CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4656 Vancouver St
C+ Composite 62.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$160,000

4656 Vancouver St · Detroit, MI 48204
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,234 sqft · Townhouse public records · 147 Days on market
Built 1915 4,356 sqft lot $72/sqft · 94% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1915
  • Listed 147 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,666/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $160k implies a 742% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.24%
Cash-on-cash
6.95%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,335
List price
$160,000
Delta
94.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$103,657
Equity at exit
$144,141
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
7.52×
Total profit
$292,250
Equity at exit
$310,845

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,666 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,811/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,338
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5315 Spokane St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2110 $1,200 $0.57 17d 1 0.29mi
3799 W Philadelphia St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2200 $1,650 $0.75 17d 1 0.52mi
3786 Carter St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,100 $0.79 24d 1 0.63mi
4426 McGraw Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 44d 1 0.90mi
2506 W Euclid St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,675 $1.14 44d 1 1.16mi
2504 W Euclid St Unit 2504 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,650 $1.12 44d 1 1.16mi
2504 W Euclid St Unit 2506 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,675 $1.14 44d 1 1.16mi
2509 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 3000 $2,650 $0.88 2d 1 1.21mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Unit NA Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 10d 1 1.35mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 5.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 15d 1 1.35mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 2d 1 1.35mi
2302 Hazelwood St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,273 $0.82 24d 1 1.39mi
2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 17d 1 1.43mi
3241 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2636 $1,800 $0.68 17d 1 1.43mi
2047 Seward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1421 $1,523 $1.07 5d 1 1.45mi
3031 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,600 $0.94 17d 1 1.47mi
2080 Gladstone St #1 Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2426 $3,000 $1.24 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $160,000 Pending 147 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 140 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    remarks 498-char remark
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 139 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 131 DOM
  13. 2026-04-10
    price $160,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  14. 2026-04-10
    status Active 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  15. 2026-04-07
    price $160,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  16. 2026-01-04
    historical 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  17. 2025-12-10
    price $169,900 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  18. 2025-12-09
    price $169,900 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  19. 2025-11-07
    price $180,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  20. 2025-11-06
    price $180,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  21. 2025-10-22
    listed $190,000 Active 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  22. 2025-10-22
    listed $190,000 Active 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  23. 2025-10-21
    historical $190,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI, this property presents an exciting opportunity. Built in 1915, this multi-family residence offers a chance to invest in a piece of Detroit's rich history. This property, with its 1915 construction, is near the downtown, Southwest Detroit and the 96 corridor, which moves you to every part of Detroit metro. This duplex residence offers a unique opportunity for those seeking property in Detroit. hablamos espanol, numero abajo

  24. 2025-05-13
    soldstatus $19,000 Closed
  25. 2025-05-13
    soldstatus $19,000 Closed
  26. 2024-12-17
    status Pending
  27. 2024-05-07
    status Pending
  28. 2024-05-07
    status Pending
  29. 2024-04-19
    listed $20,000 Active
  30. 2024-04-19
    listed $20,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,811 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,138 · $178/mo
Expected delta
+$326/yr (+$27/mo · 18.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,991
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,811
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,599
− Management
−$1,599
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$564
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$135
After-tax cash flow
$2,978/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+700.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $160,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $180,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-21 Coming Soon $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-13 Sold (MLS) $19,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-13 Sold (MLS) $19,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-05-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-07 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-19 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-19 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,811 · +54.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…