addition to the main living areas, you’ll find a versatile bonus room that can be used as a game room, second living space, home office, or entertaining area designed to fit your lifestyle needs. Step outside and enjoy the side porch, a patio perfect for outdoor cooking or grilling, an exterior washroom for added convenience, and a covered carport for protected parking. To make this home truly your own, the sellers are offering a $2,000 flooring allowance and a $1,000 landscaping allowance, giving you the opportunity to personalize the space to your taste. Schedule your showing today and come see how this home can work for you.

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Walk-in closets
  • Bonus room

Tags

WALK-IN CLOSETSBONUS ROOMSIDE PORCHPATIOEXTERIOR WASHROOMCOVERED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $112k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#242 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brooks County ISD (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #776 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($774 loan paydown + $547 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.21%
Cash-on-cash
6.86%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,833
List price
$112,000
Delta
-7.31%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204 W San Saba St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,346 (-14%) 6mo $115,000 $85 63
413 W Bennett St 0.40mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,376 (-12%) 7mo $59,900 $44 48
515 W Miller St 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,718 (+10%) 17mo $174,900 $102 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$10,760
Equity at exit
$35,284
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$41,840
Equity at exit
$44,686

Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78355

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$587
Tax est. 1.5%
$140 /mo · $1,680/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $980
Max offer price $112,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,000
Closing costs
$3,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $112,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $112,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $112,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $112,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,000 Active 138 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $112,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $112,000 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $112,000 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $112,000 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $112,000 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $112,000 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $112,000 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $112,000 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $112,000 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-04-25
    price $112,000 816-char remark
    Show marketing remark (816 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home situated on a generous . 4-acre lot. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage and functionality. In addition to the main living areas, you’ll find a versatile bonus room that can be used as a game room, second living space, home office, or entertaining area designed to fit your lifestyle needs. Step outside and enjoy the side porch, a patio perfect for outdoor cooking or grilling, an exterior washroom for added convenience, and a covered carport for protected parking. To make this home truly your own, the sellers are offering a $2,000 flooring allowance and a $1,000 landscaping allowance, giving you the opportunity to personalize the space to your taste. Schedule your showing today and come see how this home can work for you.

  16. 2026-01-26
    listed $115,000 Active 816-char remark
    Show marketing remark (816 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home situated on a generous . 4-acre lot. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage and functionality. In addition to the main living areas, you’ll find a versatile bonus room that can be used as a game room, second living space, home office, or entertaining area designed to fit your lifestyle needs. Step outside and enjoy the side porch, a patio perfect for outdoor cooking or grilling, an exterior washroom for added convenience, and a covered carport for protected parking. To make this home truly your own, the sellers are offering a $2,000 flooring allowance and a $1,000 landscaping allowance, giving you the opportunity to personalize the space to your taste. Schedule your showing today and come see how this home can work for you.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,481
− Mortgage interest
−$6,274
− Property taxes
−$1,680
− Insurance
−$560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$3,258
Taxable income
$392
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$94
After-tax cash flow
$2,058/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires significant exterior and interior repairs, but presents a good opportunity for renovation and improvement to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Missing shingles and potential water damage
  • Major exterior — Overgrown vegetation, debris, and general disrepair
  • Major flooring — Worn-out tile in the kitchen and dining area
  • Major interior walls/paint — Peeling paint and general wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Interior painting and updates — Improves aesthetics and value
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes spaces and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Missing shingles and potential water damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior · Overgrown vegetation, debris, and general disrepair Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn-out tile in the kitchen and dining area Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · Peeling paint and general wear Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Interior painting and updates — Improves aesthetics and value
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes spaces and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brooks County ISD
NCES district ID
4811580
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$23,562
Composite
17.44/100
National rank
#9064
State rank
#776 of 826 in TX

Livability — Falfurrias

Score
72/100
State rank
#242
US rank
#5822

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Falfurrias, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,843

Population outlook (Brooks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,122 people
By 2030
7,090 · -0.4%
By 2040
7,023 · -1.4%
By 2050
6,954 · -2.4%
By 2075
6,413 · -10.0%
By 2100
5,296 · -25.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 38% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 82%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
30% English-only · Spanish 70%

Political lean MEDSL · Brooks

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.6) · D 54.5% · R 44.8%
2008→2024 swing
-42.0pp toward R · 2008: 51.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.6 2020: D+19.0 2016: D+51.0 2012: D+57.4 2008: D+51.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.49%
Current HPI
78.6241
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $112,000 CBMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $115,000 CBMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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